RJF·Raymond James Financial, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

19.3% 28th pct

Below its peak

-13.5%

vs 200-day average

-2.5%

Up days (1y)

52%

Raymond James Financial, Inc. is currently running 19.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RJF's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 28th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 23.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

RJF is trading -13.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.3%, and the deepest was -45.6% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -2.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 22nd percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year RJF closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, RJF finished the month higher 10 of 13 times, with a median return of +5.1% and an average of +4.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.2% on average, its weakest March at -3.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: RJF has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 161 of 3,267 sessions (4.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +55.5% and -15.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, RJF moved an average of 0.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.8% and a largest of -1.1%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RJF's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.