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AI·C3.ai Inc.

$11.66
-0.35 (-2.91%)
High
$12.13
Open
$11.89
Market Cap
1.89B
52W High
$19.80
Low
$11.56
P. Close
$11.66
P/E
-
52W Low
$7.55
Fwd P/E
-25.54
DailyIQ Est.
$7.16
Inst. Ownership
36.4%
Short Interest
26.58%
Days to Cover
9.6
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Sep 2, 2026New outlook issued · tone +21.7 vs prior release · 33 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
5
BEARISH
News Sentiment
59
BULLISH
On Oct 13, C3.ai, Inc. (AI) attracted notable investor attention, with its shares posting a 3.9% return over the previous month, outperforming the broader market. The company’s IT services sector also posted a 1.6% rise, reinforcing a positive short‑term outlook for the stock. Analysts reported that earnings estimate revisions were expected to be the primary driver of future price movements. The recent performance suggested growing confidence among investors, though the magnitude of upside remained moderate. No other developments were reported for the company on that date.
LOW TARGET
$6 -48.5%
7 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$9 -23.7%
14 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$16 +37.2%
2 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$6.00 - $16.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
1/1/9/8/4
DAILYIQ EST.
$7.16 (-38.6%)
Sector
Technology
Industry
Software - Infrastructure
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Website
c3.ai
Symbol
AI
Description
C3.ai, Inc. is a software provider specializing in enterprise artificial intelligence applications. The company's core offering is the C3 agentic AI platform, a comprehensive environment for building and deploying AI solutions across various industries. C3.ai's value proposition lies in its suite of pre-built AI applications, including solutions for customer relationship management, supply chain optimization, sustainability initiatives, and financial services. These applications are designed to help clients improve operational efficiency and make data-driven decisions. Through strategic partnerships with major cloud providers and consulting firms, C3.ai aims to deliver its AI solutions effectively.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
2,708,308 shares
$27.1M
SIEBEL THOMAS MCEO and Chairman of the Board
Gift106,793 shares2026-09-30
SIEBEL THOMAS MCEO and Chairman of the Board
Gift239 shares2026-09-30
Lath HiteshCHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
Gift15,930 shares2026-09-17
SIEBEL THOMAS MCEO and Chairman of the Board
Option Exercise162,247 shares2026-09-16
SIEBEL THOMAS MCEO and Chairman of the Board
Sell162,247 shares2026-09-16
View full insider trading history →
14/ 100
Very bearish
Overall: Bearish
✕Revenue declining year over year
✕Negative net margin
✕Negative operating cash flow
Gross Margin
30.9%
Net Margin
-187.9%
Revenue CAGR
15.4%
Current Ratio
6.64x
Return on Equity
-71.9%
View full financials →
Earnings Summary
C3.ai, Inc. is a software provider specializing in enterprise artificial intelligence applications, offering a comprehensive C3 agentic AI platform that enables clients across industries to build and deploy AI solutions. The company operates within the technology sector, specifically the software‑infrastructure sub‑industry, and competes for contracts with major cloud providers and consulting firms. In the most recent quarter (Q1 2025), C3.ai reported revenue of $108.7 million, up from $98.8 million in Q4 2024, while its EPS improved from a loss of $0.12 to $0.16, beating the negative estimate of $0.20; however, the following quarter (Q2 2025) saw revenue decline to $70.3 million and EPS worsen to a loss of $0.37, below the estimate of $0.21. This pattern of revenue growth followed by a sharp contraction illustrates volatility in the company’s top line, with EPS consistently negative but occasionally improving relative to expectations. Historically, C3.ai has posted YoY revenue growth in most quarters, but EPS has remained in the negative territory, reflecting high investment costs; the company has beaten analyst estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters for EPS, despite the losses. Recent news highlights a modest uptick in revenue driven by new contracts with Microsoft and U.S. government agencies, while also noting a 33.8% year‑over‑year decline in billings and persistent negative free cash flow, underscoring sales pressure and liquidity concerns.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.42$-0.34$-0.27$-0.20$-0.13Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$-0.26$-0.20+22.1%
Q4'26$-0.38$-0.33+14.1%
Q3'25$-0.33$-0.25+24.8%
Q2'25$-0.21$-0.37-75.3%
Q1'25$-0.20$-0.16+20.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$43M$62M$80M$99M$117MQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$54M$52M-2.4%
Q4'26$52M$52M-0.3%
Q3'25 - $75M -
Q2'25 - $70M -
Q1'25 - $109M -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

AI Stock Snapshot

BEARISH5/100
$11.66−$0.35 (2.9%)
Market cap
1.89B
Day range
$11.56 – $12.13
News sentiment
59/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$8.90 (-23.7%)
Consensus
Hold · 23 analysts
52-week range+54.4% off low · -41.1% from high
$7.55$19.80
Price $11.66 DailyIQ Est. $7.16

The signals on AI lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Company-specific news dominates here; sector-level flows matter less than for larger names.

Behaviour On Record

What AI's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
33.3% 1st pct
Below its peak
-92.9%
vs 200-day average
+18.4%
Up days (1y)
50%

C3.ai Inc. is currently running 33.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against AI's own 6 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 1st percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 63.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

AI is trading -92.9% below its running peak. Across 5 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -65.4%, and the deepest was -82.6% in 2021. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +18.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 86th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year AI closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 5 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 6 years of records, AI finished the month higher 4 of 6 times, with a median return of +1.1% and an average of +2.8%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +23.7% on average, its weakest April at -13.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: AI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 118 of 1,467 sessions (8.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.5% and -11.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 1,468 daily closes between 2020-12-09 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against AI's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of AI's sector?

C3.ai Inc. sits in the Software sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening). Within its narrower Software industry group, AI ranks 2nd of 15 tracked industries, weakening.

Sector rank
#5 of 12
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
73
Industry rank
#2 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for AI?

CallsPuts

For C3.ai Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.04), with at-the-money implied volatility around 60.2%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $11.50–$12.50.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.04
ATM implied volatility
60.2%
Total open interest
117,210
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±4.2% ($11.50–$12.50)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on AI?

Northland Capital Markets most recently upgraded C3.ai Inc. to Outperform on Oct 12, 2026 with a price target of $16 (from $10). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Northland Capital Markets — Outperform
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 12, 2026Northland Capital MarketsUpgradeMarket Perform → Outperform$10 → $16
Oct 2, 2026CitizensReiteratedMarket Perform-
Sep 29, 2026CitizensReiteratedMarket Perform-
Sep 3, 2026CitizensReiteratedMarket Perform-
Sep 3, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedUnderperform$7
Sep 3, 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainedHold$10
Sep 3, 2026NeedhamReiteratedHold-
Sep 1, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedUnderperform$7
Jun 4, 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainedHold$8 → $10
Jun 4, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedUnderweight$6 → $7
Jun 4, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedUnderperform$7
Jun 4, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$9 → $12

Earnings Release, Scored

What did C3.ai Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Sep 2, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

New outlook issued
Tone60.3/ 100+21.7 vs prior release
Hedging words0.00per 100 words0.00 vs prior release
Tone, last 2 releasesScale 33–66

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Bookings increase 73% quarter over quarter

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    Non-GAAP operating loss was $36.2 million, a 33% improvement QoQ.

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    Bookings increased 73% QoQ.

    New this quarter

Scores describe the release's wording. They are not a forecast.

Read all 33 scored lines →

Peers & ETF holders

AI peers & ETF holders

Software - InfrastructureMarket cap · today

Top ETF holdersWeight

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

59/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
C3.ai (AI) has attracted significant attention from Zacks.com users, reflected in a 3.9% share return over the past month versus the broader market. The company’s IT services sector has also posted gains, supporting a positive short‑term outlook. Analysts emphasize that earnings estimate revisions will be the primary driver of future price movements. The stock’s recent performance suggests growing confidence among investors, though the magnitude of upside remains moderate.
What did this article say?
C3.ai (AI) shares climbed 4.4% in pre‑market trading on October 12 after Northland Capital upgraded the company to Outperform and raised its price target by $16. The upgrade followed a review of the firm’s enterprise AI software offerings and its growth prospects. The move signals renewed confidence from analysts in C3.ai’s ability to capture market share in the AI software sector.
What did this article say?
C3.ai shares rallied after Northland Research issued a new bullish rating. Analyst Michael Latimore highlighted the company’s strong growth prospects and recent product advancements as reasons for the upward outlook. The rating upgrade is expected to support a higher valuation and attract additional institutional interest. The market reacted positively, with the stock posting a notable increase on the day of the announcement. This development signals renewed confidence in C3.ai’s AI platform and its market positioning.
What did this article say?
UBS analysts cautioned that C3.ai would require several more quarters before achieving operational stability. The report highlighted ongoing revenue volatility and a lack of clear path to profitability. UBS noted that the company’s current guidance does not sufficiently address the underlying cash flow challenges. The analysis was based on recent financial statements and management commentary.
What did this article say?
Shares of AI and other technology firms rallied on Oct 9 after a brief sell‑off triggered by concerns over AI revenue growth. The market rebound followed a sharp dip the day before, when an OpenAI revenue report dampened investor confidence. The recovery was driven by dip‑buyers re‑entering the market, viewing the valuation reset as an attractive entry point. The rally underscored sustained investor appetite for leading tech companies amid uncertainty about AI monetization timelines.
What did this article say?
C3.ai closed up 1.68% on Oct 9, outperforming the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. The company is expected to report earnings of -$0.22 per share, a 12% YoY growth, while revenue is projected to decline 29% from the prior year. Analysts note the earnings miss and revenue drop as potential headwinds, though the stock’s recent rally and sector strength may cushion the impact.
What did this article say?
C3.ai’s stock had surged 25.4% over the past six months, outperforming the S&P 500 by 9.4%. However, the company’s Q2 billings fell 24.5% year‑on‑year to $69.63 million, indicating weakening customer acquisition and retention. The decline in billings suggests that the firm may struggle to sustain its recent growth trajectory. Investors are cautioned that the current upside could be temporary as the underlying demand for AI solutions appears to be softening. The report recommends a cautious stance on C3.ai while exploring alternative AI opportunities.
What did this article say?
C3.ai (AI) advanced 4.8% on October 2 after a 0.9% rise in U.S. personal consumption expenditures, reflecting a macro tailwind rather than company‑specific catalysts. The stock’s 90‑day return of 22.63% contrasts with a 19.20% year‑to‑date decline and a 39.09% one‑year total shareholder return drop. Analysts note the firm remains overvalued, with a fair‑value estimate of $8.82 versus a closing price of $11.11, suggesting the price is still high relative to fundamentals. Recent enterprise commitments from Nucor, Qemetica, HII, and the U.S. Army underscore expanding AI deployments across manufacturing, chemicals, defense, and government sectors. The move indicates a modest positive momentum, but the stock’s valuation and long‑term performance remain uncertain.
What did this article say?
BigBear.ai Holdings reported a 13% revenue increase to $36.7 million in Q2 2026, with gross margin expanding by 781 basis points to 32.8% thanks to generative AI products. The margin lift has not yet improved adjusted EBITDA, which remained negative at $11.6 million due to higher sales, marketing, and R&D spend. Management highlighted that the margin gains could enhance operating leverage as the company scales, but current investments are offsetting profitability gains.
What did this article say?
C3.ai (AI) has attracted significant attention on Zacks.com, with shares up 1.9% over the past month versus a 0.6% gain in the S&P 500 composite. The company’s sector, IT services, has declined 2.7% during the same period, underscoring a broader industry weakness. Analysts focus on earnings estimate revisions to gauge the stock’s fair value, but no recent corporate announcements have materially altered expectations. The article presents a neutral assessment, noting that while the stock is trending, its underlying fundamentals remain uncertain.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

5
BEARISH
Momentum rank against about 1,000 stocks and ETFs for this timeframe.
Unlock full technicals
Create a free account to access more indicators and deeper timeframe data.
Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $582.03M combined position · 15 adding, 9 trimming, 1 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Vanguard Group Inc▲ Buy14,469,9539.22%$195.05M2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy14,255,0679.09%$129.58M2026-08-07
Morgan Stanley▼ Sell5,025,8363.20%$45.68M2026-08-13
Geode Capital Management, LLC▲ Buy3,431,3762.19%$31.20M2026-08-12
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▼ Sell3,221,8822.05%$29.29M2026-08-14
Millennium Management LLC▲ Buy3,136,6462.00%$28.51M2026-08-14
Bank of America Corp▼ Sell2,872,3641.83%$26.11M2026-08-14
Citadel Advisors LLC▲ Buy1,809,0371.15%$16.44M2026-09-02
Marshall Wace, LLP▼ Sell1,409,1860.90%$12.81M2026-08-13
JPMorgan Chase & Co▼ Sell1,250,8640.80%$11.15M2026-08-12
Northern Trust Corp▲ Buy1,168,4640.74%$10.62M2026-08-13
Susquehanna International Group, LLP▲ Buy1,048,5670.67%$9.53M2026-08-14
Two Sigma Investments, LP▼ Sell615,3240.39%$5.59M2026-08-14
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▲ Buy601,6300.38%$5.47M2026-08-14
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.▲ Buy568,4060.36%$5.17M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▲ Buy507,8670.32%$4.62M2026-08-14
Citigroup Inc▲ Buy364,6790.23%$3.31M2026-08-03
Invesco Ltd.▲ Buy360,6730.23%$3.28M2026-08-14
Brevan Howard Capital Management LP▲ Buy241,5600.15%$2.20M2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company▲ Buy202,0590.13%$1.84M2026-08-14
Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC▲ Buy152,9440.10%$1.39M2026-08-14
AllianceBernstein L.P.▼ Sell150,7680.10%$1.27M2026-08-14
Squarepoint Ops LLC▼ Sell97,7110.06%$888.2K2026-08-14
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▼ Sell64,5820.04%$587.0K2026-08-13
Janus Henderson Group plc• Hold52,1820.03%$439.1K2026-05-18
Q2 2026 flow:5.82M sh bought ($52.91M)3.78M sh sold ($34.28M)net +2.04M sh (+$18.62M)
View full institutional holdings history →

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