ADSK·Autodesk, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

37.5% 71st pct

Below its peak

-31.1%

vs 200-day average

-0.9%

Up days (1y)

49%

Autodesk, Inc. is currently running 37.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ADSK's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 71st percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 29.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

ADSK is trading -31.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -25.9%, and the deepest was -41.3% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -0.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 30th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year ADSK closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, ADSK finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.5% and an average of +3.3%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +4.3% on average, its weakest September at -2.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ADSK has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 149 of 3,265 sessions (4.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.7% and -7.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,266 daily closes between 2013-10-14 and 2026-10-09, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ADSK's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.