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Last updated 1 hour ago

VLO·Valero Energy Corporation

$.
-. (-.%)
High
$245.08
Open
$243.26
Market Cap
75.89B
52W High
$263.75
Low
$241.38
P. Close
$246.96
P/E
18.04
52W Low
$125.10
Fwd P/E
12.60
Mean Target
-
Technical Score (1D)
73
BUY
News Sentiment
65
BULLISH
Jefferies has adjusted its price target for Valero Energy (VLO) to $284 from $290, while maintaining a \"Buy\" rating, indicating continued analyst confidence despite the minor reduction. This comes as Valero is currently benefiting from favorable refining fundamentals, with tighter supplies of refined fuels driving stronger pricing power. Additionally, wider discounts on crude oil purchases are enhancing the company's cost structure, collectively supporting improved refining margins. Geopolitical events are also contributing to wider crude differentials, a factor that Valero's strategically positioned U.S. Gulf Coast operations are well-equipped to capitalize on, particularly with access to discounted heavy sour crude and robust export markets. The company's complex and flexible refining system allows it to efficiently process various feedstocks and adapt its product mix to capture higher margins. Valero is exhibiting strong momentum characteristics, suggesting positive market sentiment and performance trends that could support continued upward price movement. Investors will be watching for any further shifts in analyst sentiment or sustained improvements in refining margins as key indicators.
Earnings Summary
Valero Energy Corporation is a global leader in the production and distribution of transportation fuels and petrochemical products, operating within the Energy sector's Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry. The company refines crude oil into essential products and also engages in renewable diesel and ethanol production, serving a diverse customer base across multiple continents. In its most recent reported quarters, Valero demonstrated an accelerating trend in both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. For Q1 2026, EPS was $4.22 compared to an estimate of $7.96, and revenue was $32.38 billion against an estimate of $36.31 billion. This followed a strong Q4 2025 where EPS of $3.82 beat the estimate of $3.30, and revenue of $30.37 billion surpassed the estimate of $28.32 billion. The prior two quarters, Q2 2025 and Q3 2025, also showed positive EPS performance with actuals of $2.28 and $3.66 respectively, exceeding estimates of $1.77 and $3.05. Revenue trends in these earlier quarters were $29.89 billion and $32.17 billion, respectively. Valero has exhibited a pattern of beating analyst estimates for EPS in the last four reported quarters, indicating consistent operational performance. Revenue growth has also been observed, with Q3 2025 showing a notable increase from the preceding quarters. Recent news highlights Valero's strong momentum, with a significant surge in stock price over the past year, though a slight recent pullback has led to investor questions about current valuation. The company's first-quarter earnings showed a substantial year-over-year improvement, aligning with the upcoming peak driving season which could boost energy demand. Additionally, Valero has demonstrated a robust strategy for returning capital to shareholders, exceeding payout targets and significantly reducing its share count since 2021, supported by investments in refining optimization and low-carbon fuels. Investors will be watching for continued strong performance during the peak driving season and how the company manages its capital return strategy amidst fluctuating energy prices and ongoing geopolitical factors. Key will be the company's ability to maintain its growth trajectory and respond to evolving fuel demand and regulatory landscapes.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.89$2.07$5.02$7.98$10.93Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$9.57 - -
Q1'26$7.96$4.22-47.0%
Q4'25$3.30$3.82+15.8%
Q3'25$3.05$3.66+19.9%
Q2'25$1.77$2.28+29.1%
Q1'25$0.48$0.89+86.7%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$26.9B$30.0B$33.1B$36.3B$39.4BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$37.9B - -
Q1'26$36.3B$32.4B-10.8%
Q4'25$28.3B$30.4B+7.2%
Q3'25 - $32.2B -
Q2'25 - $29.9B -
Q1'25 - $30.3B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

VLO Stock Snapshot

VLO is currently trading at $244.73, giving Valero Energy Corporation a market cap of 75.89B and a P/E ratio of 18.0. Today's range spans $241.38–$245.08, with shares opening at $243.26 and moving down $2.23 (0.9%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 73/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 65/100.

Over the past year VLO has traded between $125.10 and $263.75 - the current price is +95.6% off the 52-week low and -7.2% from the high.

In the Energy peer group, Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) stands out for a BUY signal backed by aligned sentiment - score 73/100, sentiment bullish at 65/100, price $244.73 (in the upper portion of its 52-week range). (P/E: 18.0) With 75.89B in market cap, this is large enough to feature on institutional watch lists but small enough to re-rate meaningfully on a positive earnings surprise. The 52-week span of $125.10–$263.75 shows the stock has already proven it can make significant moves.

Earnings revision cycles in large-cap Energy names tend to compound: when technicals confirm a BUY thesis (73/100) and news sentiment (65/100, bullish) supports the narrative, analyst upgrades follow price rather than lead it. At $244.73 (in the upper portion of its 52-week range), VLO's position within the $125.10–$263.75 annual range suggests there's room for multiple expansion before the stock encounters meaningful technical resistance.

Recent News Coverage

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