DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated 1 hour ago

TSCO·Tractor Supply Company

$.
-. (-.%)
High
$31.97
Open
$31.40
Market Cap
16.58B
52W High
$63.99
Low
$30.61
P. Close
$31.62
P/E
15.34
52W Low
$29.42
Fwd P/E
-
Mean Target
-
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
42
BEARISH
Piper Sandler has downgraded Tractor Supply Company to Neutral, citing concerns over weakening pet spending trends and potential pressure on 2026 guidance following a weak first-quarter report. The firm reduced its price target significantly, highlighting that rising pet ownership costs could impact companion animal trends for an extended period. This suggests that comparable sales may remain pressured in the medium term as consumers adjust to higher pet-related expenses. Investors will be watching to see if management can effectively navigate these headwinds and reassure the market about future growth prospects.
Earnings Summary
Tractor Supply Company is a prominent U.S. retailer specializing in products for rural and recreational lifestyles, offering a wide array of items from livestock and pet supplies to seasonal equipment and hardware. Operating under various banners including Tractor Supply Company and Petsense, the company serves a niche market focused on farm, ranch, and outdoor living. In its most recent reported quarters, TSCO experienced a deceleration in performance. For Q1 2026, the company reported an actual EPS of $0.31 against an estimate of $0.86698, and revenue of $3.59 billion against an estimate of $4.68 billion. This followed a Q4 2025 where actual EPS was $0.43 versus an estimate of $0.4719, with revenue of $3.90 billion against an estimate of $4.08 billion. Looking at the prior two quarters, Q3 2025 saw actual EPS of $0.49 against an estimate of $0.48185, and Q2 2025 reported actual EPS of $0.81 against an estimate of $0.80241. This indicates a recent trend of missing EPS estimates, particularly in the latest quarter, and a revenue miss in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 after beating estimates in prior periods. Historically, TSCO has shown a mixed beat/miss pattern, having beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 reported quarters prior to the most recent Q1 2026 miss. The company's revenue growth trajectory has been inconsistent, with recent quarters showing misses against estimates. Recent news highlights a significant stock decline following the Q1 2026 earnings report, where the company missed EPS and comparable store sales expectations, leading to TSCO being the worst-performing S&P 500 stock on that day. Despite this, the company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 outlook. Management noted a cautious consumer spending environment and a need for "decisive action" to improve performance, particularly in the companion animal category, while highlighting market share gains in farm and ranch categories and strong digital sales. Investors will be watching for management's specific strategies to address current performance issues and any further commentary on consumer trends in the upcoming quarters, as well as the company's ability to deliver on its reaffirmed 2026 guidance.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.23$0.41$0.59$0.77$0.95Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$0.87$0.31-64.2%
Q4'25$0.47$0.43-8.9%
Q3'25$0.48$0.49+1.7%
Q2'25$0.80$0.81+0.9%
Q1'25$0.37$0.34-7.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.3B$3.7B$4.1B$4.5B$4.9BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$4.7B$3.6B-23.3%
Q4'25$4.1B$3.9B-4.4%
Q3'25 - $3.7B -
Q2'25 - $4.4B -
Q1'25 - $3.5B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

TSCO Stock Snapshot

TSCO is currently trading at $30.67, giving Tractor Supply Company a market cap of 16.58B and a P/E ratio of 15.3. Today's range spans $30.61–$31.97, with shares opening at $31.40 and moving down $0.95 (3.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 27/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 42/100.

Over the past year TSCO has traded between $29.42 and $63.99 - the current price is +4.2% off the 52-week low and -52.1% from the high.

The technical and sentiment data for Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) both point lower - 27/100, SELL, sentiment neutral at 42/100, price $30.67 (near 52-week lows). The current P/E ratio stands at 15.3. As a large-cap with 16.58B in Consumer Cyclical, this is a name that short sellers actively cover: liquid enough to short with minimal borrowing friction, large enough to matter to a portfolio. Annual range: $29.42–$63.99.

Analyst coverage for TSCO becomes a double-edged factor in a SELL phase: at 16.58B in Consumer Cyclical market cap, active coverage is high enough that downgrade risk is real and impactful. The 27/100 technical reading and neutral sentiment (42/100) at $30.67 (near 52-week lows) place the stock in the zone where one or two high-profile estimate cuts can convert a grinding decline into a sharper re-rating — the $29.42–$63.99 range establishes where that repricing lands.

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