DailyIQ
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Sector:TechnologyAll sectors
Last updated 3 minutes ago

BBAI·BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$4.75
Open
$4.62
Market Cap
2.28B
52W High
$9.39
Low
$4.11
P. Close
$4.20
P/E
-
52W Low
$3.01
Fwd P/E
-
DailyIQ Est.
-
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
50
MIXED
The most recent analyst action was a sell rating issued 38.5 hours ago, citing flat revenue growth that does not justify BBAI’s valuation premium; the implication is that the stock’s upside is limited unless the company can articulate a credible growth plan, so watch the next earnings release for any acceleration signals. Jim Cramer’s commentary 58.3 hours ago framed BBAI as a high‑risk speculative play because the firm continues to post losses, implying that short‑term traders should be wary of the risk‑reward trade‑off and monitor any shifts in sentiment that could trigger a rapid move. The Panama Transshipment Group deployment announced 73.9 hours ago lifted the backlog to roughly $282 million and added $60 million in national‑security contracts, suggesting a strengthening revenue trajectory that could support a near‑term rally, so keep an eye on subsequent contract wins. The cargo‑security deal with PTG, reported 121.1 hours ago, confirms commercial traction in the logistics sector, implying further diversification beyond defense, and watch for additional deployments that could broaden the revenue mix. Technical analysis 132.7 hours ago flagged the stock as overbought with resistance at $5.40, indicating a potential reversal if the price fails to break that ceiling, so monitor price action around that level. The broader AI‑sector surge 156.9 hours ago has buoyed BBAI’s price, implying that market sentiment toward AI companies may sustain short‑term momentum, and watch for any sector‑wide catalysts that could lift or dampen the rally. The first Panama cargo‑security deployment, highlighted 302.1 hours ago, marks a turning point in BBAI’s global expansion narrative, implying a shift from purely defense to trade‑security markets, and watch for how this new segment performs relative to core defense contracts. Q1 backlog growth of 14% to $281.9 million and a 34.0% gross margin expansion reported 308.9 hours ago suggest improved profitability, implying that the company may meet its full‑year guidance, so watch for guidance confirmation in the next earnings call. Finally, the class‑action lawsuit and restatement of multiple years of financial statements 362.9 hours ago introduce a governance risk that could affect valuation, so watch for filing delays and any regulatory responses that might materialize in the coming days.
Earnings Summary
BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) provides artificial intelligence-driven decision intelligence solutions for national security, supply chain management, and digital identity applications. Operating in the Technology sector, specifically Information Technology Services, the company offers data processing, predictive analytics, and advanced visualization. BBAI's recent earnings performance has been mixed. In Q1 2026, EPS was -$0.08, meeting analyst expectations, while revenue of $34.44 million exceeded the estimate of $34.27 million. This follows a Q4 2025 where EPS of -$0.04 missed the estimate of -$0.0612, and revenue of $27.30 million missed the estimate of $33.97 million. Earlier quarters also showed variability, with Q3 2025 EPS of $0.01 beating the -$0.07333 estimate, and Q2 2025 EPS of -$0.71 missing the -$0.06333 estimate. Revenue has generally trended downwards in recent reported quarters, with Q1 2026 being an exception. Historically, BBAI has shown a pattern of EPS misses, though Q3 2025 and Q1 2026 showed beats or met expectations. Recent news highlights a significant classified national security contract award of over $60 million, bolstering the company's backlog to $281.9 million, and the acquisition of Ask Sage to enhance generative AI capabilities. Management has affirmed full-year 2026 revenue guidance. Investors will be watching how new contracts and enhanced generative AI offerings translate into sustained revenue growth and profitability, especially given past revenue declines and cash burn concerns, while also noting the company's strong cash position and strategic expansion in national security and AI.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.82$-0.58$-0.35$-0.12$0.12Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$-0.08$-0.08+2.0%
Q4'25$-0.06$-0.04+34.6%
Q3'25$-0.07$0.01+113.6%
Q2'25$-0.06$-0.71-1021.1%
Q1'25$-0.06$-0.25-341.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$26M$29M$31M$33M$36MQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$34M$34M+0.5%
Q4'25$34M$27M-19.6%
Q3'25 - $33M -
Q2'25 - $32M -
Q1'25 - $35M -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

BBAI Stock Snapshot

BBAI is currently trading at $4.20, giving BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. a market cap of 2.28B. Today's range spans $4.11–$4.75, with shares opening at $4.62 and moving up $0.00 (0.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 50/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 50/100.

Over the past year BBAI has traded between $3.01 and $9.39 - the current price is +39.5% off the 52-week low and -55.3% from the high.

Institutional disinterest is quantifiable for BBAI - at 2.28B in Technology market cap, a HOLD signal (50/100) alongside neutral sentiment (50/100) typically marks the point where active managers move this name to a lower-priority watch list. Price: $4.20 (in the lower half of its 52-week range). Annual range: $3.01–$9.39. Reduced coverage and declining volume in small-cap names often create self-reinforcing cycles - the absence of buyers becomes the primary risk rather than the presence of sellers.

For BBAI (small-cap, Technology, 2.28B market cap), the HOLD technical reading (50/100) and neutral news sentiment (50/100) at $4.20 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) describe a stock where the cost of patience is higher than in large-cap equivalents — thin float dynamics mean that time spent waiting for a catalyst can erode position value without the passive bid support that larger names receive. The $3.01–$9.39 annual range defines the structural stakes.