REG·Regency Centers Corporation

Realized volatility (21d)

10.0% 2nd pct

Below its peak

-16.0%

vs 200-day average

-6.3%

Up days (1y)

48%

Regency Centers Corporation is currently running 10.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against REG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 2nd percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 18.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

REG is trading -16.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.0%, and the deepest was -49.8% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -6.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 19th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year REG closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, REG finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.9% and an average of +1.6%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +2.5% on average, its weakest September at -2.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: REG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 109 of 3,267 sessions (3.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.5% and -8.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against REG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.