ROK|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26 | $2.48 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $3.41 | $3.49 | +2.4% |
| Q2'26 | $3.10 | $3.30 | +6.4% |
| Q3'25 | $2.94 | $3.34 | +13.6% |
| Q2'25 | $2.67 | $2.82 | +5.7% |
| Q1'25 | $2.12 | $2.45 | +15.8% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26 | $2.1B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $2.3B | $2.3B | +2.1% |
| Q2'26 | $2.2B | $2.2B | +0.4% |
| Q3'25 | - | $2.3B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $2.1B | - |
| Q1'25 | - | $2.0B | - |
ROK|Monthly Returns
Market Data
ROK Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 46.38B
- P/E ratio
- 38.6
- Day range
- $415.31 – $423.13
- News sentiment
- 62/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $478.62 (+14.7%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 35 analysts
Rockwell Automation, Inc. is trading in the middle of its 52-week range with momentum still pointing lower. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into ROK?
At today's price, Rockwell Automation, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 28.1% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.16% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 6.1% a year, so the market is asking for 22.0 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis ROK looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 28.1%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 6.1%
- Growth gap
- +22.0 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 10.16%
- Beta
- 1.10
Behaviour On Record
What ROK's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 19.3% 28th pct
- Below its peak
- -16.7%
- vs 200-day average
- -1.3%
- Up days (1y)
- 51%
Rockwell Automation, Inc. is currently running 19.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ROK's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 28th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 24.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
ROK is trading -16.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.5%, and the deepest was -44.3% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits -1.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 34th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year ROK closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 14 years of records, ROK finished the month higher 6 of 14 times, with a median return of -0.1% and an average of -0.9%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.5% on average, its weakest March at -1.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: ROK has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 145 of 3,268 sessions (4.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.2% and -10.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, ROK moved an average of 2.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +1.1% and a largest of +4.5%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ROK's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of ROK's sector?
Rockwell Automation, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).
- Sector rank
- #11 of 11
- Sector state
- Lagging
- Sector rotation score
- 10
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on ROK?
Morgan Stanley most recently reiterated its rating on Rockwell Automation, Inc. to Overweight on Sep 2, 2026 with a price target of $545 (from $525). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Morgan Stanley — Overweight
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
ROK Competitive Positioning
- ROKyou're hereRockwell Automation, Inc.$46.4B-0.41%
- EMREmerson Electric Co.$82.7B+0.25%
- XYLXylem Inc.$25.0B+0.01%
- NDSNNordson Corporation$17.2B+0.61%
- GNRCGenerac Holdings Inc.$10.4B-0.97%
- AOSA. O. Smith Corporation$7.8B-0.26%
