PSX·Phillips 66
PSX|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $10.61 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $7.51 | $9.41 | +25.2% |
| Q1'26 | $-0.39 | $0.49 | +225.7% |
| Q4'25 | $2.19 | $2.47 | +13.0% |
| Q3'25 | $2.16 | $2.52 | +16.8% |
| Q2'25 | $1.71 | $2.38 | +38.9% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $39.8B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $44.2B | $52.0B | +17.9% |
| Q1'26 | $33.4B | $33.0B | -1.2% |
| Q4'25 | $32.4B | - | - |
| Q3'25 | - | $35.0B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $33.5B | - |
PSX|Monthly Returns
Market Data
PSX Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 110.35B
- P/E ratio
- 15.6
- Day range
- $271.00 – $277.12
- News sentiment
- 56/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $251.95 (-7.9%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 27 analysts
PSX's technical picture is constructive, with trend and momentum pointing the same direction. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.
Behaviour On Record
What PSX's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 26.6% 49th pct
- Below its peak
- -0.4%
- vs 200-day average
- +53.8%
- Up days (1y)
- 55%
Phillips 66 is currently running 26.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against PSX's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 49th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 27.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
PSX is at its running peak. Across 12 full years on file its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -27.7%, with the deepest at -61.5% in 2020 — so highs have historically been given back before they were extended.
Price sits +53.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 100th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year PSX closed higher on 55% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 13 years of records, PSX finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.2% and an average of -0.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.3% on average, its weakest June at -1.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: PSX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 141 of 3,267 sessions (4.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.4% and -5.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, PSX moved an average of 2.1% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +2.6% and a largest of +2.8%.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against PSX's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of PSX's sector?
Phillips 66 sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #2 of 11
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 80
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on PSX?
BMO Capital most recently reiterated its rating on Phillips 66 to Outperform on Sep 17, 2026 with a price target of $310 (from $260). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- BMO Capital — Outperform
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
PSX Competitive Positioning
- PSXyou're herePhillips 66$110.3B+0.18%
- MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation$117.8B+0.15%
- VLOValero Energy Corporation$116.2B+0.30%
