NVDA·NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'27 | $2.47 | - | - |
| Q1'27 | $1.77 | $1.87 | +5.4% |
| Q3'25 | $1.26 | $1.30 | +3.5% |
| Q2'25 | $1.01 | $1.05 | +4.1% |
| Q1'25 | $0.75 | $0.81 | +8.0% |
| Q4'24 | $0.85 | $0.89 | +5.2% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'27 | $108.1B | - | - |
| Q1'27 | $80.4B | $81.6B | +1.5% |
| Q3'25 | - | $57.0B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $46.7B | - |
| Q1'25 | - | $44.1B | - |
| Q4'24 | - | $39.3B | - |
NVDA|Monthly Returns
Market Data
NVDA Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 5.41T
- P/E ratio
- 28.0
- Day range
- $229.43 – $234.76
- News sentiment
- 47/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $325.99 (+42.0%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 70 analysts
NVDA's technical picture is constructive, with trend and momentum pointing the same direction. A stock this widely held moves on consensus revisions more than on individual catalysts.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into NVDA?
At today's price, NVIDIA Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 52.8% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 13.07% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 134.1% a year, so the market is asking for 81.3 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis NVDA looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 52.8%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 134.1%
- Growth gap
- -81.3 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 13.07%
- Beta
- 1.66
Behaviour On Record
What NVDA's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 34.3% 39th pct
- Below its peak
- -2.5%
- vs 200-day average
- +17.9%
- Up days (1y)
- 49%
NVIDIA Corporation is currently running 34.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against NVDA's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 39th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 37.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
NVDA is trading -2.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -26.9%, and the deepest was -63.1% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +17.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 44th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year NVDA closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.
On September specifically: over 13 years of records, NVDA finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +5.2% and an average of +2.0%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +13.7% on average, its weakest December at -0.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: NVDA has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 198 of 3,270 sessions (6.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.5% and -6.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 3,271 daily closes between 2013-09-05 and 2026-09-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against NVDA's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of NVDA's sector?
NVIDIA Corporation sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 5th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading). Within its narrower Semiconductors industry group, NVDA ranks 9th of 15 tracked industries, improving.
- Sector rank
- #5 of 11
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 80
- Industry rank
- #9 of 15
