DailyIQ
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Sector:Financial ServicesAll sectors
Last updated 1 hour ago

KEY·KeyCorp

$.
+. (+.%)
High
$21.87
Open
$21.66
Market Cap
23.38B
52W High
$23.34
Low
$21.62
P. Close
$21.56
P/E
12.01
52W Low
$15.28
Fwd P/E
45.43
Mean Target
-
Technical Score (1D)
59
BUY
News Sentiment
60
BULLISH
KeyCorp's investment narrative is undergoing a recalibration, with a slight upward adjustment to its fair value estimate, now at $25.03. This shift reflects ongoing analyst debate, evidenced by a mixed landscape of price targets and one recent upgrade to a Neutral rating with a $19 target. Supportive factors like loan growth and net interest margins are being cited by some analysts, contributing to a generally upward trend in targets. However, other perspectives highlight warning signs, pointing to slower net interest income growth and declining earnings per share over the past five years, suggesting potential headwinds for profitability. These concerns are linked to issues like loan losses and tightening regulations. The bank's current valuation stands at 1.3x forward P/B, with ongoing questions about servicing and capital costs. Investors should watch for further clarity on loan loss provisions and the impact of regulatory changes on net interest margins in the coming trading days.
Earnings Summary
KeyCorp, a diversified financial services provider operating through KeyBank National Association, offers a comprehensive suite of banking products and services across the United States, focusing on its Consumer Bank and Commercial Bank segments. The company operates within the Financial Services sector, specifically in the Regional Banks industry, providing solutions from personal finance and lending to corporate finance and wealth management. In its most recent reported quarters, KeyCorp demonstrated an upward trend in both Earnings Per Share (EPS) and revenue. For Q1 2026, EPS was $0.44, an increase from $0.41 in Q4 2025 and $0.35 in Q2 2025, showing consistent sequential growth. Revenue also followed a positive trajectory, with Q1 2026 revenue at $1.945 billion, up from $1.997 billion in Q4 2025 (a slight sequential decrease but still strong) and $1.895 billion in Q3 2025. The company has shown a pattern of beating analyst estimates, with EPS exceeding expectations in Q4 2025, Q1 2026, and Q2 2025, indicating a positive beat rate. Historically, KeyCorp has shown a generally positive year-over-year growth trajectory in its earnings, with notable beats against analyst estimates in recent periods. For instance, the Q1 2026 results showed a significant year-over-year EPS climb of 33%. Recent news highlights a strong first quarter of 2026, with EPS of $0.44 and revenue of $1.95 billion, surpassing market expectations and driven by an 11% rise in net interest income and expanding net interest margins. Management also raised full-year net interest income guidance. Investors should watch for continued revenue growth, sustained net interest margin expansion, and the company's ability to maintain strong credit quality amidst loan growth in upcoming quarters.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.29$0.34$0.40$0.45$0.50Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.47 - -
Q1'26$0.42$0.44+5.8%
Q4'25$0.39$0.41+4.9%
Q3'25$0.38$0.41+7.6%
Q2'25$0.34$0.35+1.9%
Q1'25$0.32$0.33+4.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.7B$1.8B$1.9B$2.0B$2.1BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.0B - -
Q1'26$2.0B$1.9B-0.7%
Q4'25$2.0B$2.0B+1.0%
Q3'25 - $1.9B -
Q2'25 - $1.8B -
Q1'25 - $1.8B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

KEY Stock Snapshot

KEY is currently trading at $21.84, giving KeyCorp a market cap of 23.38B and a P/E ratio of 12.0. Today's range spans $21.62–$21.87, with shares opening at $21.66 and moving up $0.28 (1.3%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 59/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 60/100.

Over the past year KEY has traded between $15.28 and $23.34 - the current price is +42.9% off the 52-week low and -6.4% from the high.

It's a pause for KEY: technical score 59/100 (HOLD), sentiment bullish (60/100), price $21.84 (in the upper portion of its 52-week range). (P/E: 12.0) At 23.38B in Financial Services market cap, pauses like this often occur when the stock has run ahead of near-term fundamental catalysts and is waiting for earnings or macro data to validate the prior move. Annual range: $15.28–$23.34. The consolidation is the story for now.

The 52-week range of $15.28–$23.34 for KEY provides the structural reference that options traders, systematic funds, and discretionary managers all anchor to — and at $21.84 (in the upper portion of its 52-week range), the stock sits in a zone where the next 5–10% move will likely define which crowd was right. A HOLD signal at 59/100 and bullish news backdrop (60/100) don't break the tie yet, but they narrow the probability distribution toward the upside.

Recent News Coverage

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