UI·Ubiquiti Inc.
UI|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $4.29 | - | - |
| Q4'26 | $3.93 | $4.73 | +20.4% |
| Q1'25 | $1.97 | $3.01 | +52.5% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $778M | - | - |
| Q4'26 | $876M | $937M | +7.0% |
| Q1'25 | - | $664M | - |
UI|Monthly Returns
Market Data
UI Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 35.68B
- P/E ratio
- 37.2
- Day range
- $582.05 – $607.17
- News sentiment
- 68/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $734.50 (+24.6%)
- Consensus
- Sell · 12 analysts
Price is near its 52-week low, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into UI?
At today's price, Ubiquiti Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 32.4% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.80% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 18.2% a year, so the market is asking for 14.2 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis UI looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 32.4%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 18.2%
- Growth gap
- +14.2 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 10.80%
- Beta
- 1.17
Behaviour On Record
What UI's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 56.7% 75th pct
- Below its peak
- -45.4%
- vs 200-day average
- -10.3%
- Up days (1y)
- 53%
Ubiquiti Inc. is currently running 56.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against UI's own 7 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 75th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 38.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
UI is trading -45.4% below its running peak. Across 6 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -34.1%, and the deepest was -65.1% in 2023. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -10.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 26th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year UI closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 8 years of records, UI finished the month higher 4 of 8 times, with a median return of -2.1% and an average of +0.7%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +10.6% on average, its weakest February at -3.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: UI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 141 of 1,779 sessions (7.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.7% and -17.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 1,780 daily closes between 2019-08-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against UI's own 7-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of UI's sector?
Ubiquiti Inc. sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading). Within its narrower Semiconductors industry group, UI ranks 2nd of 15 tracked industries, leading.
- Sector rank
- #1 of 11
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 90
- Industry rank
- #2 of 15
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on UI?
BWS Financial most recently reiterated its rating on Ubiquiti Inc. to Buy on Aug 27, 2026 with a price target of $980. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- BWS Financial — Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
