OPEN·Opendoor Technologies Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

49.0% 5th pct

Below its peak

-93.7%

vs 200-day average

-51.3%

Up days (1y)

43%

Opendoor Technologies Inc. is currently running 49.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against OPEN's own 6 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 5th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 87.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

OPEN is trading -93.7% below its running peak. Across 5 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -63.5%, and the deepest was -93.5% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -51.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 16th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year OPEN closed higher on 43% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 6 years of records, OPEN finished the month higher 1 of 6 times, with a median return of -9.4% and an average of -8.3%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +30.8% on average, its weakest April at -14.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: OPEN has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 253 of 1,583 sessions (16.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +13.2% and -15.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, OPEN moved an average of 4.1% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -4.0% and a largest of -8.1%.

All figures computed from 1,584 daily closes between 2020-06-18 and 2026-10-09, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against OPEN's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.