DailyIQ
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Sector:IndustrialsAll sectors
Last updated 5 minutes ago

CARR·Carrier Global Corporation

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$70.27
Open
$70.26
Market Cap
56.94B
52W High
$81.09
Low
$67.77
P. Close
$68.74
P/E
43.47
52W Low
$50.24
Fwd P/E
85.63
DailyIQ Est.
$79.10
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
48
MIXED
Carrier Global’s Q2 earnings are slated for release later this month, a development that immediately signals a potential short‑term valuation drag as analysts anticipate a high single‑digit decline in earnings per share. The projected dip stems from modest margin pressure, which could tighten the company’s profitability profile over the next few trading days. Despite the earnings squeeze, the firm’s long‑term revenue growth trajectory remains positive, suggesting that the core business model is still on track. Traders should therefore focus on the actual EPS figure, any revised guidance, and commentary on cost‑control initiatives that could mitigate the margin hit. A lower-than‑expected EPS or a downward revision of revenue guidance would likely reinforce the short‑term sell pressure, while a stronger-than‑anticipated cost‑control narrative could temper that reaction. Watch for any mention of supply‑chain constraints or commodity price impacts, as these factors often underpin the margin narrative for a heating‑and‑cooling equipment manufacturer. Additionally, keep an eye on the company’s outlook for the next quarter, as a shift in growth expectations could alter the market’s risk‑reward assessment. Finally, monitor the broader industrial equipment sector for any spillover from Carrier’s earnings, as peers may react similarly to margin concerns.
Earnings Summary
Carrier Global Corporation, a global provider of climate control and refrigeration solutions, serves residential, commercial, and aviation markets through its HVAC and refrigeration segments, positioning it as a key player in the building products and equipment industry. In the most recent quarters, Carrier’s earnings trajectory shows a mixed pattern: Q4 2024 delivered an EPS of $0.54 versus an estimate of $0.485, a beat that followed a $0.65 EPS in Q1 2025 against a $0.584 estimate and a $0.92 EPS in Q2 2025 versus a $0.903 estimate, with revenue rising from $5.148 billion to $6.113 billion, a 17.5 % jump; the company carried that momentum into Q3 2025, posting $0.67 EPS against a $0.569 estimate and $5.579 billion in revenue, a 8.8 % decline from Q2 2025, and then experienced a reversal in Q4 2025, with an EPS of $0.34 falling short of the $0.382 estimate and revenue of $4.837 billion versus a $5.100 billion estimate, marking the first miss in the last four quarters; Q1 2026 continued the downward trend with an EPS of $0.57 versus a $0.830 estimate and revenue of $5.341 billion versus a $5.720 billion estimate, while Q2 2026 data remain pending. Historically, Carrier has demonstrated a pattern of EPS beats in the first four quarters of the fiscal year, but recent misses in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 signal a potential shift in profitability dynamics, and revenue growth has fluctuated from a 17.5 % rise in Q2 2025 to a 17.5 % decline in Q4 2025, indicating volatility in the company’s top line. Recent news highlights expectations of a high single‑digit decline in EPS for the upcoming Q2 earnings, modest margin pressure, and the importance of cost‑control initiatives; analysts are watching for any guidance revisions, commentary on supply‑chain constraints, and commodity price impacts that could influence Carrier’s margin trajectory. Investors should watch for the actual Q2 EPS figure, any forward guidance revisions, and management’s discussion of cost‑control measures, as these factors will likely shape the stock’s valuation in the next 1‑10 trading days, with particular attention to the aviation services sector’s demand dynamics and potential regulatory updates that could affect Carrier’s revenue momentum.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.25$0.44$0.63$0.82$1.01Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$0.81 - -
Q1'26$0.83$0.57-31.4%
Q4'25$0.38$0.34-11.0%
Q3'25$0.57$0.67+17.7%
Q2'25$0.90$0.92+1.9%
Q1'25$0.58$0.65+11.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$4.6B$5.1B$5.5B$5.9B$6.3BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$6.1B - -
Q1'26$5.7B$5.3B-6.6%
Q4'25$5.1B$4.8B-5.1%
Q3'25 - $5.6B -
Q2'25 - $6.1B -
Q1'25 - $5.2B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

CARR Stock Snapshot

CARR is currently trading at $68.05, giving Carrier Global Corporation a market cap of 56.94B and a P/E ratio of 43.5. Today's range spans $67.77–$70.27, with shares opening at $70.26 and moving down $0.69 (1.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 50/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 48/100.

Over the past year CARR has traded between $50.24 and $81.09 - the current price is +35.4% off the 52-week low and -16.1% from the high. 33 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $76.89 (range $60.00–$90.00), implying upside of +13.0%.

Neither bulls nor bears have the upper hand on Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) right now. Score: 50/100 (HOLD). Sentiment: neutral (48/100). Price: $68.05 (in the middle of its 52-week range). (P/E: 43.5) At 56.94B in Industrials market cap, the 52-week range of $50.24–$81.09 is the relevant frame - where the stock sits within that range, and whether volume confirms any directional move, matters more than the HOLD label alone.

In neutral phases, large-cap Industrials names like CARR are often where sector rotation debates play out quietly — at 56.94B in capitalization, the stock receives incremental allocation from funds reducing mega-cap exposure without the volatility of a small-cap entry. The 50/100 (HOLD) and neutral sentiment (48/100) at $68.05 (in the middle of its 52-week range) describe a stock that is being considered rather than avoided.