KEY|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $0.46 | - | - |
| Q1'26 | $0.42 | $0.44 | +5.8% |
| Q4'25 | $0.39 | $0.41 | +4.9% |
| Q3'25 | $0.38 | $0.41 | +7.6% |
| Q2'25 | $0.34 | $0.35 | +1.9% |
| Q1'25 | $0.32 | $0.33 | +4.0% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $2.1B | - | - |
| Q1'26 | $2.0B | $1.9B | -0.7% |
| Q4'25 | $2.0B | $2.0B | +1.0% |
| Q3'25 | - | $1.9B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $1.8B | - |
| Q1'25 | - | $1.8B | - |
KEY|Monthly Returns
Market Data
KEY Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 23.46B
- P/E ratio
- 11.6
- Day range
- $21.64 – $22.07
- News sentiment
- 72/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $26.02 (+20.2%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 26 analysts
KEY is on the weaker side of its setup, with little confirmation for a reversal yet. In Financial Services, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.
Behaviour On Record
What KEY's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 20.4% 19th pct
- Below its peak
- -19.9%
- vs 200-day average
- +0.9%
- Up days (1y)
- 49%
KeyCorp is currently running 20.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against KEY's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 19th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 27.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
KEY is trading -19.9% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -22.0%, and the deepest was -58.4% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +0.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 42nd percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year KEY closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 14 years of records, KEY finished the month higher 4 of 14 times, with a median return of -2.0% and an average of -0.9%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +7.4% on average, its weakest March at -7.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: KEY has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 164 of 3,268 sessions (5.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.3% and -8.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against KEY's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of KEY's sector?
KeyCorp sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 4th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving). Within its narrower Banks industry group, KEY ranks 7th of 15 tracked industries, improving.
- Sector rank
- #4 of 11
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 70
- Industry rank
- #7 of 15
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on KEY?
Stephens & Co. most recently reiterated its rating on KeyCorp to Overweight on Sep 15, 2026 with a price target of $26. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Stephens & Co. — Overweight
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
