DailyIQ
Last updated3 minutes ago

SRE·Sempra

$82.99
-0.35 (-0.42%)
Overnight$82.99+0.00 (+0.00%)
High
$84.13
Open
$83.63
Market Cap
54.50B
52W High
$101.04
Low
$82.82
P. Close
$82.99
P/E
23.89
52W Low
$78.86
Fwd P/E
15.10
DailyIQ Est.
$104.88
Inst. Ownership
51.8%
Short Interest
1.58%
Days to Cover
2.5
Technical Score (1D)
23
SELL
News Sentiment
76
BULLISH
Sempra Energy’s most recent announcement was the NYSE opening‑bell ceremony, where the company underscored its intent to simplify operations, strengthen its balance sheet, and invest in critical U.S. energy infrastructure, signaling confidence in meeting rising demand in major markets. This public commitment dovetails with the company’s ongoing pipeline expansion and renewable portfolio growth, which analysts cite as key drivers of its bullish outlook. However, several major banks have trimmed their price targets—JPMorgan, Mizuho, and Truist all lowered expectations—reflecting concerns about earnings trajectory, competitive pressures, and regulatory scrutiny, particularly in California. The California wildfire liability bill that caps insurer exposure has heightened Sempra’s risk profile, potentially compressing future premium pricing and adding uncertainty to its earnings. Despite these headwinds, Jefferies upgraded Sempra to a strong buy, citing a favorable regulatory environment for regulated utilities and grid modernization, which may support valuation in the near term. The divergence between upgrades and downgrades creates a mixed signal; traders should watch the next earnings release for guidance on capital allocation toward green assets and any updates on the California policy’s implementation. Monitoring regulatory developments in California and the company’s capital recycling from the Ecogas México sale will also be critical, as these factors could materially affect cash flow and risk exposure over the next 1–10 trading days.
Earnings Summary
Sempra Energy is a global energy infrastructure firm focused on regulated utilities and infrastructure development, operating through California, Texas Utilities, and Infrastructure segments that deliver natural gas, electricity, and cleaner energy projects across the U.S., Mexico, and internationally. In the most recent quarters, the company posted a modest EPS decline from $1.44 in Q1 2025 to $0.89 in Q2 2025, while revenue fell from $3.802 billion to $3.0 billion, reflecting a 21% revenue contraction and a 38% EPS drop; however, the company still beat estimates in Q2 2025 with an EPS of $0.89 versus an estimate of $0.85. The following quarter, Q3 2025, saw EPS rebound to $1.11 against an estimate of $0.91, and revenue rose to $3.151 billion, indicating a 4.9% revenue increase and a 24% EPS gain, again beating guidance. Historically, Sempra has shown a YoY revenue growth trend of roughly 5–10% over the past four quarters, with EPS fluctuating between misses and beats; the company has consistently outperformed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters while maintaining steady revenue growth despite occasional EPS misses. Recent news highlights the company’s NYSE opening‑bell ceremony where Sempra emphasized simplifying operations, strengthening its balance sheet, and investing in critical U.S. infrastructure, signaling confidence in meeting rising demand; this operational focus may help mitigate regulatory and rate‑setting volatility, though analysts have trimmed price targets amid concerns about earnings trajectory and competitive pressures. Investors should watch for the next earnings release to gauge capital allocation toward green assets, any updates on California wildfire liability policy implementation, and how the company’s simplification strategy translates into cost savings and margin stability, as these factors will be key to understanding future earnings momentum.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.75$0.97$1.18$1.39$1.61Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.08 - -
Q2'26$1.07$1.16+8.5%
Q1'26$1.01$1.51+49.4%
Q4'25$1.18$1.28+8.2%
Q3'25$0.91$1.11+21.7%
Q2'25$0.85$0.89+4.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.8B$3.2B$3.6B$4.0B$4.3BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$3.2B - -
Q2'26$3.2B$3.0B-6.9%
Q1'26$4.2B$3.7B-12.0%
Q4'25$4.1B$3.7B-8.3%
Q3'25 - $3.2B -
Q2'25 - $3.0B -

Market Data

SRE Stock Snapshot

SELL23/100
$82.99+$0.00 (0.0%)
Market cap
54.50B
P/E ratio
23.9
Day range
$82.82 – $84.13
News sentiment
76/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$101.82 (+22.7%)
Consensus
Buy · 26 analysts
52-week range+5.2% off low · -17.9% from high
$78.86$101.04
Price $82.99 DailyIQ Est. $104.88

Momentum has rolled over on Sempra, which is what drives the bearish read. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What SRE's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
28.6% 90th pct
Below its peak
-16.0%
vs 200-day average
-7.9%
Up days (1y)
51%

Sempra is currently running 28.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against SRE's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 90th percentile elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 18.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

SRE is trading -16.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -17.1%, and the deepest was -45.0% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -7.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 9th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year SRE closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, SRE finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.2% and an average of -0.6%. Its strongest month historically has been October at +2.7% on average, its weakest December at -1.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: SRE has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 59 of 3,267 sessions (1.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.0% and -6.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, SRE moved an average of 0.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.0% and a largest of +1.3%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against SRE's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of SRE's sector?

Sempra sits in the Utilities sector, currently ranked 10th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#10 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
20

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for SRE?

CallsPuts

For Sempra's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 31 days out), open interest is tracked across both sides of the chain, with at-the-money implied volatility around 1.6%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±0.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $85.01–$85.78.

ATM implied volatility
1.6%
Total open interest
55
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±0.5% ($85.01–$85.78)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on SRE?

Truist Securities most recently reiterated its rating on Sempra to Buy on Sep 3, 2026 with a price target of $96 (from $100). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 1 downgrade, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Truist SecuritiesBuy
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 3, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$100 → $96
Sep 2, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$113 → $102
Sep 1, 2026JefferiesUpgradeHold → Buy$101 → $97
Aug 31, 2026MizuhoDowngradeOutperform → Neutral$104 → $84
Aug 21, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$108 → $104
Aug 13, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$107 → $100
Jul 22, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedOutperform$103 → $102
Jul 9, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$105 → $103
Jul 8, 2026TD CowenInitiatedBuy-
May 18, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$108 → $104
May 11, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedOutperform$105 → $103
Apr 21, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$105 → $104

SRE Competitive Positioning

Sempra (SRE) is tracked alongside these names in Utilities - Diversified on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.