Target Corporation (TGT) Stock Price, News, Analysis

Technical Score (1D)

BUY

News Sentiment

BULLISH

Target’s Q2 earnings, released 13.4 hours ago, showed revenue that beat consensus by 2.1 percent, underscoring strong sales volume and continued investment in omnichannel capabilities. However, management cut next‑quarter revenue guidance by 1.4 percent, signaling a modest slowdown that could temper short‑term momentum. The revenue beat confirms Target’s competitive pricing and scale advantages, while the guidance cut introduces uncertainty about whether the company can sustain its growth pace over the next 1–10 trading days. Investors should watch for any further guidance revisions or commentary on the drivers behind the revenue dip, as a sharper decline could weigh on the stock. The company’s emphasis on omnichannel initiatives remains a positive catalyst, but the guidance cut tempers enthusiasm. Market participants will also monitor the impact of the 34 percent six‑month rally, which has pushed the stock’s valuation above its one‑year median, to gauge whether the upside is still priced in. In the coming days, pay attention to Target’s next earnings release for clarity on whether the guidance adjustment was a temporary blip or a sign of deeper headwinds.

TGT|Analyst Targets

LOW TARGET

$125 -21.0%

3 analysts

MEAN TARGET

$163 +2.9%

30 analysts

HIGH TARGET

$200 +26.4%

11 analysts

PRICE RANGE

$125.00 - $200.00

SB / B / H / S / SS

7/8/25/3/1

DAILYIQ EST.

$163.21 (+3.2%)

TGT|Company Info

Sector

Consumer Defensive

Industry

Discount Stores

Exchange

NYQ

Country

United States

Website

target.com

Symbol

TGT

Description

Target Corporation is a leading U.S.-based retailer offering a broad selection of general merchandise. The company's core value proposition centers on providing a curated assortment of products across various categories, including apparel, beauty, electronics, home goods, and groceries. Target differentiates itself through its focus on design-driven merchandise, strategic partnerships, and a convenient shopping experience. Customers can access Target's offerings through its extensive network of physical stores and its online platform, Target.com. Founded in 1902 and headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, Target continues to serve as a prominent retail destination for a diverse customer base.

TGT|Insider Trading

Bought (1Y)

0 shares

Sold (1Y)

133,426 shares

$19.7M

Cornell Brian CExecutive Officer

Sell50,000 shares2026-08-25

Kremer Melissa KExecutive Officer

Sell15,500 shares2026-08-24

LIEGEL MATTHEW AChief Accounting Officer

Sell926 shares2026-08-21

DePinto Joseph Michael-

Award/Grant1,007 shares2026-08-03

McGee Grant BExecutive Officer

Award/Grant15,282 shares2026-06-30

TGT|Fundamentals

Neutral / mixed

Verdict: Neutral

✕Revenue declining year over year

✓Positive net margin

✓Positive operating cash flow

Gross Margin

27.9%

Net Margin

3.5%

Revenue CAGR

2.8%

Current Ratio

0.94x

Debt / Equity

0.90x

Return on Equity

22.9%

TGT|Earnings Snapshot

Earnings Summary

Target Corporation, a leading U.S. discount retailer, offers a curated assortment of apparel, beauty, electronics, home goods, and groceries through its extensive network of physical stores and online platform. The company operates in the consumer defensive sector, competing with other discount stores for price-sensitive shoppers. In the most recent quarters, Target reported Q1 2025 revenue of $23.846B and Q2 2025 revenue of $25.211B, a 5.8% YoY increase, while EPS fell from $1.65 to $1.30, missing estimates in Q1 but beating them in Q2 with $2.05 versus $2.033. The Q3 2025 EPS of $1.78 surpassed the $1.710 estimate, and revenue held steady at $25.27B, indicating a deceleration in revenue growth but an improvement in profitability. Historically, Target has shown a mixed pattern: revenue has grown YoY in most quarters, yet EPS has fluctuated, with recent beats in 3 of the last 4 quarters but misses in Q1 2025. This suggests that while sales momentum remains, margin pressures or cost increases may be eroding earnings. Recent news highlights Target’s launch of the Target Beauty Studio and the reintroduction of the Delia’s brand, both aimed at higher-margin specialty retail and enhanced in-store experience; these initiatives are expected to lift foot traffic and average ticket size, potentially improving gross margin. Investors should watch for early sales data from the Beauty Studio and Delia’s launch, as well as any updates on shoplifting mitigation costs, to gauge the impact on operating expenses and margin performance in the next earnings cycle.

Read full report

EPS

EstBeatMiss

Qtr	Est	Actual	+/−
Q3'27	$2.05	-	-
Q2'26	$2.34	$2.46	+5.2%
Q1'26	$2.24	$1.71	-23.7%
Q3'25	$1.71	$1.78	+4.1%
Q2'25	$2.03	$2.05	+0.8%
Q1'25	$1.65	$1.30	-21.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss

Qtr	Est	Actual	+/−
Q3'27	$26.7B	-	-
Q2'26	$26.3B	$26.5B	+0.8%
Q1'26	$25.7B	$25.4B	-0.9%
Q3'25	-	$25.3B	-
Q2'25	-	$25.2B	-
Q1'25	-	$23.8B	-

Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context

→

TGT|Monthly Returns

Market Data

TGT Stock Snapshot

HOLD59/100

$158.49+$0.34 (0.2%)

Market cap: 72.61B
P/E ratio: 16.5
Day range: $157.13 – $160.01
News sentiment: 63/100 · Bullish
Analyst target: $162.76 (+2.7%)
Consensus: Hold · 44 analysts

52-week range+89.9% off low · -7.2% from high

$83.44$170.75

Price $158.49 DailyIQ Est. $163.21

TGT is in a holding pattern - neither trend nor momentum has taken control. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Defensive tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into TGT?

RICH

At today's price, Target Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 13.0% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.09% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 5.8% a year, so the market is asking for 7.3 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis TGT looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth: 13.0%
Historical FCF CAGR: 5.8%
Growth gap: +7.3 pts
Verdict: RICH
Discount rate (WACC): 8.09%
Beta: 0.86

Behaviour On Record

What TGT's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d): 31.3% 74th pct
Below its peak: -41.1%
vs 200-day average: +26.3%
Up days (1y): 54%

Target Corporation is currently running 31.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TGT's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 74th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 25.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

TGT is trading -41.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -29.2%, and the deepest was -44.1% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +26.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 89th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year TGT closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, TGT finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.9% and an average of -1.4%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +4.7% on average, its weakest May at -3.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: TGT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 37 of 3,267 sessions (1.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.8% and -4.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TGT's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of TGT's sector?

Target Corporation sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank: #6 of 11
Sector state: Improving
Sector rotation score: 60

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for TGT?

CallsPuts

For Target Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 5 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 1.14), with at-the-money implied volatility around 33.9%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±3.8% move by that expiry — a range of about $148.17–$159.85.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25): 1.14
ATM implied volatility: 33.9%
Total open interest: 5,077
Expected move by 2026-09-25: ±3.8% ($148.17–$159.85)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TGT?

Telsey Advisory Group most recently reiterated its rating on Target Corporation to Outperform on Aug 20, 2026 with a price target of $182 (from $170). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action: Telsey Advisory Group — Outperform
90-day upgrades: 1
90-day downgrades: 0
Net rating momentum: +1

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Price target
Aug 20, 2026	Telsey Advisory Group	Maintained	Outperform	$170 → $182
Aug 20, 2026	Citigroup	Maintained	Neutral	$148 → $160
Aug 20, 2026	Goldman Sachs	Maintained	Neutral	$127 → $161
Aug 20, 2026	BMO Capital	Maintained	Market Perform	$150 → $160
Aug 20, 2026	Truist Securities	Maintained	Hold	$147 → $167
Aug 20, 2026	UBS	Maintained	Buy	$166 → $185
Aug 20, 2026	Barclays	Maintained	Underweight	$115 → $140
Aug 20, 2026	Piper Sandler	Maintained	Neutral	$146 → $153
Aug 20, 2026	Wells Fargo	Maintained	Overweight	$165 → $185
Aug 20, 2026	Evercore ISI Group	Maintained	In-Line	$150 → $170
Aug 20, 2026	TD Cowen	Maintained	Hold	$155 → $160
Aug 20, 2026	DA Davidson	Maintained	Buy	$170 → $185

TGT Competitive Positioning

Target Corporation (TGT) is tracked alongside these names in Discount Stores on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

TGTyou're hereTarget Corporation$72.6B+0.21%
WMTWalmart Inc.$850.1B+0.13%
COSTCostco Wholesale Corporation$397.0B+0.17%
DGDollar General Corporation$27.0B+0.24%
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.$21.4B-0.02%

Held by These ETFs

TGT is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

63/100

Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive

MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles

What did this article say?

Target has hired Mark Weinstein, former global chief marketing officer at Hilton, as its chief marketing and guest experience officer. Weinstein will oversee brand strategy, customer experience, retail media (Roundel) and the online marketplace (Target+). The move signals Target’s intent to deepen guest engagement and leverage data-driven marketing to boost sales and loyalty. Investors should monitor how quickly the new role translates into higher conversion rates and increased spend per shopper.

What did this article say?

Target is reportedly attracting shoppers away from competitors such as Ross Stores, indicating a shift in consumer preference toward its broader product mix and price points. This trend suggests stronger foot traffic and potential sales lift for Target, which could positively influence its quarterly earnings. Investors should monitor subsequent sales data and footfall metrics to gauge the durability of this shift.

What did this article say?

Target has introduced a new promotional offer aimed at re‑capturing lapsed customers. The deal provides additional savings or rewards for shoppers who may not be fully aware of the benefit, potentially boosting foot traffic and sales. While the offer is generous, it is a tactical move rather than a strategic shift, and its impact on long‑term revenue remains uncertain.

What did this article say?

Target (TGT) currently holds a stronger Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) compared to Costco’s #3 (Hold), reflecting more robust earnings estimate revisions. The analysis highlights TGT’s favorable valuation metrics—lower P/E and P/S ratios, higher earnings yield, and solid cash flow per share—suggesting it may be undervalued relative to its peer. While the comparison does not indicate an immediate catalyst, it positions TGT as a more attractive value play for investors seeking upside potential. Market participants should monitor upcoming earnings releases and any shifts in analyst consensus that could confirm or challenge this valuation advantage.

What did this article say?

Target reported second‑quarter fiscal 2026 results that beat consensus, with top and bottom lines exceeding estimates and a solid digital and high‑margin performance. Management lifted its fiscal 2026 sales and earnings guidance, citing strong traffic, tariff refunds and continued strength in non‑merchandise businesses. The upbeat outlook suggests a positive trajectory for the next earnings cycle, though the magnitude is moderate and subject to macro risks.

What did this article say?

The UK‑based NGO WRAP is developing a tiered durability standard for clothing, having already partnered with 35 brands including Target. The initiative aims to benchmark real‑world garment failure modes and create testing protocols that could influence retailer sourcing and product design. While the standard is still in its early stages, it may prompt Target to reassess supplier requirements and invest in more durable apparel lines. The move could modestly shift cost structures and supply‑chain dynamics but is unlikely to produce immediate financial impact.

What did this article say?

Target (TGT) has attracted recent attention from Zacks analysts, who are closely monitoring earnings estimate revisions. The retailer’s shares have outperformed the broader market over the past month, while the discount‑store sector has lagged. Analysts are evaluating whether recent business trends—such as merchandising and traffic recovery—are fully priced into the stock. The focus remains on whether earnings projections will rise, which could support a higher fair value for TGT.

What did this article say?

Wall Street analysts have increased Target’s (TGT) fair value estimate from approximately $133.84 to $162.76, reflecting a more optimistic view of the retailer’s merchandising and traffic recovery. The upgrade aligns with a broader trend of higher price targets across the sector. The market is watching how much of this upside is already reflected in the current share price and whether future earnings will justify the new valuation. The shift suggests a positive outlook for TGT, pending further data on sales momentum and cost management.

What did this article say?

Target is intensifying its supplier clean‑energy program to drive significant Scope 3 emissions cuts, a move that could strengthen its sustainability credentials and appeal to ESG‑focused investors. The retailer’s 2026 Sustainability and Governance Report highlights supplier energy use as the largest upstream carbon driver, prompting Target to partner with suppliers on energy efficiency, renewable procurement and low‑emission technologies. The Forward Renew program with Schneider Electric is now in its second year, expanding access to renewable solutions for all suppliers. While the initiative does not directly impact earnings, it positions Target favorably in a market increasingly valuing climate performance.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

NEUTRAL

Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.

Unlock full technicals

Create a free account to access more indicators and deeper timeframe data.

Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership

25 tracked managers · $25.33B combined position · 13 adding, 11 trimming, 1 unchanged (latest 13F filings)

Manager	Trend	Shares Held	% of Co.	Position Value	Filed
Vanguard Group Inc	▲ Buy	58,212,397	12.71%	$5.69B	2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.	▲ Buy	38,699,974	8.45%	$5.05B	2026-08-07
FMR LLC (Fidelity)	▲ Buy	24,630,329	5.38%	$3.22B	2026-08-13
Geode Capital Management, LLC	▲ Buy	10,839,432	2.37%	$1.41B	2026-08-12
Susquehanna International Group, LLP	▼ Sell	9,092,541	1.98%	$1.19B	2026-08-14
Citadel Advisors LLC	• Hold	7,164,670	1.56%	$935.78M	2026-09-02
Goldman Sachs Group Inc	▲ Buy	6,976,975	1.52%	$911.26M	2026-08-14
Morgan Stanley	▼ Sell	6,862,571	1.50%	$896.32M	2026-08-13
Norges Bank	▲ Buy	6,124,565	1.34%	$799.93M	2026-08-12
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.	▼ Sell	5,005,195	1.09%	$653.73M	2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp	▼ Sell	4,847,626	1.06%	$633.15M	2026-08-13
Bank of America Corp	▲ Buy	4,575,880	1.00%	$597.66M	2026-08-14
Invesco Ltd.	▲ Buy	4,336,265	0.95%	$566.36M	2026-08-14
Capital World Investors	▲ Buy	3,864,700	0.84%	$504.77M	2026-08-12
AQR Capital Management LLC	▲ Buy	3,272,679	0.71%	$426.99M	2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company	▼ Sell	2,951,448	0.64%	$385.49M	2026-08-14
JPMorgan Chase & Co	▼ Sell	2,534,153	0.55%	$339.37M	2026-08-12
Citigroup Inc	▲ Buy	1,719,065	0.38%	$224.53M	2026-08-03
Millennium Management LLC	▼ Sell	1,638,628	0.36%	$214.02M	2026-08-14
Balyasny Asset Management L.P.	▼ Sell	1,032,380	0.23%	$134.84M	2026-08-14
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.	▼ Sell	883,900	0.19%	$115.45M	2026-08-14
Prudential Financial Inc	▲ Buy	879,920	0.19%	$114.93M	2026-08-12
Man Group plc	▼ Sell	859,600	0.19%	$112.27M	2026-08-14
AllianceBernstein L.P.	▲ Buy	865,590	0.19%	$104.91M	2026-08-14
Squarepoint Ops LLC	▼ Sell	761,738	0.17%	$99.49M	2026-08-14

Q2 2026 flow:8.97M sh bought ($1.17B)9.54M sh sold ($1.25B)net -576.0K sh (−$76.14M)

Congressional Trading Activity

10 disclosed trades · ~$178.0K est. traded value · 4 buys, 6 sells

Member	Chamber	State	Type	Amount	Traded	Filed
Valerie Hoyle	House	OR04	▼ Sell	$1K - $15K	2025-09-23	2025-10-10
Dan Newhouse	House	WA04	▲ Buy	$1K - $15K	2025-08-18	2025-09-17
Rob Bresnahan	House	PA08	▼ Sell	$1K - $15K	2025-04-08	2025-04-28
Jefferson Shreve	House	IN06	▼ Sell	$15K - $50K	2025-04-07	2025-05-08
Julie Johnson	House	TX32	▼ Sell	$1K - $15K	2025-04-01	2025-05-14
Kelly Louise Morrison	House	MN03	▼ Sell	$15K - $50K	2025-03-21	2025-04-04
Carol Devine Miller	House	WV01	▼ Sell	$15K - $50K	2025-03-10	2026-08-13
Jefferson Shreve	House	IN06	▲ Buy	$15K - $50K	2025-03-05	2025-04-11
Kelly Louise Morrison	House	MN03	▲ Buy	$1K - $15K	2025-03-03	2025-04-04
Valerie Hoyle	House	OR04	▲ Buy	$1K - $15K	2025-02-04	2025-09-12

TGT·Target Corporation

EPS

Revenue

TGT Stock Snapshot

What growth is priced into TGT?

What TGT's own history says about today's numbers

Is money rotating into or out of TGT's sector?

What is the options market pricing for TGT?

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TGT?

TGT Competitive Positioning

Held by These ETFs

News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

Market Status

Recently Viewed

Portfolio

Email Alerts

Portfolio News

Economic Events

Earnings Events

Economic News

TGT·Target Corporation

EPS

Revenue

TGT Stock Snapshot

What growth is priced into TGT?

What TGT's own history says about today's numbers

Is money rotating into or out of TGT's sector?

What is the options market pricing for TGT?

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TGT?

TGT Competitive Positioning

Held by These ETFs

News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

Discover More

News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

Discover More

Market Status

Recently Viewed

Portfolio

Email Alerts

Portfolio News

Economic Events

Earnings Events

Economic News