WY·Weyerhaeuser Company

Realized volatility (21d)

28.0% 67th pct

Below its peak

-55.1%

vs 200-day average

-20.7%

Up days (1y)

43%

Weyerhaeuser Company is currently running 28.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against WY's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 67th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 23.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

WY is trading -55.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -25.1%, and the deepest was -56.0% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -20.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 4th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year WY closed higher on 43% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, WY finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.1% and an average of -0.9%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +2.8% on average, its weakest September at -3.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: WY has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 118 of 3,266 sessions (3.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.2% and -26.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, WY moved an average of 3.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +1.1% and a largest of +5.2%.

All figures computed from 3,267 daily closes between 2013-10-14 and 2026-10-09, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against WY's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.