ARES·Ares Management Corporation

Realized volatility (21d)

25.1% 34th pct

Below its peak

-37.5%

vs 200-day average

-6.6%

Up days (1y)

49%

Ares Management Corporation is currently running 25.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ARES's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 34th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 29.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

ARES is trading -37.5% below its running peak. Across 11 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.7%, and the deepest was -44.8% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -6.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 15th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year ARES closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, ARES finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -3.4% and an average of -2.3%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +8.2% on average, its weakest September at -2.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ARES has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 199 of 3,113 sessions (6.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.8% and -16.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,114 daily closes between 2014-05-02 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ARES's own 12-year history, not a peer group or index.