DailyIQ
|
Sector:TechnologyAll sectors
Last updated 15 hours ago

BBAI·BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$2.87
Open
$2.85
Market Cap
1.32B
52W High
$9.39
Low
$2.73
P. Close
$2.76
P/E
-
52W Low
$2.73
Fwd P/E
-13.80
DailyIQ Est.
$5.00
Technical Score (1D)
14
SELL
News Sentiment
53
MIXED
Shares of BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. recently fell, signaling a shift in investor sentiment. The decline may reflect market concerns about the company’s valuation or product pipeline, though the article does not specify the exact catalyst. Analysts note that the drop could be a reaction to speculation about the company’s upcoming earnings guidance. The guidance is expected to shed light on revenue expectations and profitability for the next quarter. Investors will be able to assess whether the company can sustain growth and meet market expectations. A positive guidance could restore confidence and lift the stock, while a negative outlook could further dampen sentiment. The next 1–10 trading days will hinge on how the guidance compares to analyst forecasts. Traders should watch for the earnings release to gauge the company’s trajectory and potential valuation adjustments. In addition, monitoring any commentary on product development or market expansion will help contextualize the guidance.
Earnings Summary
BBAI is a technology company focused on artificial intelligence‑driven decision intelligence solutions for national security, supply chain, and digital identity, delivering data processing, predictive analytics, and advanced visualization to U.S. government agencies and commercial clients; it operates within the information technology services industry. In the last two quarters, BBAI reported revenue of $27.3 million in Q4 2025 and $34.44 million in Q1 2026, a rise from $32.47 million in Q2 2025 and $33.14 million in Q3 2025, while earnings per share moved from a loss of $0.04 in Q4 2025 to a loss of $0.08 in Q1 2026, both beating analyst expectations (EPS beat by 65 % in Q4 2025 and 3 % in Q1 2026) after a series of losses; the company’s only positive EPS came in Q3 2025 when it posted $0.01 versus an estimate of –$0.073, marking a rare beat. Historically, BBAI has shown a pattern of negative earnings with intermittent revenue growth, achieving a 12 % year‑over‑year revenue increase in Q1 2026 after a decline in the previous quarter, yet operating losses widened, indicating margin pressure; analysts have noted that while top‑line growth is modest, cost control remains a concern. Recent news underscores the company’s accelerated product development to win enterprise clients, the launch of a generative AI platform for Department of War missions, and the Dutch national approval of its Pangiam Threat Detection platform, all of which could open new defense contracts; however, the removal from key Russell indexes and a flat earnings guidance for the next quarter signal potential liquidity constraints and a cautious outlook. Investors should watch for the upcoming Q2 2026 earnings call for guidance on product rollout timelines, cost‑control initiatives, and the pace of defense contract fulfillment, as any improvement in margins or new contract awards could alter the valuation narrative, while continued index exclusion may affect passive inflows and liquidity.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.82$-0.58$-0.35$-0.12$0.12Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26 - - -
Q1'26$-0.08$-0.08+2.0%
Q4'25$-0.06$-0.04+34.6%
Q3'25$-0.07$0.01+113.6%
Q2'25$-0.06$-0.71-1021.1%
Q1'25$-0.06$-0.25-341.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$26M$29M$32M$35M$38MQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$36M - -
Q1'26$34M$34M+0.5%
Q4'25$34M$27M-19.6%
Q3'25 - $33M -
Q2'25 - $32M -
Q1'25 - $35M -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

BBAI Stock Snapshot

BBAI is currently trading at $2.76, giving BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. a market cap of 1.32B. Today's range spans $2.73–$2.87, with shares opening at $2.85 and moving up $0.00 (0.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 14/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 53/100.

Over the past year BBAI has traded between $2.73 and $9.39 - the current price is +1.1% off the 52-week low and -70.6% from the high. 11 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $5.00 (range $5.00–$5.00), implying upside of +81.1%.

The technical setup for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) (small-cap, 1.32B market cap, Technology) is in negative territory: 14/100, SELL, with neutral sentiment at 53/100. Price: $2.76 (near 52-week lows). The 52-week range of $2.73–$9.39 defines the boundaries, and the SELL signal at this size often means that the marginal buyer has stepped back entirely - leaving price action vulnerable to any incremental selling.

For BBAI (small-cap, Technology, 1.32B market cap), the SELL technical reading (14/100) and neutral news sentiment (53/100) at $2.76 (near 52-week lows) describe a stock where the cost of patience is higher than in large-cap equivalents — thin float dynamics mean that time spent waiting for a catalyst can erode position value without the passive bid support that larger names receive. The $2.73–$9.39 annual range defines the structural stakes.