Arm Holdings plc (ARM) Stock Price, News, Analysis

Technical Score (1D)

BULLISH

News Sentiment

BULLISH

On Oct 13, a Barchart report highlighted unusually heavy call option activity in Arm Holdings Plc, a move that stood out amid a broader selloff in the chip sector. The volume of covered call trades suggested that some investors were positioning for upside while others may have been hedging or taking profits. Analysts interpreted the activity as a potential bullish signal, indicating confidence in Arm’s future earnings or a strategic play by institutional holders. The market reaction to the option data was muted, with the stock remaining largely flat in the days following the report. The report underscored a mix of optimism and risk management among large investors.

ARM|Analyst Targets

LOW TARGET

$125 -47.6%

2 analysts

MEAN TARGET

$291 +21.8%

26 analysts

HIGH TARGET

$500 +109.6%

17 analysts

PRICE RANGE

$125.00 - $500.00

SB / B / H / S / SS

5/22/16/1/1

DAILYIQ EST.

$307.10 (+28.7%)

ARM|Company Info

Sector

Technology

Industry

Semiconductors

Exchange

NMS

Country

United Kingdom

Website

arm.com

Symbol

ARM

Description

Arm Holdings is a leading designer and licensor of central processing unit (CPU) technology, providing core intellectual property (IP) for the semiconductor industry. The company's business model centers on licensing its CPU designs, graphics processing units, and related system IP to a wide range of customers, including semiconductor manufacturers and original equipment manufacturers. These technologies are integral to a diverse array of markets, spanning automotive applications, computing infrastructure, consumer electronics, and the rapidly expanding Internet of Things. With a global presence, including operations in the United States, China, and several other key markets, Arm's technology is critical to the functionality of billions of devices worldwide. As a subsidiary of SoftBank Group Corp., Arm continues to drive innovation in the mobile and embedded computing space.

ARM|Insider Trading

Bought (1Y)

0 shares

Sold (1Y)

450,576 shares

$102.5M

Child JasonChief Financial Officer

Sell10,400 shares2026-09-21

Abbey WilliamChief Commercial Officer

Award/Grant17,288 shares2026-09-14

Haas Rene A.Chief Executive Officer

Award/Grant425,000 shares2026-09-09

Haas Rene A.Chief Executive Officer

Award/Grant64 shares2026-08-31

Child JasonChief Financial Officer

Sell10,400 shares2026-08-27

ARM|Fundamentals

Strong bullish

Overall: Bullish

✓Revenue growing year over year

✓Positive net margin

✓Positive operating cash flow

Gross Margin

97.5%

Net Margin

18.4%

Revenue CAGR

16.2%

Current Ratio

6.00x

Return on Equity

10.9%

ARM|Earnings Snapshot

Earnings Summary

Arm Holdings is a leading designer and licensor of CPU technology, providing core intellectual property for the semiconductor industry and serving a broad spectrum of markets from automotive to IoT. The company operates within the technology sector, specifically the semiconductor industry, and is a subsidiary of SoftBank Group Corp., positioning it at the heart of mobile and embedded computing innovation. In Q1 2025, Arm reported EPS of $0.55 versus an estimate of $0.52362, with revenue of $1.241B, indicating a modest earnings beat and solid top‑line performance. In Q4 2026, the company again surpassed expectations with EPS of $0.60 against an estimate of $0.588 and revenue of $1.49B versus an estimate of $1.486B, maintaining a consistent earnings beat pattern. The most recent quarter, Q1 2027, continued this trend with EPS of $0.45 versus an estimate of $0.4038 and revenue of $1.289B versus an estimate of $1.274B, while Q2 2027 EPS remains pending but revenue guidance of $1.389B suggests continued growth. Historically, Arm has shown a steady YoY revenue growth trajectory, with each quarter beating analyst estimates in at least three of the last four quarters, underscoring a resilient licensing model that delivers consistent earnings. Recent news highlights a strategic pivot with the launch of its own data‑center CPU on Oct 3, a move aimed at capturing higher revenue per system and potentially altering its relationship with licensees; this could introduce new cost structures but also deepen its revenue base. Additionally, Qualcomm’s lawsuit filed on Oct 5 raises potential financial risk by threatening to halt royalty payments, a development that could materially impact future earnings.

Read full report

EPS

EstBeatMiss

Qtr	Est	Actual	+/−
Q2'27	$0.47	-	-
Q1'27	$0.40	$0.45	+11.4%
Q4'26	$0.59	$0.60	+2.0%
Q1'25	$0.52	$0.55	+5.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss

Qtr	Est	Actual	+/−
Q2'27	$1.4B	-	-
Q1'27	$1.3B	$1.3B	+1.2%
Q4'26	$1.5B	$1.5B	+0.3%
Q1'25	-	$1.2B	-

Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context

→

ARM|Monthly Returns

Market Data

ARM Stock Snapshot

BULLISH87/100

$238.60−$16.79 (6.6%)

Market cap: 272.60B
P/E ratio: 261.1
Day range: $237.69 – $259.73
News sentiment: 65/100 · Bullish
Analyst target: $290.70 (+21.8%)
Consensus: Buy · 45 analysts

52-week range+163.6% off low · -47.3% from high

$90.50$452.70

Price $238.60 DailyIQ Est. $307.10

Momentum is working in ARM's favour - it ranks in the upper part of DailyIQ's momentum universe. Positioning shifts among large allocators, not retail flow, set the tone for a name this size.

Behaviour On Record

What ARM's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d): 84.4% 77th pct
vs 200-day average: +13.8%
Up days (1y): 49%

Arm Holdings plc is currently running 84.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ARM's own 3 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 77th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 64.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

Price sits +13.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 57th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year ARM closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ARM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 79 of 775 sessions (10.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.5% and -8.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 776 daily closes between 2023-09-14 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ARM's own 3-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of ARM's sector?

Arm Holdings plc sits in the Semiconductors sector, currently ranked 1st of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening). Within its narrower Semiconductors industry group, ARM ranks 1st of 15 tracked industries, weakening.

Sector rank: #1 of 12
Sector state: Weakening
Sector rotation score: 0
Industry rank: #1 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for ARM?

CallsPuts

For Arm Holdings plc's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.19), with at-the-money implied volatility around 65.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±5.3% move by that expiry — a range of about $229.30–$255.14.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16): 1.19
ATM implied volatility: 65.3%
Total open interest: 77,201
Expected move by 2026-10-16: ±5.3% ($229.30–$255.14)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on ARM?

Rosenblatt most recently reiterated its rating on Arm Holdings plc to Buy on Jul 31, 2026 with a price target of $250 (from $270). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action: Rosenblatt — Buy
90-day upgrades: 0
90-day downgrades: 0
Net rating momentum: 0

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Price target
Jul 31, 2026	Rosenblatt	Maintained	Buy	$270 → $250
Jul 30, 2026	UBS	Maintained	Buy	$360 → $320
Jul 30, 2026	Morgan Stanley	Maintained	Equal-Weight	$202 → $212
Jul 30, 2026	RBC Capital	Maintained	Outperform	$475 → $340
Jul 30, 2026	TD Cowen	Maintained	Buy	$475 → $350
Jul 30, 2026	Wells Fargo	Maintained	Overweight	$350 → $280
Jul 30, 2026	Guggenheim	Reiterated	Buy	$255
Jul 30, 2026	Needham	Reiterated	Buy	$255
Jul 22, 2026	Wells Fargo	Maintained	Overweight	$410 → $350
Jul 21, 2026	Susquehanna	Maintained	Positive	$300 → $320
Jul 20, 2026	UBS	Maintained	Buy	$470 → $360
Jul 14, 2026	HSBC	Downgrade	Buy → Hold	$255 → $315

Peers & ETF holders

ARM peers & ETF holders

SemiconductorsMarket cap · today

Top ETF holdersWeight

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

65/100

Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive

MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles

What did this article say?

A Barchart report noted unusually heavy call option activity in Arm Holdings Plc on October 13, despite a broader selloff in the chip sector. The volume of covered call trades suggests that some investors are positioning for upside while others may be hedging or taking profits. Analysts view the activity as a potential bullish signal, indicating confidence in Arm’s future earnings or a strategic play by institutional holders. The market reaction to the option data has been muted, with the stock remaining largely flat in the days following the report. Overall, the option activity reflects a mix of optimism and risk management among large investors.

What did this article say?

Arm Holdings received the Outstanding AI Computing Ecosystem Contribution Award at the GMIF2026 Annual Awards, highlighting its energy‑efficient architecture across data centre, edge, mobile and automotive sectors. The award underscored Arm’s unified compute platform as a foundation for partners developing AI hardware and software on a common architecture. This recognition reinforces Arm’s position as a key enabler in the AI chip supply chain and signals continued demand for its CPU, GPU and system IP.

What did this article say?

Eliyan, a connectivity technology company, disclosed that it had received a takeover offer. Arm, an existing investor, engaged in preliminary discussions with Eliyan but ultimately chose not to submit a bid, citing the target valuation of approximately $3 billion. The decision was made without public comment from either party. The move suggests Arm is not pursuing a strategic acquisition at this time, potentially limiting its influence over Eliyan’s future direction.

What did this article say?

Networking startup Eliyan announced it had entered preliminary discussions with ARM regarding a potential acquisition. The talks were reported to have taken place in early October, indicating a growing interest from ARM in expanding its portfolio into networking solutions. Eliyan’s technology could complement ARM’s existing semiconductor offerings, potentially broadening market reach. The engagement suggests ARM is actively exploring strategic acquisitions to enhance its product ecosystem. No definitive deal terms were disclosed, leaving the outcome uncertain.

What did this article say?

ARM's AGI CPU demand exceeded $2 billion, double management's original outlook, indicating significant upside potential. Analysts noted that ARM trades at a 152x multiple, well above its $284.70 target, and a bull case of $428 if margins rise to 50%. Despite not being selected among the top 10 stocks to buy, the article highlights substantial headroom for the company.

What did this article say?

ARM reported a quarterly revenue increase that suggests its licensing and design business is gaining traction. The company’s focus on autonomous system frameworks and new computing architectures was highlighted at a recent developer event. Analysts noted that this uptick could reduce the revenue lead held by Marvell over the past two years. The move indicates a strengthening position in the semiconductor IP market, though the long‑term impact remains uncertain.

What did this article say?

Qualcomm filed a lawsuit against Arm alleging that the chip‑design company withheld essential testing tools and leaked a termination threat that harmed a prospective partnership with Meta Platforms. The claim suggests that Arm’s actions may have undermined a significant revenue opportunity for the company. The lawsuit could lead to legal costs and potential damages, while also casting doubt on Arm’s reliability as a partner. The dispute highlights tensions between the two firms over intellectual property and contractual obligations. The outcome of the case remains uncertain, but the allegations represent a notable headwind for Arm’s business relationships.

What did this article say?

Arm Holdings PLC and Qualcomm Inc. have returned to federal court in Delaware to address a dispute over royalty payments that could amount to billions of dollars. Qualcomm claims Arm withheld chip‑testing tools and threatened to terminate a key license, actions that Qualcomm says harmed its negotiations with Meta Platforms. Arm denies breaching the contract and is contesting Qualcomm’s request to suspend royalty payments for up to five years. The case is part of a broader legal battle that includes a separate Nuvia lawsuit still pending on appeal. The outcome could materially affect Arm’s revenue projections for fiscal 2026, where Qualcomm accounts for 9% of its revenue.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

BULLISH

Momentum rank against about 1,000 stocks and ETFs for this timeframe.

Unlock full technicals

Create a free account to access more indicators and deeper timeframe data.

Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership

25 tracked managers · $14.61B combined position · 16 adding, 9 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)

Manager	Trend	Shares Held	% of Co.	Position Value	Filed
Invesco Ltd.	▲ Buy	12,816,588	1.20%	$4.54B	2026-08-14
Capital World Investors	▲ Buy	4,330,875	0.40%	$1.54B	2026-08-12
FMR LLC (Fidelity)	▲ Buy	4,062,977	0.38%	$1.44B	2026-08-13
Goldman Sachs Group Inc	▲ Buy	2,922,908	0.27%	$1.04B	2026-08-14
Capital Research Global Investors	▼ Sell	2,401,422	0.22%	$851.37M	2026-08-12
Morgan Stanley	▼ Sell	2,158,428	0.20%	$765.31M	2026-08-13
BlackRock, Inc.	▲ Buy	2,035,975	0.19%	$721.90M	2026-08-07
Susquehanna International Group, LLP	▲ Buy	1,627,121	0.15%	$576.93M	2026-08-14
Bank of America Corp	▲ Buy	1,218,800	0.11%	$432.15M	2026-08-14
JPMorgan Chase & Co	▲ Buy	1,184,566	0.11%	$406.99M	2026-08-12
Lansdowne Partners (UK) LLP	▲ Buy	1,072,493	0.10%	$380.27M	2026-08-14
Citigroup Inc	▲ Buy	834,904	0.08%	$296.03M	2026-08-03
Wellington Management Group LLP	▼ Sell	809,451	0.08%	$287.01M	2026-08-14
Loomis Sayles & Co L P	▼ Sell	785,168	0.07%	$278.40M	2026-08-14
Two Sigma Investments, LP	▲ Buy	660,156	0.06%	$234.07M	2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company	▲ Buy	500,220	0.05%	$177.36M	2026-08-14
Baillie Gifford & Co	▼ Sell	441,365	0.04%	$156.49M	2026-08-06
Janus Henderson Group plc	▲ New	767,534	0.07%	$116.11M	2026-05-18
Neuberger Berman Group LLC	▲ Buy	303,311	0.03%	$107.54M	2026-08-13
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership	▼ Sell	279,829	0.03%	$99.22M	2026-08-13
Citadel Advisors LLC	▼ Sell	167,727	0.02%	$59.47M	2026-09-02
Geode Capital Management, LLC	▼ Sell	118,891	0.01%	$42.16M	2026-08-12
AllianceBernstein L.P.	▲ Buy	226,427	0.02%	$34.25M	2026-08-14
Man Group plc	▼ Sell	46,410	0.00%	$16.46M	2026-08-14
Norges Bank	▲ New	45,898	0.00%	$16.27M	2026-08-12

Q2 2026 flow:19.79M sh bought ($7.00B)5.78M sh sold ($2.05B)net +14.01M sh (+$4.96B)

Congressional Trading Activity

4 disclosed trades · ~$166.0K est. traded value · 2 buys, 2 sells

Member	Chamber	State	Type	Amount	Traded	Filed
Cleo Fields	House	LA06	▼ Sell	$50K - $100K	2025-12-11	2025-12-17
Jonathan Jackson	House	IL01	▼ Sell	$1K - $15K	2025-09-02	2025-10-15
Jonathan Jackson	House	IL01	▲ Buy	$1K - $15K	2025-07-17	2025-08-25
Cleo Fields	House	LA06	▲ Buy	$50K - $100K	2025-07-16	2025-08-06