DailyIQ
|
Sector:UtilitiesAll sectors
Last updated 4 minutes ago

VST·Vistra Corp.

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$160.02
Open
$157.55
Market Cap
53.63B
52W High
$219.82
Low
$157.05
P. Close
$158.89
P/E
23.93
52W Low
$132.66
Fwd P/E
14.70
DailyIQ Est.
$248.77
Technical Score (1D)
64
BUY
News Sentiment
61
BULLISH
VST closed higher, outperforming the S&P 500, indicating renewed investor confidence in the utility sector. The company’s upcoming earnings release on August 7 2026 is expected to report EPS of $2.43 and revenue of $6.42 B, reflecting year‑over‑year growth of 140.59% and 50.98% respectively. Analysts forecast a strong earnings beat, which could sustain the recent rally over the next 1–10 trading days. The earnings call will also provide updates on VST’s renewable‑energy strategy, a key driver of its future growth. Because the company is a regulated utility, any shift toward renewables may influence its long‑term profitability and regulatory outlook. Market participants should watch for guidance on future growth targets and any changes to the renewable portfolio mix. A positive earnings surprise could reinforce the stock’s momentum, while a miss or cautious outlook might trigger a pullback. The next trading days will be particularly sensitive to the earnings announcement, as investors reassess the company’s valuation and sector positioning. Keep an eye on the earnings call for any commentary on regulatory developments or capital allocation plans that could affect the broader energy market.
Earnings Summary
Vistra Corp. is a vertically integrated energy provider headquartered in Irving, Texas, delivering electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across the United States. Operating as an independent power producer, Vistra manages a diversified 41,000‑megawatt generation portfolio that includes natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage, and serves roughly five million customers. In the most recent quarters, Vistra’s revenue rose from $3.933 billion in Q1 2025 to $4.971 billion in Q3 2025, a 26 % increase, while earnings per share remained below consensus in each period—$-0.93 in Q1 2025, $0.81 in Q2 2025, and $1.75 in Q3 2025 versus estimates of $0.68, $1.00, and $1.96, respectively—highlighting a persistent earnings miss despite robust top‑line growth. Over the past year, revenue has accelerated from $4.037 billion in Q4 2024 to $4.971 billion in Q3 2025, yet EPS has consistently trailed analyst expectations, underscoring a pattern of revenue expansion coupled with earnings shortfalls. Recent developments include an anticipated Q2 2026 earnings release on August 7, 2026, where analysts project a 140.59 % year‑over‑year revenue increase to $6.42 billion and an EPS of $2.43, reflecting a potential earnings turnaround; the company’s renewable‑energy strategy and its partnership with Meta and AWS are expected to shape future profitability. Additionally, a record heat‑driven demand spike in the PJM Interconnection and the acquisition of Cogentrix for $4 billion signal heightened generation revenue opportunities and a shift toward cloud‑computing energy supply. Investors should watch for guidance on the Winslow Power transaction, any changes to the renewable portfolio mix, and capital allocation decisions disclosed during the earnings call, as these factors will influence Vistra’s near‑term valuation and long‑term growth trajectory.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-1.46$-0.31$0.83$1.97$3.12Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$2.59 - -
Q3'25$1.96$1.75-10.5%
Q2'25$1.00$0.81-19.4%
Q1'25$0.68$-0.93-237.6%
Q4'24$1.45$1.14-21.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.7B$4.3B$4.9B$5.5B$6.1BQ4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$5.8B - -
Q3'25 - $5.0B -
Q2'25 - $4.3B -
Q1'25 - $3.9B -
Q4'24 - $4.0B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

VST Stock Snapshot

VST is currently trading at $159.50, giving Vistra Corp. a market cap of 53.63B and a P/E ratio of 23.9. Today's range spans $157.05–$160.02, with shares opening at $157.55 and moving up $0.61 (0.4%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 64/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 61/100.

Over the past year VST has traded between $132.66 and $219.82 - the current price is +20.2% off the 52-week low and -27.4% from the high. 26 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $222.89 (range $99.00–$320.00), implying upside of +39.7%.

For fundamental investors, VST's neutral technical phase (64/100, HOLD) is an opportunity to assess valuation without the noise of trending price action. At 53.63B in Utilities market cap The current P/E ratio stands at 23.9., bullish sentiment (61/100) and a price of $159.50 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) describe a stock where the primary value driver is fundamental rather than momentum. Annual range: $132.66–$219.82.

Portfolio construction in Utilities often uses large-cap names like VST as tactical swing positions during neutral phases: cheap enough to overweight, liquid enough to exit quickly, and large enough to provide meaningful sector beta. The current 64/100 (HOLD) at $159.50 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) and bullish sentiment (61/100) frame the position as a catalyst play within the $132.66–$219.82 annual range rather than a directional bet.