COP|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $2.63 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $2.91 | $3.24 | +11.3% |
| Q1'26 | $1.71 | $1.89 | +10.8% |
| Q4'25 | $1.12 | $1.02 | -9.1% |
| Q3'25 | $1.41 | $1.61 | +14.1% |
| Q2'25 | $1.36 | $1.42 | +4.7% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $17.6B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $19.0B | $19.5B | +2.8% |
| Q1'26 | $16.2B | $16.1B | -0.8% |
| Q4'25 | $14.3B | - | - |
| Q3'25 | - | $15.5B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $14.7B | - |
COP|Monthly Returns
Market Data
COP Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 159.51B
- P/E ratio
- 17.2
- Day range
- $131.05 – $133.62
- News sentiment
- 58/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $146.08 (+11.2%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 33 analysts
COP sits in the upper part of its 52-week range with the technical picture unresolved. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Behaviour On Record
What COP's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 32.0% 61st pct
- Below its peak
- -6.1%
- vs 200-day average
- +16.0%
- Up days (1y)
- 53%
ConocoPhillips is currently running 32.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against COP's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 61st percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 28.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
COP is trading -6.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -28.7%, and the deepest was -65.3% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +16.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 79th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year COP closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 13 years of records, COP finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -2.1% and an average of +1.8%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +2.9% on average, its weakest June at -1.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: COP has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 126 of 3,267 sessions (3.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.5% and -9.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, COP moved an average of 2.1% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.6% and a largest of +3.5%.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-18 and 2026-09-16, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against COP's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of COP's sector?
ConocoPhillips sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #2 of 11
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 80
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on COP?
UBS most recently reiterated its rating on ConocoPhillips to Buy on Sep 14, 2026 with a price target of $169 (from $153). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.
- Latest action
- UBS — Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 1
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- +1
