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UI·Ubiquiti Inc.

$564.73
+11.82 (+2.14%)
High
$569.78
Open
$559.90
Market Cap
34.15B
52W High
$1,099.99
Low
$552.40
P. Close
$564.73
P/E
35.56
52W Low
$500.23
Fwd P/E
28.24
DailyIQ Est.
$637.00
Inst. Ownership
2.4%
Short Interest
0.82%
Days to Cover
2.2
Technical Score (1D)
55
BUY
News Sentiment
29
BEARISH
Ubiquiti’s price target has been slashed by 11 % to $749.19, the most recent shift in analyst sentiment, reflecting worries that the company’s earnings miss and weaker‑than‑expected revenue growth may not be sustainable amid a broader industry slowdown and mounting competition. The cut follows a series of earnings reports that, while beating consensus on a per‑share basis, have been tempered by rising component and logistics costs that threaten margin compression. Investors should note that the company’s Q4 results still delivered a 23.5 % year‑over‑year lift in its Enterprise Technology segment, yet the market reacted negatively, with shares falling over 8 % despite the earnings beat and a dividend hike to $1.00 per share. The dividend increase, part of a modest top‑raiser list for the week of August 15‑21, signals continued financial stability but also underscores the company’s focus on returning value to shareholders amid cost pressures. The extended $500 million stock‑repurchase program through September 2027 further signals confidence in long‑term value, yet the underlying cost dynamics remain a key risk. Over the next 1–10 trading days, watch for the company’s next quarterly guidance to see whether it can maintain revenue momentum while managing the component cost squeeze. Also monitor any updates on the competitive landscape in the wireless infrastructure space, as intensified rivalry could erode the enterprise‑technology advantage that has driven recent growth. Finally, keep an eye on broader macro inputs—such as supply‑chain inflation and interest‑rate expectations—that could influence the cost base and, by extension, Ubiquiti’s profitability trajectory.
Earnings Summary
Ubiquiti Inc. is a technology company specializing in networking solutions for service providers, enterprises, and consumers worldwide, offering wireless broadband infrastructure, video surveillance, switching, routing, and door access systems. Operating in the communication equipment sector, the firm differentiates itself through proprietary platforms such as airMAX and airFiber that enhance network performance and reliability. In Q1 2025 Ubiquiti reported earnings per share of $3.01 against an estimate of $1.97, while revenue reached $664.17 million, indicating a strong earnings beat and solid top‑line performance. The company’s most recent quarter, Q4 2026, delivered EPS of $4.73 versus an estimate of $3.93 and revenue of $937.32 million against a forecast of $876.01 million, continuing the upward trajectory in both earnings and sales. Compared to the prior two quarters (Q3 2026 and Q1 2025), the firm has accelerated its EPS growth from $3.01 to $4.73 and maintained revenue growth, with Q4 2026 surpassing the $876 million estimate and Q1 2025 exceeding the $664 million figure, demonstrating a pattern of beating analyst expectations in the last two quarters. Historically, Ubiquiti has shown a consistent YoY revenue expansion, with Q4 2026 revenue up 23.5 % YoY in its Enterprise Technology segment, while EPS has trended upward despite occasional misses; the company has beat estimates in the last two quarters and missed in Q3 2026 where EPS was not reported. Recent news highlights a price target cut of 11 % to $749.19 following a weaker‑than‑expected revenue growth and an earnings miss, reflecting concerns over rising component costs that could compress margins; the firm’s dividend hike to $1.00 per share and extension of its $500 million stock‑repurchase program signal confidence in long‑term value but also underscore cost uncertainty. Investors should watch the next quarterly guidance for updates on revenue mix, particularly the performance of the Enterprise Technology segment, and for any cost‑control initiatives that address component cost inflation, as these factors will be key to sustaining the firm’s earnings momentum and mitigating margin pressure.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.56$2.45$3.35$4.25$5.14Q1'25Q4'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$4.29 - -
Q4'26$3.93$4.73+20.4%
Q1'25$1.97$3.01+52.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$623M$712M$801M$890M$978MQ1'25Q4'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$778M - -
Q4'26$876M$937M+7.0%
Q1'25 - $664M -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

UI Stock Snapshot

HOLD55/100
$564.73+$11.82 (2.1%)
Market cap
34.15B
P/E ratio
35.6
Day range
$552.40 – $569.78
News sentiment
29/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$734.50 (+30.1%)
Consensus
Sell · 12 analysts
52-week range+12.9% off low · -48.7% from high
$500.23$1099.99
Price $564.73 DailyIQ Est. $637.00

UI sits near its 52-week low with the technical picture unresolved. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into UI?

RICH

At today's price, Ubiquiti Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 30.6% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.81% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 18.2% a year, so the market is asking for 12.4 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis UI looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
30.6%
Historical FCF CAGR
18.2%
Growth gap
+12.4 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
10.81%
Beta
1.17

Behaviour On Record

What UI's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
55.1% 73rd pct
Below its peak
-47.6%
vs 200-day average
-14.0%
Up days (1y)
53%

Ubiquiti Inc. is currently running 55.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against UI's own 7 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 73rd percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 38.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

UI is trading -47.6% below its running peak. Across 6 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -34.1%, and the deepest was -65.1% in 2023. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -14.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 22nd percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year UI closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 8 years of records, UI finished the month higher 3 of 8 times, with a median return of -4.2% and an average of +0.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +10.6% on average, its weakest February at -3.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: UI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 142 of 1,776 sessions (8.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.7% and -17.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 1,777 daily closes between 2019-08-20 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against UI's own 7-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of UI's sector?

Ubiquiti Inc. sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging). Within its narrower Semiconductors industry group, UI ranks 13th of 15 tracked industries, lagging.

Sector rank
#6 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
50
Industry rank
#13 of 15

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on UI?

BWS Financial most recently reiterated its rating on Ubiquiti Inc. to Buy on Aug 27, 2026 with a price target of $980. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
BWS Financial — Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 27, 2026BWS FinancialMaintainedBuy$980
Aug 24, 2026BarclaysMaintainedUnderweight$672 → $489
Jul 8, 2026BWS FinancialMaintainedBuy$980
May 11, 2026BWS FinancialMaintainedBuy$980
May 11, 2026BarclaysMaintainedUnderweight$527 → $672
Apr 13, 2026BWS FinancialMaintainedBuy$720 → $980
Feb 9, 2026BWS FinancialMaintainedBuy$720
Feb 9, 2026BarclaysMaintainedUnderweight$455 → $527
Jan 15, 2026BWS FinancialMaintainedBuy$720
Nov 11, 2025BWS FinancialMaintainedBuy$720
Nov 11, 2025BarclaysMaintainedUnderweight$299 → $455
Oct 13, 2025BWS FinancialMaintainedBuy$600 → $720

UI Competitive Positioning

Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) is tracked alongside these names in Communication Equipment on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

Held by These ETFs

UI is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.