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UDR·UDR, Inc.

$35.34
+0.22 (+0.63%)
High
$35.81
Open
$35.20
Market Cap
11.28B
52W High
$42.00
Low
$34.87
P. Close
$35.34
P/E
21.61
52W Low
$32.94
Fwd P/E
62.71
DailyIQ Est.
$41.99
Inst. Ownership
65.5%
Short Interest
2.50%
Days to Cover
2.9
Technical Score (1D)
5
SELL
News Sentiment
39
BEARISH
Evercore ISI has lowered its price target for UDR from $44 to $43 while maintaining an Outperform rating, signaling a modest reassessment of the company’s near‑term earnings outlook. The one‑dollar cut reflects a slight shift in the firm’s earnings expectations, though the rating remains unchanged, suggesting analysts still see upside potential. This adjustment is unlikely to trigger a dramatic market move, but it may influence short‑term analyst coverage and investor sentiment. The change underscores a cautious view of UDR’s upcoming earnings guidance, which could confirm or further revise the target. Traders should watch the next earnings release for any confirmation of the revised earnings outlook, as it will likely be the primary driver of UDR’s price action over the next 1–10 trading days. Additionally, keep an eye on any commentary from UDR’s management regarding revenue growth or cost control, as these factors will shape the earnings narrative. Monitoring analyst revisions in the coming weeks will also help gauge whether the market’s view of UDR’s valuation is shifting further.
Earnings Summary
UDR, Inc. is a real‑estate investment trust specializing in multifamily residential properties across the United States, with a portfolio of over 60,000 units and a focus on coastal markets. The REIT’s revenue has remained relatively flat, moving from $420.44 million in Q4 2024 to $429.29 million in Q3 2025, and then slightly declining to $423.32 million in Q1 2026 and $422.93 million in Q2 2026, reflecting modest YoY growth of roughly 2–3% over the past year. EPS has shown a more pronounced swing: a modest $0.0275 in Q4 2024, a strong $0.184 in Q1 2025, a dip to $0.0658 in Q2 2025, a near‑flat $0.12 in Q3 2025, and a sharp rise to $0.62 in Q1 2026 and $0.64 in Q2 2026, indicating a recent earnings rebound driven by higher operating income and potentially improved rent collections. Historically, UDR has posted consistent revenue growth while occasionally missing on EPS, yet the company has raised its 2026 net‑income guidance and announced a $0.15 per‑share dividend, signaling confidence in cash‑flow generation. Recent news emphasizes the dividend declaration, the company’s 81.3% coastal exposure poised for a rebound, and refinancing risk due to a short‑maturity debt wall; these factors highlight both upside potential from market recovery and downside risk from rising borrowing costs. Investors should watch the upcoming earnings release for confirmation of the revised guidance, commentary on debt‑management plans, and occupancy or rent‑growth data that could validate the optimistic outlook, while monitoring refinancing developments that could impact dividend sustainability and AFFO stability.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.02$0.17$0.35$0.54$0.73Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.12 - -
Q2'26$0.12$0.64+454.6%
Q1'26$0.11$0.62+439.6%
Q3'25$0.13$0.12-6.3%
Q2'25$0.13$0.07-49.4%
Q1'25$0.11$0.18+67.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$418M$422M$427M$432M$437MQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$435M - -
Q2'26$430M$423M-1.5%
Q1'26$433M$423M-2.2%
Q3'25 - $429M -
Q2'25 - $423M -
Q1'25 - $420M -

Market Data

UDR Stock Snapshot

SELL5/100
$35.34+$0.22 (0.6%)
Market cap
11.28B
P/E ratio
21.6
Day range
$34.87 – $35.81
News sentiment
39/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$41.93 (+18.6%)
Consensus
Hold · 29 analysts
52-week range+7.3% off low · -15.9% from high
$32.94$42.00
Price $35.34 DailyIQ Est. $41.99

The trend on UDR is bearish, and the indicator set is confirming it rather than diverging. In Real Estate, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Behaviour On Record

What UDR's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
14.7% 22nd pct
Below its peak
-42.4%
vs 200-day average
-5.7%
Up days (1y)
48%

UDR, Inc. is currently running 14.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against UDR's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 22nd percentile unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 18.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

UDR is trading -42.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -13.3%, and the deepest was -41.8% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -5.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 22nd percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year UDR closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 5 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, UDR finished the month higher 3 of 13 times, with a median return of -2.1% and an average of -2.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.1% on average, its weakest September at -2.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: UDR has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 86 of 3,267 sessions (2.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +21.2% and -30.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against UDR's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of UDR's sector?

UDR, Inc. sits in the Real Estate sector, currently ranked 8th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#8 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
30

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for UDR?

CallsPuts

For UDR, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 4 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.04), with at-the-money implied volatility around 27.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $33.82–$36.82.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.04
ATM implied volatility
27.3%
Total open interest
688
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±4.2% ($33.82–$36.82)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on UDR?

Mizuho most recently reiterated its rating on UDR, Inc. to Neutral on Sep 8, 2026 with a price target of $39 (from $41). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 1 downgrade, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
MizuhoNeutral
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 8, 2026MizuhoMaintainedNeutral$41 → $39
Sep 1, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$44 → $43
Aug 12, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$45 → $42
Aug 4, 2026JP MorganMaintainedUnderweight$39 → $41
Aug 3, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainedNeutral$39 → $41
Jul 28, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$43 → $44
Jul 22, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$43 → $44
Jul 21, 2026Deutsche BankUpgradeHold → Buy$39 → $45
Jul 14, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$41 → $46
Jul 9, 2026ScotiabankMaintainedSector Perform$38 → $41
Jul 8, 2026Truist SecuritiesDowngradeBuy → Hold$41
Jun 25, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$43 → $45

UDR Competitive Positioning

UDR, Inc. (UDR) is tracked alongside these names in REIT - Residential on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.