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Last updated3 minutes ago

CSL·Carlisle Companies Incorporated

$314.86
-5.51 (-1.72%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$314.00-0.86 (-0.27%)
High
$320.31
Open
$319.60
Market Cap
12.72B
52W High
$435.00
Low
$313.69
P. Close
$314.86
P/E
17.56
52W Low
$293.43
Fwd P/E
13.07
DailyIQ Est.
$419.98
Inst. Ownership
0.0%
Short Interest
5.30%
Days to Cover
3.0
Technical Score (1D)
5
SELL
News Sentiment
55
BULLISH
The most recent update, 38.7 hours ago, shows analysts cautioning that Carlisle’s (CSL) organic revenue growth is lagging industry benchmarks and that its projected 6.4 % sales growth signals a potentially weak demand environment, raising concerns about pricing and go‑to‑market effectiveness. This follows a 51.6‑hour‑old note that CSL topped peers in Q2 earnings, beating revenue estimates and benefiting from its energy‑efficient product line, but the sector’s 63.4 % dip in next‑quarter guidance hints at possible margin pressure. Together, these pieces suggest that while CSL’s product mix and pricing power are currently resilient, the broader construction cycle may soon tighten, affecting the company’s upside over the next 1–10 trading days. The 199‑hour‑old report confirms that Q2 2026 construction‑materials revenue rose 8 % YoY to $1.18 billion and weatherproofing grew 10 %, supporting a mid‑single‑digit full‑year revenue outlook and ongoing dividend and share‑repurchase momentum. This growth narrative is tempered by rising raw‑material and freight costs that could compress margins if not managed through automation and in‑house resin capacity. In addition, the company’s recent acquisition of Bonded Logic adds sustainable insulation products, expanding its geographic reach and reinforcing its energy‑efficient focus. The dividend hike to $1.25 per share and the 50‑year streak of increases elevate CSL to Dividend King status, underscoring robust cash flow and a disciplined capital allocation strategy. Traders should watch for next‑quarter guidance for any shift in construction demand, the company’s ability to contain cost pressures, and any updates to its capital allocation plan that could influence the dividend and buyback trajectory.
Earnings Summary
Carlisle Companies Incorporated is a global provider of building envelope products and solutions, operating through its Carlisle Construction Materials and Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies segments, and serving the construction industry with roofing, insulation, and waterproofing products. The company is positioned within the Industrials sector, specifically the Building Products & Equipment industry, where demand is closely tied to construction cycles and material costs. In Q1 2025 Carlisle reported EPS of $3.61 versus an estimate of $3.42, and revenue of $1.0958 billion, indicating a modest earnings beat and solid top‑line performance; however, Q1 2026 data are not yet available, and Q3 2026 guidance shows an EPS estimate of $5.93 and revenue estimate of $1.4426 billion, suggesting a potential acceleration in earnings and revenue growth once the quarter closes. Historically, the company has maintained a steady YoY revenue growth trajectory, with Q2 2026 construction‑materials revenue rising 8 % YoY to $1.18 billion and weather‑proofing up 10 %, supporting a mid‑single‑digit full‑year revenue outlook; EPS growth has trended modestly, rising only 3.6 % annually over the past two years, which has led analysts to caution that pricing power may be under pressure relative to peers. Recent news highlights that Carlisle’s organic revenue growth is lagging industry benchmarks and that a projected 6.4 % sales growth signals a potentially weak demand environment, while the company’s energy‑efficient product line has delivered the strongest earnings among building‑materials peers, beating revenue estimates and maintaining pricing power; however, sector guidance for the next quarter fell 63.4 %, indicating possible margin pressure. Investors should watch for next‑quarter guidance to assess whether construction demand remains resilient, monitor the company’s ability to contain rising raw‑material and freight costs, and track any updates to its capital allocation plan, dividend, and share‑repurchase trajectory, as these factors will be key to understanding the sustainability of its current earnings performance.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$3.37$3.44$3.51$3.57$3.64Q1'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$3.40 - -
Q1'25$3.42$3.61+5.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.1B$1.1B$1.1B$1.1B$1.1BQ1'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$1.1B - -
Q1'25 - $1.1B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

CSL Stock Snapshot

SELL5/100
$314.00−$0.86 (0.3%)
Market cap
12.72B
P/E ratio
17.6
Day range
$313.69 – $320.31
News sentiment
55/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$411.88 (+31.2%)
Consensus
Buy · 19 analysts
52-week range+7.0% off low · -27.8% from high
$293.43$435.00
Price $314.00 DailyIQ Est. $419.98

CSL's technical picture is under pressure, with momentum working against price. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into CSL?

CHEAP

At today's price, Carlisle Companies Incorporated needs to grow free cash flow about -1.9% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.11% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 12.1% a year, so the market is asking for 14.0 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis CSL looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-1.9%
Historical FCF CAGR
12.1%
Growth gap
-14.0 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
8.11%
Beta
0.91

Behaviour On Record

What CSL's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
29.0% 72nd pct
Below its peak
-34.6%
vs 200-day average
-10.7%
Up days (1y)
52%

Carlisle Companies Incorporated is currently running 29.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CSL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 72nd percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 23.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

CSL is trading -34.6% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.2%, and the deepest was -39.2% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -10.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 10th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year CSL closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, CSL finished the month higher 3 of 13 times, with a median return of -3.8% and an average of -3.2%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.8% on average, its weakest September at -3.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CSL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 104 of 3,267 sessions (3.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +18.0% and -8.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CSL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of CSL's sector?

Carlisle Companies Incorporated sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#11 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
30

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for CSL?

CallsPuts

For Carlisle Companies Incorporated's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 26 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 2.64), with at-the-money implied volatility around 56.6%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±13.4% move by that expiry — a range of about $274.36–$359.04.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
2.64
ATM implied volatility
56.6%
Total open interest
40
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±13.4% ($274.36–$359.04)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on CSL?

DA Davidson most recently initiated coverage on Carlisle Companies Incorporated to Neutral on Aug 25, 2026 with a price target of $410. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
DA Davidson — Neutral
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 25, 2026DA DavidsonInitiatedNeutral$410
Jul 20, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$425 → $405
Jul 7, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedHold$360 → $340
Apr 24, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedHold$340 → $360
Apr 24, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$420 → $425
Apr 24, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$402 → $425
Apr 20, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$435 → $420
Apr 15, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$420 → $402
Mar 9, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$400 → $420
Feb 27, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$400 → $435
Oct 30, 2025JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$410 → $400
Oct 30, 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainedHold$350 → $340

CSL Competitive Positioning

Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) is tracked alongside these names in Building Products & Equipment on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

Held by These ETFs

CSL is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.