RDW·Redwire Corporation

Realized volatility (21d)

61.0% 22nd pct

Below its peak

-64.3%

vs 200-day average

-17.6%

Up days (1y)

47%

Redwire Corporation is currently running 61.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RDW's own 6 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 22nd percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 79.9%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

RDW is trading -64.3% below its running peak. Across 5 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -53.7%, and the deepest was -80.1% in 2025. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -17.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 33rd percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year RDW closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 6 years of records, RDW finished the month higher 3 of 6 times, with a median return of +4.8% and an average of +4.7%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +28.8% on average, its weakest August at -8.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: RDW has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 445 of 1,443 sessions (30.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.7% and -12.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, RDW moved an average of 7.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +3.1% and a largest of +17.8%.

All figures computed from 1,444 daily closes between 2021-01-14 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RDW's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.