APH·Amphenol Corporation
APH|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $0.72 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.28 | $1.35 | +5.4% |
| Q1'26 | $1.06 | $1.06 | +0.3% |
| Q4'25 | $0.94 | $0.97 | +2.9% |
| Q3'25 | $0.80 | $0.93 | +16.5% |
| Q2'25 | $0.67 | $0.81 | +21.7% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $9.5B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $8.3B | $8.8B | +5.2% |
| Q1'26 | $7.7B | $7.6B | -1.3% |
| Q4'25 | $6.2B | $6.4B | +3.0% |
| Q3'25 | - | $6.2B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $5.7B | - |
APH|Monthly Returns
Market Data
APH Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 191.24B
- P/E ratio
- 37.2
- Day range
- $77.40 – $79.30
- News sentiment
- 76/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $99.26 (+27.8%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 25 analysts
APH is in a holding pattern - neither trend nor momentum has taken control. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into APH?
At today's price, Amphenol Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 17.8% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.79% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 13.0% a year, so the market is asking for 4.8 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis APH looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 17.8%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 13.0%
- Growth gap
- +4.8 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 10.79%
- Beta
- 1.30
Behaviour On Record
What APH's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 41.9% 90th pct
- Below its peak
- -12.5%
- vs 200-day average
- +5.5%
- Up days (1y)
- 49%
Amphenol Corporation is currently running 41.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against APH's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 90th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 20.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
APH is trading -12.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -17.6%, and the deepest was -38.8% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +5.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 35th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year APH closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 13 years of records, APH finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.6% and an average of +0.9%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.6% on average, its weakest December at -0.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: APH has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 108 of 3,267 sessions (3.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +21.9% and -12.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, APH moved an average of 3.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +2.2% and a largest of +6.6%.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against APH's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of APH's sector?
Amphenol Corporation sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).
- Sector rank
- #1 of 11
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 90
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on APH?
TD Cowen most recently reiterated its rating on Amphenol Corporation to Hold on Sep 9, 2026 with a price target of $90 (from $175). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- TD Cowen — Hold
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
APH Competitive Positioning
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