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ARES·Ares Management Corporation

$123.82
-1.50 (-1.20%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$123.80-0.02 (-0.02%)
High
$125.96
Open
$124.58
Market Cap
27.82B
52W High
$186.85
Low
$122.86
P. Close
$123.82
P/E
43.71
52W Low
$95.80
Fwd P/E
17.45
DailyIQ Est.
$151.68
Inst. Ownership
51.7%
Short Interest
6.91%
Days to Cover
8.5
Technical Score (1D)
18
SELL
News Sentiment
43
BEARISH
Ares Management’s most recent move is to pursue ownership of TalkTalk’s consumer arm after the Opus Broadband deal fell through, a development that could add roughly 1.8 million retail customers to Ares’s portfolio if negotiations succeed. The potential acquisition would shift Ares from a primarily investment‑management focus toward a more direct consumer‑services exposure, potentially altering its revenue mix and risk profile over the next ten trading days. The outcome hinges on talks with Opus and Alchemy Partners, so traders should monitor any formal agreement or counter‑offer in the coming week. Earlier this week, Ares expanded its credit exposure by upsizing Momentum Financial Services’ secured loan facility to CA$810 million (≈$579 million) and extending the maturity to January 2029, with an accordion provision for an additional CA$130 million. This move signals Ares’s confidence in Momentum’s creditworthiness and provides the borrower with greater liquidity, which could support Momentum’s growth initiatives and potentially improve its credit metrics. The loan expansion also increases Ares’s balance‑sheet leverage, a factor that may influence its risk‑adjusted returns in the near term. Together, these developments suggest Ares is broadening both its asset base and its credit commitments, positioning itself for diversified income streams. The key watch items for the next trading days are any formal announcement regarding the TalkTalk consumer arm and the performance of Momentum Financial Services under the new loan terms.
Earnings Summary
Ares Management Corporation is a global alternative asset manager that deploys capital across private equity, direct lending, and real‑estate investments, targeting mid‑market companies and real‑estate assets. In the most recent quarter, Q2 2026, the firm reported EPS of $1.29 versus an estimate of $1.32, while revenue rose to $1.262 billion from an estimate of $1.223 billion, indicating a modest revenue beat and an EPS miss. The company’s earnings trend shows a gradual increase in revenue from $884.6 million in Q1 2025 to $1.262 billion in Q2 2026, with EPS fluctuating around the $1.1–$1.3 range, reflecting steady profitability as the firm expands its asset base. Historically, Ares has delivered consistent revenue growth, with EPS generally aligning closely with analyst expectations, though some quarters have seen slight misses that may be attributable to market‑wide volatility in the asset‑management sector. Recent news includes the acquisition of a full stake in Capital Automotive’s MTI Portfolio and a significant $800 million commitment from CalPERS to Ares‑managed real‑estate vehicles, both of which bolster the firm’s capital base and portfolio depth. Investors should watch for the Q3 2026 earnings release, focusing on guidance for the value‑add real‑estate strategy, capital deployment pace, and any updates on the MTI Portfolio’s performance, as these will shape the firm’s near‑term earnings trajectory.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.87$1.03$1.19$1.35$1.52Q1'25Q2'26Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$1.44 - -
Q2'26$1.32$1.29-2.3%
Q1'25$0.94$1.09+15.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$828M$951M$1.1B$1.2B$1.3BQ1'25Q2'26Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$1.2B - -
Q2'26$1.2B$1.3B+3.2%
Q1'25 - $885M -

Market Data

ARES Stock Snapshot

SELL18/100
$123.80$0.02 (0.0%)
Market cap
27.82B
P/E ratio
43.7
Day range
$122.86 – $125.96
News sentiment
43/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$147.78 (+19.4%)
Consensus
Buy · 27 analysts
52-week range+29.2% off low · -33.7% from high
$95.80$186.85
Price $123.80 DailyIQ Est. $151.68

Price action on ARES is defensive - rallies are being sold rather than extended. In Financial Services, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Behaviour On Record

What ARES's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
25.1% 34th pct
Below its peak
-37.5%
vs 200-day average
-6.6%
Up days (1y)
49%

Ares Management Corporation is currently running 25.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ARES's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 34th percentile on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 29.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

ARES is trading -37.5% below its running peak. Across 11 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.7%, and the deepest was -44.8% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -6.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 15th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year ARES closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, ARES finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -3.4% and an average of -2.3%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +8.2% on average, its weakest September at -2.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ARES has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 199 of 3,113 sessions (6.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.8% and -16.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,114 daily closes between 2014-05-02 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ARES's own 12-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of ARES's sector?

Ares Management Corporation sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 5th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#5 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
50

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for ARES?

CallsPuts

For Ares Management Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 6 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.34), with at-the-money implied volatility around 69.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±10.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $125.15–$154.51.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
0.34
ATM implied volatility
69.3%
Total open interest
313
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±10.5% ($125.15–$154.51)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on ARES?

Oppenheimer most recently reiterated its rating on Ares Management Corporation to Outperform on Aug 27, 2026 with a price target of $162 (from $151). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
OppenheimerOutperform
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 27, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$151 → $162
Aug 3, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$153 → $155
Aug 3, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$143 → $153
Aug 3, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$162 → $168
Aug 3, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$140 → $151
Aug 3, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedMarket Perform$128 → $134
Jul 17, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$146 → $140
Jul 13, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedMarket Perform$125 → $128
Jul 9, 2026CitizensMaintainedMarket Outperform$190 → $160
Jul 9, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$140 → $139
Jun 23, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$144 → $153
May 18, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$148 → $144

ARES Competitive Positioning

Ares Management Corporation (ARES) is tracked alongside these names in Asset Management on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.