CSL·Carlisle Companies Incorporated

Realized volatility (21d)

31.1% 78th pct

Below its peak

-31.2%

vs 200-day average

-6.1%

Up days (1y)

52%

Carlisle Companies Incorporated is currently running 31.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CSL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 78th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 23.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

CSL is trading -31.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.2%, and the deepest was -39.2% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -6.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 21st percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year CSL closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, CSL finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.9% and an average of -0.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.8% on average, its weakest September at -3.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CSL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 104 of 3,267 sessions (3.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +18.0% and -8.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CSL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.