XYZ·Block, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

26.6% 5th pct

Below its peak

-72.4%

vs 200-day average

+9.6%

Up days (1y)

51%

Block, Inc. is currently running 26.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against XYZ's own 11 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 5th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 48.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

XYZ is trading -72.4% below its running peak. Across 10 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -46.7%, and the deepest was -68.7% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +9.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 55th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year XYZ closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 10 years of records, XYZ finished the month higher 5 of 10 times, with a median return of +1.7% and an average of +1.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +12.7% on average, its weakest September at -3.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: XYZ has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 143 of 2,736 sessions (5.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +14.8% and -11.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, XYZ moved an average of 3.9% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -4.7% and a largest of -5.7%.

All figures computed from 2,737 daily closes between 2015-11-19 and 2026-10-09, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against XYZ's own 11-year history, not a peer group or index.