DG|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'27 | $2.00 | - | - |
| Q1'27 | $1.98 | $2.00 | +1.2% |
| Q3'25 | $0.93 | $1.28 | +37.6% |
| Q2'25 | $1.57 | $1.86 | +18.5% |
| Q1'25 | $1.49 | $1.78 | +19.6% |
| Q4'24 | $1.50 | $0.87 | -42.0% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'27 | $11.5B | - | - |
| Q1'27 | $11.1B | $10.8B | -3.2% |
| Q3'25 | - | $10.6B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $10.7B | - |
| Q1'25 | - | $10.4B | - |
| Q4'24 | - | $10.3B | - |
Market Data
DG Stock Snapshot
DG is currently trading at $127.22, giving Dollar General Corporation a market cap of 28.03B and a P/E ratio of 17.9. Today's range spans $125.55–$127.98, with shares opening at $127.15 and moving up $0.70 (0.6%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 82/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 50/100.
Over the past year DG has traded between $95.11 and $158.23 - the current price is +33.8% off the 52-week low and -19.6% from the high.
Dollar General Corporation (DG) is a large-cap in Consumer Defensive with 28.03B in market cap, and the current setup is one of the cleaner bullish reads in the space. Technical score: 82/100 (BUY). Sentiment: neutral at 50/100. Price: $127.22 (in the middle of its 52-week range). The current P/E ratio stands at 17.9. The 52-week range of $95.11–$158.23 provides structural context - and the current technical/sentiment alignment is the type of setup that attracts both momentum and growth-oriented capital.
What makes DG's BUY setup (82/100) particularly actionable at 28.03B in Consumer Defensive capitalization is the scale-to-move ratio: large enough to feature on institutional mandates but not so large that the percentage upside is already compressed by index inertia. At $127.22 (in the middle of its 52-week range in $95.11–$158.23), with sentiment running neutral at 50/100, the setup rewards conviction-sized positioning more than it does speculative small bets.
Company Insights: Dollar General Corporation (DG)
Dollar General Corporation (DG) operates as a prominent discount retailer, strategically positioned to serve value-conscious consumers across a wide geographic footprint in the United States. The company's business model is built upon offering a broad assortment of essential merchandise, including consumables, seasonal goods, and apparel, at accessible price points. This focus on everyday necessities and affordability forms the bedrock of its appeal, particularly in diverse economic climates. Its extensive store network allows for deep penetration into various communities, reinforcing its role as a go-to destination for budget-friendly shopping.
Recent financial performance indicates a notable recovery in earnings per share (EPS) following a significant miss in Q4 2024. The company has demonstrated beats against analyst estimates in the subsequent Q1 and Q2 2025 reporting periods, signaling a potential stabilization and improvement in operational execution. Revenue has also shown consistent year-over-year growth, underscoring the sustained demand for its value-oriented product mix. Investors are closely monitoring whether this positive EPS trend can be maintained, especially as the company navigates ongoing economic conditions and competitive pressures.
The competitive landscape for Dollar General is robust, featuring large-format retailers like Walmart (WMT) and membership-based clubs such as Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST). While these competitors offer scale and breadth, Dollar General differentiates itself through its smaller store format and localized assortments, often serving areas with less direct access to larger retail chains. Its primary competitors within the discount store industry are also vying for the same price-sensitive demographic, necessitating continuous focus on operational efficiency and merchandising strategy to maintain market share.
Value Proposition
Dollar General's core strategy centers on offering essential merchandise at consistently low prices.
Its broad product assortment includes consumables, home goods, and apparel, catering to everyday needs.
The company's extensive store network provides convenient access for value-seeking customers.
Earnings Trends
Recent quarters show a positive trend with EPS beats in Q1 and Q2 2025, recovering from a Q4 2024 miss.
Revenue has demonstrated consistent year-over-year growth, reflecting sustained customer demand.
Future performance hinges on maintaining EPS beats and managing operational costs effectively.
Competitive Positioning
DG competes with large retailers like Walmart and Costco, as well as other discount chains.
Its smaller store format and localized assortments offer a distinct advantage in certain markets.
Maintaining price leadership and operational efficiency are key to defending market share.
Operational Scrutiny
Recent incidents, such as store closures due to safety violations, highlight operational risks.
Investors will monitor adherence to safety standards and regulatory compliance across its network.
Effective management of operational protocols is crucial for long-term brand reputation and stability.
Positioning DG
Dollar General stock performance has recently lagged the broader market, presenting a potential entry point for value investors. Accumulating exposure may be warranted if the company consistently demonstrates improved EPS performance and effective operational management. Conversely, reducing holdings could be prudent if recent positive earnings trends falter or if operational compliance issues escalate, impacting profitability and investor confidence.
Key Metrics for DG
Dollar General's performance hinges on its ability to attract price-sensitive consumers and manage operational efficiency. Key metrics will reveal its success in navigating the discount retail landscape.
Comparable Store Sales: Measures sales growth from stores open for at least one year. Strong positive growth indicates Dollar General is attracting customers and increasing basket sizes. Declining or flat comparable sales suggest market share loss or reduced consumer spending, negatively impacting the stock.
Gross Profit Margin: Reflects the percentage of revenue remaining after accounting for the cost of goods sold. An expanding margin shows Dollar General's pricing power and efficient inventory management. A contracting margin signals increased costs or promotional pressures, potentially hurting profitability and the stock.
Inventory Turnover: Indicates how many times Dollar General's inventory is sold and replaced over a period. A higher turnover suggests efficient sales and less risk of obsolescence. A slowing turnover could signal weak demand or overstocking, tying up capital and potentially leading to markdowns, which is a negative for DG.
SG&A Expense Ratio: Measures selling, general, and administrative expenses as a percentage of net sales. A decreasing ratio demonstrates operating leverage and cost control. An increasing ratio suggests inefficiencies or rising operational costs, which can pressure Dollar General's earnings and stock price.
EPS Growth: Tracks the year-over-year increase in earnings per share. Consistent EPS growth is crucial for investor confidence and stock appreciation. Misses or declines in EPS, as seen in prior quarters, raise concerns about Dollar General's profitability and future prospects.
What Moves DG Stock?
Dollar General's stock performance is primarily driven by its ability to attract and retain price-conscious consumers, particularly within its core demographic. Key factors include its strategic store placement in rural and suburban areas and its focus on essential, everyday products.
Consumer Spending Trends
The company's success hinges on the purchasing power and shopping habits of low-to-middle income households. Economic conditions that pressure consumer budgets often lead these shoppers to discount retailers like Dollar General for essential goods.
When consumers face economic uncertainty or inflation, they tend to trade down to more affordable options. This dynamic directly benefits Dollar General, potentially driving higher sales volumes and supporting its stock price as demand for value increases.
Operational Execution
Dollar General's ability to manage inventory, control costs, and efficiently operate its vast store network is critical. Recent earnings reports have shown a mixed performance, with some quarters beating EPS estimates while others have missed, indicating potential challenges in execution or forecasting.
Consistent operational efficiency, including effective inventory management and cost control, is vital for margin expansion and profitability. Any missteps in these areas, or unexpected costs like those related to safety violations, can negatively impact investor confidence and the stock's valuation.
Competitive Landscape
Dollar General competes with other discount retailers, mass merchandisers like Walmart, and even dollar-store rivals. The company's strategy of locating stores in underserved rural areas provides a competitive moat, but it still faces pressure from larger players and evolving consumer preferences.
The stock's performance can be influenced by how well Dollar General differentiates itself and captures market share against competitors. Success in attracting and retaining customers through its value proposition and convenient locations can lead to stock appreciation, while competitive pressures may suppress it.
Key insight: Dollar General's stock is most sensitive to shifts in consumer spending power and the company's operational efficiency. While its value proposition resonates during economic downturns, consistent execution and competitive positioning are crucial for sustained stock performance.
DG Recent Earnings History
- Q3 2025
EPS: $1.28 actual vs $0.93 estimate (beat) · Revenue: $10,649M actual
- Q2 2025
EPS: $1.86 actual vs $1.57 estimate (beat) · Revenue: $10,728M actual
- Q1 2025
EPS: $1.78 actual vs $1.49 estimate (beat) · Revenue: $10,436M actual
- Q4 2024
EPS: $0.87 actual vs $1.5 estimate (miss) · Revenue: $10,304M actual
Risk Factors
Dollar General faces risks tied to its value proposition, operational execution, and the economic sensitivity of its core customer base. These factors can impact sales, profitability, and investor sentiment.
- Consumer Spending
Dollar General's success hinges on attracting price-sensitive consumers, particularly those in lower-income brackets. A significant economic downturn or a shift in consumer spending habits away from discount retailers could reduce traffic and sales. This risk would materialize if inflation persists, impacting disposable income, or if competitors offer more compelling value.
- Inventory Management
The company's ability to manage a vast and diverse inventory efficiently is crucial for profitability. Issues like overstocking, stockouts, or spoilage, especially with consumables, can lead to markdowns and reduced margins. This risk becomes more acute during periods of supply chain disruption or unpredictable demand shifts.
- Operational Standards
Recent incidents, such as store closures due to safety violations, highlight potential risks in maintaining consistent operational standards across its large store base. Failure to address these issues could lead to fines, reputational damage, and further store closures. This risk would escalate if systemic problems are uncovered or if regulatory scrutiny intensifies.
- Competition
While Dollar General operates in a specific niche, it faces competition from traditional grocers, mass merchandisers, and other dollar stores. Aggressive pricing or expanded offerings from competitors could erode market share. This risk is heightened if larger retailers focus more on value segments or if new, agile competitors emerge.
- Shrinkage
Shrinkage, primarily due to theft and inventory control issues, can significantly impact profitability for discount retailers. Dollar General's high-volume, lower-margin model is particularly vulnerable to increases in shrinkage. This risk would materialize if organized retail crime increases or if in-store security measures prove insufficient.
DG Competitive Positioning
Dollar General Corporation (DG) is tracked alongside these names in Discount Stores on DailyIQ.
Analyst Price Targets for DG
The current spread of analyst price targets and ratings for Dollar General Corporation (DG).
Reflects the most recently tracked analyst ratings for DG and may lag real-time updates. Not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Frequently Asked Questions About DG
Is Dollar General (DG) stock a good investment for value-focused investors?
Dollar General (DG) appeals to investors seeking value, given its focus on discount retail and essential goods. The company's strategy targets price-sensitive consumers, which can provide resilience during economic downturns. However, its performance is sensitive to consumer spending habits and competitive pressures within the retail sector.
What are the main drivers of Dollar General (DG) stock price?
The stock price of Dollar General (DG) is primarily influenced by its sales performance, particularly comparable store sales growth and overall revenue. Profitability, driven by effective cost management and gross margins, also plays a significant role. Investor sentiment regarding the retail sector, consumer spending trends, and the company's ability to execute its growth strategy are key external factors.
Does Dollar General (DG) pay a dividend?
Yes, Dollar General (DG) typically pays a quarterly dividend to its shareholders. The company has a history of returning capital through dividends, though the amount can fluctuate based on its financial performance and capital allocation priorities. Investors should review the latest dividend announcements for current payout information.
What is the current valuation of Dollar General (DG) stock?
Dollar General's (DG) valuation can be assessed using metrics like its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA). These figures are often compared to historical averages and industry peers to gauge whether the stock is trading at a premium or discount. A P/E ratio of 25.36 suggests investors are willing to pay a certain multiple for its earnings.
What are the key risks associated with investing in Dollar General (DG)?
Risks for Dollar General (DG) include intense competition from other retailers, potential shifts in consumer spending away from its product mix, and challenges in managing its vast store network and supply chain. Operational issues, such as labor costs and potential regulatory scrutiny, also pose risks. Economic downturns could impact discretionary spending, even at discount retailers.
How does Dollar General (DG) compete in the discount retail market?
Dollar General (DG) competes by offering a broad assortment of everyday essentials and discretionary items at low price points, often in rural and suburban areas underserved by larger retailers. Its convenience factor and focus on consumables provide a defensive characteristic. The company continuously works on optimizing its store footprint and product mix to meet customer demand.
What is Dollar General's (DG) strategy for future growth?
Dollar General's (DG) growth strategy often involves expanding its store base, particularly in underserved markets, and enhancing its private-label offerings. The company also focuses on improving its supply chain efficiency and leveraging data analytics to better understand customer preferences. Initiatives to test new store formats and digital capabilities are also part of its forward-looking plans.
How has Dollar General (DG) performed against earnings expectations recently?
Dollar General (DG) has shown a mixed performance against earnings expectations in recent quarters. While Q1 and Q2 of 2025 saw EPS beats, Q4 2024 reported a significant miss. This inconsistency highlights the sensitivity of its earnings to various operational and market factors. Investors will closely monitor upcoming reports for sustained improvement.
What impact does inflation have on Dollar General (DG) stock?
Inflation can have a dual impact on Dollar General (DG) stock. On one hand, it may drive more price-conscious consumers to its stores, potentially increasing traffic and sales of essential goods. On the other hand, rising costs for inventory, labor, and transportation can pressure the company's margins if not effectively passed on to consumers or offset by efficiencies.
Are there any significant operational concerns for Dollar General (DG)?
Recent news has highlighted operational concerns for Dollar General (DG), including a store closure due to safety code violations. Such incidents can raise questions about adherence to operational standards across its extensive network. Investors will monitor management's response and any potential broader implications for store operations and compliance.
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