RTX·RTX Corporation

Realized volatility (21d)

17.7% 40th pct

Below its peak

-18.7%

vs 200-day average

-5.8%

Up days (1y)

50%

RTX Corporation is currently running 17.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RTX's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 40th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 19.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

RTX is trading -18.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -16.4%, and the deepest was -51.9% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -5.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 18th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year RTX closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, RTX finished the month higher 9 of 14 times, with a median return of +2.0% and an average of +2.5%. Its strongest month historically has been February at +2.9% on average, its weakest March at -2.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: RTX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 64 of 3,268 sessions (2.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +36.1% and -6.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, RTX moved an average of 2.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.8% and a largest of -4.3%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RTX's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.