DailyIQ
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Last updated 3 minutes ago

RDW·Redwire Corporation

$.
+. (+.%)
Pre-Market
High
$28.20
Open
$26.79
Market Cap
4.38B
52W High
$23.10
Low
$24.78
P. Close
$24.36
P/E
-
52W Low
$4.87
Fwd P/E
-53.76
Mean Target
$14.33
Technical Score (1D)
100
BUY
News Sentiment
79
BULLISH
Redwire (RDW) stock reached a new 52-week high, extending a multi-day rally driven by broad optimism in the space sector. While not directly awarded the recent multi-million-dollar NASA lunar exploration contracts, the company's position as a critical contractor for NASA, the Department of Defense, and commercial entities underpins investor confidence. Earlier today, RDW announced significant contract wins, including a high eight-figure deal from a NATO ally for its Penguin Mk3 tactical UAS and a $15 million follow-on order from the U.S. Army for its Stalker UAS, highlighting strong demand for its drone solutions. This news follows a substantial surge yesterday, fueled by broader market enthusiasm for space and rocket companies, particularly ignited by SpaceX's public filing for a potentially record-breaking IPO. Retail investors have also shown significant interest, making RDW a top pick with substantial net buying observed over the past 20 trading days, coinciding with increasing interest in space ETFs and speculative space names. Earlier this week, RDW also announced the successful testing and delivery of its MANUS robotic lunar arm prototype for the European Space Agency, alongside the U.S. Army drone order. Investors should watch for further contract announcements and developments in the broader space and defense industry, as RDW's performance remains sensitive to significant sector-wide news.
Earnings Summary
Redwire Corporation is a provider of essential space infrastructure and solutions, serving governmental and commercial clients with critical technologies such as avionics, sensors, and solar array solutions. Operating within the Industrials sector, specifically the Aerospace & Defense industry, Redwire is positioned to benefit from the increasing global demand for space-based capabilities. The company's offerings extend to advanced software for digital engineering and simulation, microgravity payloads, and in-space manufacturing. Examining Redwire's recent earnings, the company has shown a mixed performance in the last two reported quarters compared to the prior two. In Q1 2026, Redwire reported an actual EPS of -0.18 against an estimate of -0.1602, and revenue of $96.97 million against an estimate of $104.65 million. This followed Q4 2025, where actual EPS was -0.35 against an estimate of -0.1906, with revenue of $108.79 million beating the estimate of $103.39 million. Prior to this, Q3 2025 saw actual EPS of -0.191 against an estimate of -0.13, and revenue of $103.43 million. Q2 2025 reported actual EPS of -1.41 against an estimate of -0.15, with revenue at $61.76 million. Historically, Redwire's year-over-year revenue growth has shown variability, with significant increases noted in some periods, such as the 58% revenue increase reported for Q1 2026. The company has demonstrated a pattern of missing EPS estimates, particularly in Q2 2025 and Q4 2025, while revenue performance has been more varied, including a beat in Q4 2025. This suggests a trajectory where revenue generation is present, but profitability relative to analyst expectations remains a challenge. Recent news indicates positive developments for Redwire, including a $15 million follow-on order from the US Army for its Stalker UAS and a multiyear contract with a NATO country for its Penguin Mk3 UAS, valued in the high eight figures. These awards highlight continued demand for Redwire's aerial solutions within military training and allied forces' modernization programs. Additionally, Redwire reported a robust Q1 2026 with significant revenue growth and a strong book-to-bill ratio, suggesting potential margin improvement and a positive outlook supported by a strong backlog. Looking ahead, investors will want to watch for Redwire's continued progress towards profitability, particularly in light of recent acquisitions contributing to margin improvement. Key will be the company's ability to maintain its revenue growth trajectory and convert backlog into consistent financial performance. Monitoring further contract awards and the integration of new systems will also be important indicators for future earnings.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-1.61$-1.18$-0.75$-0.32$0.11Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$-0.15 - -
Q1'26$-0.16$-0.18-12.4%
Q4'25$-0.19$-0.35-83.6%
Q3'25$-0.13$-0.19-46.9%
Q2'25$-0.15$-1.41-840.0%
Q1'25$-0.35$-0.09+74.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$54M$70M$85M$100M$116MQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$108M - -
Q1'26$105M$97M-7.3%
Q4'25$103M$109M+5.2%
Q3'25 - $103M -
Q2'25 - $62M -
Q1'25 - $61M -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

RDW Stock Snapshot

RDW is currently trading at $25.20, giving Redwire Corporation a market cap of 4.38B. Today's range spans $24.78–$28.20, with shares opening at $26.79 and moving up $0.84 (3.4%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 100/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 79/100.

Over the past year RDW has traded between $4.87 and $23.10 - the current price is +417.4% off the 52-week low and +9.1% from the high. 15 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $14.33 (range $7.00–$22.00), implying downside of -43.1%.

RDW scores 100/100 (BUY) and sits at $25.20 - near 52-week highs in its $4.87–$23.10 annual range. Sentiment reads bullish at 79/100. At 4.38B in Industrials market cap, the float dynamics here mean that a handful of institutional buyers can create meaningful price appreciation - the kind of move that mega-cap names simply can't replicate on a percentage basis.

The combination of a BUY technical signal (100/100) and bullish news sentiment (79/100) in a small-cap like RDW (4.38B, Industrials) creates the kind of setup that shows up in small-cap momentum screens used by growth-oriented funds. At $25.20 (near 52-week highs in $4.87–$23.10), the stock is not yet crowded — which means the entry risk-reward is better than it will be if the technical and sentiment setup persists and attracts wider institutional attention.