TGT|Analyst Targets
TGT|Company Info
TGT|Insider Trading
TGT|Fundamentals
TGT|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'27 | $2.07 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $2.34 | $2.46 | +5.2% |
| Q1'26 | $2.24 | $1.71 | -23.7% |
| Q3'25 | $1.71 | $1.78 | +4.1% |
| Q2'25 | $2.03 | $2.05 | +0.8% |
| Q1'25 | $1.65 | $1.30 | -21.3% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'27 | $26.7B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $26.3B | $26.5B | +0.8% |
| Q1'26 | $25.7B | $25.4B | -0.9% |
| Q3'25 | - | $25.3B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $25.2B | - |
| Q1'25 | - | $23.8B | - |
TGT|Monthly Returns
Market Data
TGT Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 73.01B
- P/E ratio
- 16.6
- Day range
- $154.60 – $158.32
- News sentiment
- 58/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $163.35 (+5.2%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 44 analysts
Trend, momentum and range position line up bullish on TGT at the moment. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Defensive tend to move together on rotation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into TGT?
At today's price, Target Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 6.0% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 7.49% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at -0.5% a year, so the market is asking for 6.5 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis TGT looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 6.0%
- Growth trend
- -0.5%
- Growth gap
- +6.5 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 7.49%
- Beta
- 0.86
Behaviour On Record
What TGT's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 34.8% 81st pct
- Below its peak
- -39.0%
- vs 200-day average
- +21.6%
- Up days (1y)
- 53%
Target Corporation is currently running 34.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TGT's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 81st percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 25.0%.
TGT is trading -39.0% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -27.4%, and the deepest was -44.1% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits +21.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 84th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year TGT closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, TGT finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.1% and an average of +3.8%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +4.7% on average, its weakest May at -3.4%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: TGT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 38 of 3,268 sessions (1.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.8% and -4.0%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TGT's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of TGT's sector?
Target Corporation sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 1st of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).
- Sector rank
- #1 of 12
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 100
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect TGT to earn?
Analysts expect Target Corporation to earn $10.52 per share in the fiscal year ending Jan 2027 and $10.70 in the fiscal year ending Jan 2030, from 2 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TGT?
Evercore ISI Group most recently reiterated its rating on Target Corporation to In-Line on Oct 13, 2026 with a price target of $165 (from $170). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.
- Latest action
- Evercore ISI Group: In-Line
- 90-day upgrades
- 1
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- +1
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Target Corporation's latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Full-year net sales growth in a range around 5 percent, one percentage point higher than the prior guidance range.
Guidance raised - 2
Excluding tariff refunds, the midpoint of the guidance range reflects a $0.75 increase versus prior guidance of $7.50 to $8.50.
Guidance raisedNew this quarter - 3
These gains contributed $752 million to net earnings and $1.65 to both GAAP and Adjusted EPS.
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
TGT peers & ETF holders
Discount StoresMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about TGT?
TGT rose 0.9% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 46 and 73 from Oct 6 to Oct 20, then dropped to 46 on Oct 21.
- Oct 22 +3.6%same day: Target Completes SoHo Store Transformation, Bringing Style and Design to Every Target Run
- Oct 23 -3.3%same day: Target (TGT) Unveiled A New Manhattan Flagship Level
- Nov 4 +5.6%same day: Amazon vs. Target: One Is Riding the AI Boom, While the Other Faces a Consumer Spending Squeeze
Technical analysis
How strong is TGT's momentum right now?
On the daily chart TGT ranks at the 90th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling TGT?
107 of the 215 tracked managers added to TGT in their latest 13F and 101 trimmed. Together they own 73.4% of the company, worth $45.8B. BlackRock and State Street alone hold 15.9%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.8.23%$5.1B positionAdded 2.1% last quarter
- 2State Street Corp7.67%$4.7B positionTrimmed 3.8% last quarter
- $3.9B positionAdded 0.8% last quarter
- 4FMR LLC (Fidelity)5.24%$3.2B positionAdded 23.8% last quarter
- $2.9B positionAdded 0.9% last quarter
- $2.0B positionAdded 10.3% last quarter
- $1.4B positionAdded 2.3% last quarter
- 8Morgan Stanley1.46%$896.3M positionTrimmed 2.6% last quarter
- $985.0M positionAdded 7.3% last quarter
- 10Goldman Sachs Group Inc1.33%$816.9M positionAdded 20.4% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading TGT?
14 members of Congress disclosed 21 TGT trades between May 7, 2014 and Sep 23, 2025: 9 buys and 12 sells, about $382.0K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has TGT done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, TGT returned +19.7%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 2 did better, led by DLTR at +41.8%.
- 1DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.up 41.8%+22.0 pts
- 2BJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.up 20.3%+0.6 pts
- 3TGTThis stockup 19.7%
- 4KOThe Coca-Cola Companyup 18.5%−1.3 pts
- 5DGDollar General Corporationup 16.3%−3.5 pts
- 6PMPhilip Morris International Inc.up 16.1%−3.7 pts
- 7PGThe Procter & Gamble Companyup 11.0%−8.7 pts
- 8MOAltria Group, Inc.up 8.5%−11.3 pts
- 16TJXThe TJX Companies, Inc.down 11.9%−31.6 pts
