OWL·Blue Owl Capital Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

24.9% 8th pct

Below its peak

-65.2%

vs 200-day average

-13.5%

Up days (1y)

45%

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is currently running 24.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against OWL's own 6 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 8th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 40.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

OWL is trading -65.2% below its running peak. Across 5 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -28.8%, and the deepest was -48.5% in 2025. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -13.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 24th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year OWL closed higher on 45% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 6 years of records, OWL finished the month higher 4 of 6 times, with a median return of +4.5% and an average of +5.1%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +9.9% on average, its weakest February at -5.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: OWL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 192 of 1,463 sessions (13.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.2% and -6.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 1,464 daily closes between 2020-12-14 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against OWL's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.