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Last updated1 minute ago

APH·Amphenol Corporation

$77.57
-0.80 (-1.02%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$77.69+0.12 (+0.15%)
High
$79.30
Open
$78.33
Market Cap
191.24B
52W High
$89.26
Low
$77.40
P. Close
$77.57
P/E
37.18
52W Low
$59.01
Fwd P/E
23.69
DailyIQ Est.
$102.54
Inst. Ownership
16.3%
Short Interest
0.55%
Days to Cover
2.4
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
76
BULLISH
Amphenol Corporation’s most recent momentum assessment, released just 1½ hours ago, upgrades the company to a Zacks Rank #1 and reports a 9 % lift in earnings estimates over the past 60 days. The upgrade is driven by sustained demand for the firm’s electronic connectors and sensors, which are integral to automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics supply chains. Because the company’s earnings outlook has strengthened, analysts expect short‑term upside as investors chase the improved fundamentals, potentially supporting the stock’s upward trajectory over the next 1–10 trading days. The 20 % year‑to‑date gain, already outpacing the S&P 500, underscores the market’s confidence in Amphenol’s growth prospects and may attract additional momentum‑focused capital. Watch for the next earnings release, as any deviation from the revised estimates could quickly alter the stock’s momentum profile. Additionally, monitor the broader semiconductor and automotive sectors for supply‑chain disruptions that could impact demand for Amphenol’s connectors. Finally, keep an eye on any regulatory changes affecting the electronics manufacturing industry, as new compliance requirements could influence production costs and pricing power.
Earnings Summary
Amphenol Corporation is a global leader in interconnect products, offering electrical, electronic, and fiber‑optic connectors across automotive, aerospace, and telecommunications markets, thereby securing a diversified customer base. In Q4 2024 the firm reported $0.55 EPS against a $0.50 estimate and $4.318B revenue, beating expectations, while Q1 2025 delivered $0.63 EPS versus a $0.52 estimate and $4.811B revenue, continuing the upward trend. Q2 2025 and Q3 2025 saw EPS of $0.81 and $0.93 beating estimates of $0.67 and $0.80 respectively, with revenue climbing to $5.650B and $6.194B, indicating accelerating earnings and top‑line growth. The company has consistently outperformed analyst forecasts over the past quarters, with EPS beats in each of the last four periods and revenue growth maintained even when guidance was conservative. Historically, Amphenol’s YoY revenue growth has been robust, supported by a diversified portfolio that buffers sector volatility, and the company has frequently surpassed earnings estimates, reinforcing its competitive moat. Recent news points to a Zacks valuation analysis suggesting the stock may be undervalued by about 10%, highlighting strong cash‑flow generation and record AI‑driven datacom orders, as well as synergies from the CommScope acquisition; these catalysts underscore potential margin expansion. Investors should watch for the Q2 2026 earnings release to confirm the durability of AI demand and CommScope integration, and monitor any updates on sector‑wide developments or macroeconomic signals that could influence the technology sector’s valuation dynamics.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.56$0.79$1.01$1.23$1.45Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.72 - -
Q2'26$1.28$1.35+5.4%
Q1'26$1.06$1.06+0.3%
Q4'25$0.94$0.97+2.9%
Q3'25$0.80$0.93+16.5%
Q2'25$0.67$0.81+21.7%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$5.1B$6.3B$7.6B$8.8B$10.1BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$9.5B - -
Q2'26$8.3B$8.8B+5.2%
Q1'26$7.7B$7.6B-1.3%
Q4'25$6.2B$6.4B+3.0%
Q3'25 - $6.2B -
Q2'25 - $5.7B -

Market Data

APH Stock Snapshot

HOLD50/100
$77.69+$0.12 (0.2%)
Market cap
191.24B
P/E ratio
37.2
Day range
$77.40 – $79.30
News sentiment
76/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$99.26 (+27.8%)
Consensus
Buy · 25 analysts
52-week range+31.7% off low · -13.0% from high
$59.01$89.26
Price $77.69 DailyIQ Est. $102.54

APH is in a holding pattern - neither trend nor momentum has taken control. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into APH?

RICH

At today's price, Amphenol Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 17.8% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.79% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 13.0% a year, so the market is asking for 4.8 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis APH looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
17.8%
Historical FCF CAGR
13.0%
Growth gap
+4.8 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
10.79%
Beta
1.30

Behaviour On Record

What APH's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
41.9% 90th pct
Below its peak
-12.5%
vs 200-day average
+5.5%
Up days (1y)
49%

Amphenol Corporation is currently running 41.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against APH's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 90th percentile an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 20.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

APH is trading -12.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -17.6%, and the deepest was -38.8% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +5.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 35th percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year APH closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, APH finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.6% and an average of +0.9%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.6% on average, its weakest December at -0.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: APH has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 108 of 3,267 sessions (3.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +21.9% and -12.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, APH moved an average of 3.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +2.2% and a largest of +6.6%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against APH's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of APH's sector?

Amphenol Corporation sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#1 of 11
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
90

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for APH?

CallsPuts

For Amphenol Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 26 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 3.01), with at-the-money implied volatility around 44.9%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±11.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $68.57–$86.81.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
3.01
ATM implied volatility
44.9%
Total open interest
92,747
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±11.7% ($68.57–$86.81)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on APH?

TD Cowen most recently reiterated its rating on Amphenol Corporation to Hold on Sep 9, 2026 with a price target of $90 (from $175). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
TD CowenHold
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 9, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$175 → $90
Sep 8, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$200 → $100
Jul 30, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$185 → $197
Jul 30, 2026BNP ParibasMaintainedOutperform$200 → $215
Jul 30, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$195 → $210
Jul 30, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$200 → $215
Jul 13, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$135 → $175
Jul 13, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$180 → $195
Jul 13, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$198 → $200
Jul 9, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$178 → $185
Jul 9, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$180 → $185
May 4, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$175 → $180

APH Competitive Positioning

Amphenol Corporation (APH) is tracked alongside these names in Electronic Components on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.