DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

ARES·Ares Management Corporation

$140.20
-1.32 (-0.93%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$140.11-0.09 (-0.06%)
High
$141.26
Open
$138.37
Market Cap
31.88B
52W High
$186.85
Low
$136.12
P. Close
$140.20
P/E
50.10
52W Low
$95.80
Fwd P/E
19.49
DailyIQ Est.
$151.40
Inst. Ownership
51.0%
Short Interest
6.27%
Days to Cover
5.8
Technical Score (1D)
59
BUY
News Sentiment
74
BULLISH
Ares Management’s Japan Logistics Development Partners V LP just closed at its ¥612 billion hard cap, a 50 % increase over the 2021 fund, and the Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board has already committed ¥150 billion as a cornerstone investor. The rapid capital raise signals strong institutional confidence in Ares’ logistics platform and its ability to execute large‑scale projects in Japan’s major metros. With ¥450 billion earmarked for development, Ares can accelerate its logistics portfolio, likely boosting revenue and strengthening its competitive position in the sector over the next 10 trading days. The influx of capital also positions Ares to capture additional market share in Japan’s growing e‑commerce and supply‑chain infrastructure space, where demand for modern logistics hubs is rising. Investors should monitor how quickly Ares deploys the new funds and whether the projects meet their projected timelines, as delays could temper the upside. Additionally, watch for any regulatory or construction bottlenecks that could impact project execution. The fund’s success may also influence Ares’ broader asset‑management strategy, potentially prompting further capital raises in other regions. Finally, keep an eye on the performance of the Japan logistics market itself, as macro‑economic factors such as interest rates and trade policy could affect project viability.
Earnings Summary
Ares Management Corporation operates as a global alternative asset manager, deploying capital across the United States, Europe, and Asia through its Direct Lending, Private Equity, and Real Estate groups, positioning it within the broader financial services sector focused on asset management. In Q1 2025 the firm reported EPS of $1.09 versus an estimate of $0.94, with revenue of $884.6 million, while Q2 2026 saw EPS of $1.29 against an estimate of $1.32 and revenue of $1.26231 billion, a 4.5% YoY increase from the prior quarter and a 7.5% rise over Q1 2025; the company beat consensus in both quarters, indicating a consistent ability to exceed earnings expectations. Historically, Ares has maintained a trajectory of revenue growth, with Q2 2026 revenue up 7.5% YoY and EPS growth of 18% from Q2 2025, yet the firm has occasionally missed EPS estimates, such as in Q1 2026 where EPS was not yet reported; nonetheless, revenue has remained robust, suggesting fee-generating assets are resilient amid passive investment pressure. Recent news highlights a debt-for-equity swap that would give Ares control of UK-based insurance services firm Charles Taylor, potentially reshaping its claims-adjusting and assistance businesses and expanding its footprint in the UK insurance market; the transaction could unlock fee growth and improve balance sheet strength, while the firm’s Q2 2026 earnings release noted a $36 billion raise and 17% YoY AUM growth, reinforcing its commitment to shareholder returns. Investors should watch for confirmation of the Charles Taylor transaction, any changes to Ares’ leverage ratios, and the next earnings call for guidance on fee-growth prospects and the status of its private-credit pipeline, as these factors will determine the immediate operational impact of the takeover and the sustainability of its earnings momentum.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.87$1.03$1.19$1.35$1.52Q1'25Q2'26Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$1.44 - -
Q2'26$1.32$1.29-2.3%
Q1'25$0.94$1.09+15.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$828M$951M$1.1B$1.2B$1.3BQ1'25Q2'26Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$1.2B - -
Q2'26$1.2B$1.3B+3.2%
Q1'25 - $885M -

Market Data

ARES Stock Snapshot

HOLD59/100
$140.11$0.09 (0.1%)
Market cap
31.88B
P/E ratio
50.1
Day range
$136.12 – $141.26
News sentiment
74/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$147.50 (+5.3%)
Consensus
Buy · 27 analysts
52-week range+46.3% off low · -25.0% from high
$95.80$186.85
Price $140.11 DailyIQ Est. $151.40

Ares Management Corporation is consolidating: price is in the middle of its 52-week range without a decisive push either way. In Financial Services, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Behaviour On Record

What ARES's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
33.3% 63rd pct
Below its peak
-28.6%
vs 200-day average
+6.1%
Up days (1y)
49%

Ares Management Corporation is currently running 33.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ARES's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 63rd percentile a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 29.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

ARES is trading -28.6% below its running peak. Across 11 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.7%, and the deepest was -44.8% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +6.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 43rd percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year ARES closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 12 years of records, ARES finished the month higher 6 of 12 times, with a median return of -0.8% and an average of -1.6%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +8.2% on average, its weakest March at -2.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ARES has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 199 of 3,103 sessions (6.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.8% and -16.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,104 daily closes between 2014-05-02 and 2026-09-03, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ARES's own 12-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of ARES's sector?

Ares Management Corporation sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#6 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
70

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for ARES?

CallsPuts

For Ares Management Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-09-11, 8 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.33), with at-the-money implied volatility around 45.6%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±6.4% move by that expiry — a range of about $130.87–$148.79.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-11)
1.33
ATM implied volatility
45.6%
Total open interest
384
Expected move by 2026-09-11
±6.4% ($130.87–$148.79)

ARES Competitive Positioning

Ares Management Corporation (ARES) is tracked alongside these names in Asset Management on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.