DHI·D.R. Horton, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

30.9% 52nd pct

Below its peak

-30.8%

vs 200-day average

-8.5%

Up days (1y)

46%

D.R. Horton, Inc. is currently running 30.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against DHI's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 52nd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 30.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

DHI is trading -30.8% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.6%, and the deepest was -53.3% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -8.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 15th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year DHI closed higher on 46% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, DHI finished the month higher 6 of 14 times, with a median return of -0.7% and an average of -1.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +7.2% on average, its weakest September at -2.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: DHI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 138 of 3,268 sessions (4.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.0% and -10.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against DHI's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.