DailyIQ
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Last updated 58 minutes ago

RKLB·Rocket Lab USA Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
High
$156.20
Open
$149.72
Market Cap
82.89B
52W High
$146.00
Low
$137.91
P. Close
$143.29
P/E
-
52W Low
$24.67
Fwd P/E
-12994.56
Mean Target
$103.91
Technical Score (1D)
95
BUY
News Sentiment
75
BULLISH
Rocket Lab has secured a significant $90 million contract from the U.S. Space Force to design, build, and operate two geostationary satellites, marking its first GEO satellite production program. This development, coupled with the integration of a space domain awareness payload and potential on-orbit operations, underscores Rocket Lab's expanding capabilities in satellite manufacturing. The company also recently completed the acquisition of Motiv Space Systems, bolstering its in-space propulsion and robotics offerings with Mars-proven technology. This strategic move enhances Rocket Lab's ability to provide comprehensive solutions for space missions and positions it to capitalize on the growing space services market. Separately, there is news of RKLB announcing plans to sell 4 million shares, which may present headwinds for current investors and could be a dilutionary event. This share sale occurs while the company is also involved in supporting NASA's lunar mission preparations. In broader market context, Rocket Lab is a top holding in the Tema Space Innovators ETF (NASA), which has seen significant gains since its listing, driven by increased investor enthusiasm for space equities and anticipation of the SpaceX IPO. Elon Musk's projection of continued Starlink growth also highlights the strategic importance of Rocket Lab's SolAero division, positioning it to benefit from expanding demand for space-based energy solutions. An analyst report suggests Rocket Lab is at the beginning of a substantial growth phase, driven by ongoing innovation and strategic developments. Investors should monitor SolAero's contract wins and Rocket Lab's execution on its roadmap.
Earnings Summary
Rocket Lab Corporation is a space technology company providing end-to-end solutions for small satellite missions, including launch services with its Electron rocket and comprehensive space systems like spacecraft design and manufacturing. Operating within the Industrials sector, specifically the Aerospace & Defense industry, Rocket Lab aims to serve a growing global market for small satellites and is developing the Neutron launch vehicle for larger missions. In its most recent reported quarters, Rocket Lab experienced a deceleration in revenue growth from Q1 2026 ($200.35M actual vs. $193.48M estimate) compared to Q4 2025 ($179.65M actual vs. $182.04M estimate), though both quarters exceeded analyst revenue expectations. The company's EPS performance has shown a trend of narrowing losses, with actual EPS improving from -0.12 in Q1 2025 to -0.02 in Q1 2026, consistently beating analyst estimates in the last three reported quarters (Q3 2025, Q4 2025, Q1 2026). Historically, Rocket Lab has demonstrated a positive year-over-year revenue growth trajectory, with Q1 2026 revenue increasing by 63.5% compared to the prior year. The company has a mixed beat/miss pattern on EPS, but has recently shown improvement, beating estimates in the last three reported quarters. Revenue estimates were only provided for the last three quarters, all of which were exceeded by actual revenue. Recent news highlights Rocket Lab's advancement in in-space refueling technology for NASA's Artemis missions and a significant $90 million multi-year contract with the U.S. Space Force for geostationary defense satellites, marking an expansion into prime contracting. However, the company also filed a $3 billion "at-the-market" equity distribution program, raising concerns about potential share dilution. Investors will be watching for continued execution on the Space Force contract and the integration of its refueling technology, as well as monitoring any share sales under the equity distribution program and the company's ability to maintain its revenue growth momentum in the upcoming quarters.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.15$-0.11$-0.08$-0.04$-0.00Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$-0.03 - -
Q1'26$-0.08$-0.02+75.5%
Q4'25$-0.09$-0.07+25.7%
Q3'25$-0.10$-0.03+71.3%
Q2'25$-0.11$-0.13-17.9%
Q1'25$-0.12$-0.12+0.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$106M$141M$176M$211M$246MQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$230M - -
Q1'26$193M$200M+3.6%
Q4'25$182M$180M-1.3%
Q3'25 - $155M -
Q2'25 - $144M -
Q1'25 - $123M -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

RKLB Stock Snapshot

RKLB is currently trading at $146.99, giving Rocket Lab USA Inc. a market cap of 82.89B. Today's range spans $137.91–$156.20, with shares opening at $149.72 and moving up $3.70 (2.6%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 95/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 75/100.

Over the past year RKLB has traded between $24.67 and $146.00 - the current price is +495.8% off the 52-week low and +0.7% from the high. 29 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $103.91 (range $60.00–$150.00), implying downside of -29.3%.

RKLB is scoring 95/100 technically (BUY) and sits at $146.99 - near 52-week highs in its $24.67–$146.00 annual range. Sentiment at 75/100 is bullish. At 82.89B in Industrials market cap, this is the tier where earnings revision cycles have the most impact on price: upward revisions in a large-cap company with bullish momentum tend to attract analyst upgrades, which in turn attract new institutional mandates.

What makes RKLB's BUY setup (95/100) particularly actionable at 82.89B in Industrials capitalization is the scale-to-move ratio: large enough to feature on institutional mandates but not so large that the percentage upside is already compressed by index inertia. At $146.99 (near 52-week highs in $24.67–$146.00), with sentiment running bullish at 75/100, the setup rewards conviction-sized positioning more than it does speculative small bets.