KeyCorp (KEY) Stock Price, News, Analysis

Technical Score (1D)

SELL

News Sentiment

BULLISH

KeyCorp’s accelerated share‑repurchase program, announced 147 hours ago, has bought back a sizable volume of its own stock, immediately trimming diluted shares and lifting earnings per share. The move signals management’s confidence in the firm’s valuation and may support the share price over the next ten trading days, while also setting the stage for potential adjustments to dividend policy. In a related development, the bank disclosed that it will redeem all 525,000 Series D preferred shares on September 15, 2026 at a price that includes accrued dividends; this action will reduce preferred‑equity exposure and improve capital‑structure metrics, which could influence future capital allocation decisions. The redemption also removes the call risk associated with those shares, potentially making the remaining preferred instruments more attractive if interest rates remain stable. Earlier this year, KeyCorp completed its acquisition of Clearwater Corporate Finance LLP, expanding its European middle‑market advisory footprint and creating new fee‑income opportunities; the integration progress will be a key watch item as it could affect earnings momentum in the coming quarters. The bank’s strong loan growth and efficient cost management, highlighted in recent analyst commentary, underpin expectations of continued upside as the economy stabilizes, but investors should monitor any regulatory updates that could impact credit demand. Finally, KeyCorp’s upcoming 2027 earnings conference‑call schedule, announced more than 20 days ago, provides a clear timeline for when new guidance will surface, offering a precise window for reassessing the bank’s valuation.

KEY|Company Info

Sector

Financial Services

Industry

Banks - Regional

Exchange

NYQ

Country

United States

Website

key.com

Symbol

KEY

Description

KeyCorp, through its subsidiary KeyBank National Association, is a diversified financial services provider operating across the United States. The company's core business is built around two primary segments: Consumer Bank and Commercial Bank. KeyCorp offers a comprehensive suite of banking products and services, including deposits, loans, investment management, and wealth management solutions, catering to both individual consumers and commercial clients. Its value proposition lies in providing a broad range of financial offerings, from personal finance and lending to corporate finance and capital markets services. This enables KeyCorp to serve a diverse customer base, including high-net-worth individuals, institutions, and large corporations.

KEY|Earnings Snapshot

Earnings Summary

KeyCorp, operating through KeyBank National Association, is a diversified regional bank offering consumer and commercial banking services, including deposits, loans, investment and wealth management, serving individuals, high‑net‑worth clients, institutions and large corporations. The bank’s performance is framed by the broader regional banking sector, which has been navigating tightening credit conditions and evolving regulatory capital requirements. In the most recent quarters, KeyCorp posted EPS of $0.41 in Q4 2025 and $0.44 in Q1 2026, both beating estimates of $0.391 and $0.4159 respectively, while revenue grew from $1.997 billion to $1.945 billion, a modest decline from the prior quarter but still above the $1.956 billion estimate for Q1 2026; EPS growth accelerated from $0.35 in Q2 2025 to $0.41 in Q3 2025 and maintained a positive trajectory into Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, with the bank consistently beating analyst expectations in the last four quarters. Historically, KeyCorp has shown a steady YoY revenue growth of roughly 4–5% over the past three years, with EPS rising at a slightly faster pace, and has maintained a pattern of beating earnings estimates while occasionally missing revenue forecasts, indicating robust profitability even when top‑line growth slows. Recent news highlights a significant accelerated share‑repurchase program that has reduced diluted shares and lifted EPS, as well as the planned redemption of 525,000 Series D preferred shares, which will improve capital structure and potentially free capital for dividends; the acquisition of Clearwater Corporate Finance LLP expands the bank’s European advisory footprint and could add fee‑income upside, though integration timing remains a key watch item. Investors should watch for the timing and scale of the preferred‑share redemption, the impact of the share‑repurchase pace on EPS, and the progress of the Clearwater integration, as these factors will shape capital allocation decisions and fee‑income momentum in the next earnings cycle.

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EPS

EstBeatMiss

Qtr	Est	Actual	+/−
Q3'26	$0.46	-	-
Q1'26	$0.42	$0.44	+5.8%
Q4'25	$0.39	$0.41	+4.9%
Q3'25	$0.38	$0.41	+7.6%
Q2'25	$0.34	$0.35	+1.9%
Q1'25	$0.32	$0.33	+4.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss

Qtr	Est	Actual	+/−
Q3'26	$2.1B	-	-
Q1'26	$2.0B	$1.9B	-0.7%
Q4'25	$2.0B	$2.0B	+1.0%
Q3'25	-	$1.9B	-
Q2'25	-	$1.8B	-
Q1'25	-	$1.8B	-

Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context

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Market Data

KEY Stock Snapshot

KEY is currently trading at $21.89, giving KeyCorp a market cap of 24.51B and a P/E ratio of 12.1. Today's range spans $21.71–$22.03, with shares opening at $21.90 and moving up $0.00 (0.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 18/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 70/100.

Over the past year KEY has traded between $16.47 and $24.07 - the current price is +32.9% off the 52-week low and -9.1% from the high. 26 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $26.02 (range $22.00–$43.00), implying upside of +18.9%.

Earnings estimate risk is at the forefront for KeyCorp (KEY) - a large-cap Financial Services name (24.51B market cap) showing a SELL (18/100) alongside bullish sentiment (70/100) often flags a period where consensus estimates are still catching down to what the market is already pricing in. Price: $21.89 (in the upper portion of its 52-week range in $16.47–$24.07). (P/E: 12.1) Active managers who track the technical-fundamental gap tend to position ahead of the revision, not after it.

Analyst coverage for KEY becomes a double-edged factor in a SELL phase: at 24.51B in Financial Services market cap, active coverage is high enough that downgrade risk is real and impactful. The 18/100 technical reading and bullish sentiment (70/100) at $21.89 (in the upper portion of its 52-week range) place the stock in the zone where one or two high-profile estimate cuts can convert a grinding decline into a sharper re-rating, the $16.47–$24.07 range establishes where that repricing lands.

KEY Competitive Positioning

KeyCorp (KEY) is tracked alongside these names in Banks - Regional on DailyIQ.

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

70/100

Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive

BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles

What did this article say?

KeyCorp (KEY) posted a 5.9% year‑to‑date gain, trailing the Bank of New York Mellon’s 35.4% rally but still outperforming the broader banking sector’s 21.1% rise. The modest upside reflects KEY’s stable net interest income and margin growth, supported by a solid deposit base and incremental balance‑sheet expansion. Investors should monitor KEY’s upcoming earnings for guidance on loan growth, interest‑rate sensitivity, and any changes in regulatory capital requirements.

What did this article say?

KeyCorp has intensified its share repurchase program, buying back a significant volume of its own stock. The accelerated buyback lifts earnings per share by reducing diluted shares outstanding. Investors should note that the program also signals confidence in the company’s valuation and may support the share price. The move underscores KeyCorp’s preference for returning capital to shareholders rather than expanding operations. Analysts will watch for any changes in the buyback pace and the impact on dividend policy.

What did this article say?

KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY) has announced its intent to redeem all 525,000 depositary shares of its Series D Fixed-to-Floating Rate Perpetual Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock on September 15, 2026. The redemption will occur at a price of $25,312.50 per share, reflecting the liquidation preference plus accrued dividends. Upon completion, the preferred shares will be retired, eliminating all associated rights except payment of the redemption price. This action reduces the company’s preferred equity exposure and may improve capital structure metrics. Investors should monitor the timing of the redemption and any impact on the company’s dividend policy.

What did this article say?

KeyCorp’s preferred shares KEY.PR.J/K and KEY.PR.I are compared on yield, duration, and call risk. The analysis highlights differences in yield profiles and maturity dates. Call risk assessment considers potential redemption triggers amid uncertain interest rates. Investors should monitor how rate movements affect the attractiveness of each series.

What did this article say?

No summary available yet for this article.

What did this article say?

KeyCorp’s valuation models suggest the stock trades below intrinsic value, yet its 148.9% three‑year return and recent investments in advisory services indicate upside potential, while macro‑economic uncertainty could dampen deal activity and credit demand.

What did this article say?

KeyBank’s latest Middle Market Sentiment Report indicates that 77% of executives view their financial outlook as excellent or very good, despite a flat 51% confidence in the broader U.S. economy. The report underscores sustained investment activity in the middle market amid growing economic uncertainty. This resilience suggests that KeyBank’s lending portfolio may remain robust, supporting its credit exposure. Traders should monitor the report’s quarterly updates for shifts in executive sentiment. The data also highlights potential opportunities for KeyBank’s corporate banking services. KeyBank’s strong middle market positioning could buffer against macroeconomic volatility.

What did this article say?

KEY announced the acquisition of Clearwater UK, adding a significant advisory platform to its global footprint. The deal is expected to increase fee generation from buyout and restructuring transactions, reinforcing KEY’s long‑term growth strategy. Analysts note that the expanded client base and cross‑border capabilities could enhance fee diversification. Key investors should monitor the integration timeline and any regulatory approvals that could delay revenue realization.

What did this article say?

Keyera Corp. (TSX: KEY) released its second‑quarter 2026 financial results, covering the period ended June 30. The company provided a concise earnings summary and directed readers to its full MD&A and filings on SEDAR+. No significant deviations from prior guidance were noted, and the announcement focuses on operational performance and future outlook. Traders should note the company’s emphasis on maintaining stable cash flow and its plans for capital allocation in the coming quarters.

What did this article say?

KeyBank marks the third anniversary of its Key Select Checking program, awarding nearly $7 million in annual bonuses to clients. The move underscores the bank’s focus on rewarding loyalty and maintaining competitive advantage in the retail banking space. Traders should watch how the bonus payout affects the bank’s net interest margin and client retention metrics in upcoming earnings releases.