HPQ·HP Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

44.1% 87th pct

Below its peak

-23.9%

vs 200-day average

+28.6%

Up days (1y)

51%

HP Inc. is currently running 44.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against HPQ's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 87th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 28.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

HPQ is trading -23.9% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -26.4%, and the deepest was -43.2% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +28.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 95th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year HPQ closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, HPQ finished the month higher 9 of 14 times, with a median return of +2.7% and an average of +1.2%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +4.7% on average, its weakest June at -2.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: HPQ has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 93 of 3,268 sessions (2.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.7% and -5.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against HPQ's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.