DailyIQ
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Sector:EnergyAll sectors
Last updated 3 minutes ago

COP·ConocoPhillips

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$119.80
Open
$119.50
Market Cap
144.78B
52W High
$135.87
Low
$116.94
P. Close
$117.15
P/E
19.77
52W Low
$85.23
Fwd P/E
41.41
DailyIQ Est.
-
Technical Score (1D)
36
SELL
News Sentiment
71
BULLISH
COP shares are trading near the midpoint of their 52‑week range, reflecting a pause in upside momentum after recent volatility. The valuation uncertainty is tied to the company's mixed short‑term performance and the lack of a clear earnings outlook. Investors should keep an eye on the upcoming earnings guidance, as any upside surprise could lift the stock in the next trading week. Meanwhile, AM Best has affirmed Sooner Insurance's excellent credit ratings, citing a loan‑back arrangement with COP that strengthens the subsidiary's balance sheet. This rating endorsement signals that COP's financial support for Sooner is robust, potentially reducing perceived credit risk in the near term. The positive credit view could dampen any negative sentiment that might arise from COP's valuation ambiguity. In the short run, the combination of a neutral valuation stance and solid credit backing suggests limited directional bias for COP. Traders should watch for the release of COP's earnings guidance and any updates on oil price dynamics, as these factors are likely to be the primary drivers of short‑term price action. Additionally, monitoring any changes in Sooner's loan terms or credit ratings could provide early signals of shifts in COP's financial stability.
Earnings Summary
ConocoPhillips is a global energy producer focused on the exploration, production, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas, and related products, operating across six geographic segments that include North America, Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, and offering a diversified portfolio that spans conventional and unconventional assets. In the energy sector, the company’s extensive global footprint and robust LNG portfolio position it to capitalize on sustained demand for energy worldwide. In the most recent four quarters, ConocoPhillips consistently beat earnings estimates, with Q4 2024 EPS of $1.98 versus $1.83 expected, Q1 2025 EPS of $2.09 versus $2.05, Q2 2025 EPS of $1.42 versus $1.36, Q3 2025 EPS of $1.61 versus $1.41, and Q1 2026 EPS of $1.89 versus $1.71; only Q4 2025 missed estimates with $1.02 versus $1.12. Revenue has fluctuated, rising to $17.1 B in Q1 2025 from $14.74 B in Q2 2025, then falling to $15.52 B in Q3 2025 and projected $14.34 B in Q4 2025, before climbing to $16.05 B in Q1 2026, slightly below the $16.18 B estimate. Historically, the company has maintained a pattern of EPS beats across six consecutive quarters, though revenue growth has been uneven, reflecting the cyclical nature of oil prices and production volumes. Recent analyst coverage has been bullish, with Truist and Mizuho lifting price targets to $128 and $150 respectively, citing a strong LNG portfolio and rising oil price forecasts, while Raymond James trimmed its target to $142 amid market volatility; these divergent views underscore sensitivity to oil price swings and earnings expectations. Investors should watch for the upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release, LNG output guidance, and short‑term oil price movements, as well as U.S. crude inventory reports and OPEC spare capacity data, which will help gauge whether the tighter macro backdrop persists and whether the company can sustain its resource base and profitability momentum.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.74$1.35$1.95$2.55$3.16Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.88 - -
Q1'26$1.71$1.89+10.8%
Q4'25$1.12$1.02-9.1%
Q3'25$1.41$1.61+14.1%
Q2'25$1.36$1.42+4.7%
Q1'25$2.05$2.09+2.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$13.6B$15.2B$16.8B$18.4B$20.0BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$19.3B - -
Q1'26$16.2B$16.1B-0.8%
Q4'25$14.3B - -
Q3'25 - $15.5B -
Q2'25 - $14.7B -
Q1'25 - $17.1B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

COP Stock Snapshot

COP is currently trading at $117.21, giving ConocoPhillips a market cap of 144.78B and a P/E ratio of 19.8. Today's range spans $116.94–$119.80, with shares opening at $119.50 and moving up $0.06 (0.1%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 36/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 71/100.

Over the past year COP has traded between $85.23 and $135.87 - the current price is +37.5% off the 52-week low and -13.7% from the high.

ConocoPhillips (COP) has 144.78B in Energy market capitalization and is currently neutral on the technical dashboard: 36/100, HOLD, price $117.21 (in the middle of its 52-week range). Sentiment reads bullish at 71/100. (P/E: 19.8) In this tier, quiet accumulation often happens in HOLD phases - active managers who want to build positions without signaling do it here, where the price isn't trending and volume patterns are easier to hide. Annual range: $85.23–$135.87.

In neutral phases, large-cap Energy names like COP are often where sector rotation debates play out quietly — at 144.78B in capitalization, the stock receives incremental allocation from funds reducing mega-cap exposure without the volatility of a small-cap entry. The 36/100 (HOLD) and bullish sentiment (71/100) at $117.21 (in the middle of its 52-week range) describe a stock that is being considered rather than avoided.