FSLR·First Solar, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

51.6% 66th pct

Below its peak

-40.7%

vs 200-day average

-15.5%

Up days (1y)

49%

First Solar, Inc. is currently running 51.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FSLR's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 66th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 45.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

FSLR is trading -40.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -41.1%, and the deepest was -60.7% in 2016. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -15.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 24th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year FSLR closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, FSLR finished the month higher 9 of 14 times, with a median return of +7.5% and an average of +7.7%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +10.7% on average, its weakest January at -4.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FSLR has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 163 of 3,268 sessions (5.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.9% and -6.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, FSLR moved an average of 2.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.6% and a largest of +5.7%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FSLR's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.