DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer DefensiveAll sectors
Last updated 1 minute ago

DG·Dollar General Corporation

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$111.00
Open
$108.79
Market Cap
24.10B
52W High
$158.23
Low
$108.06
P. Close
$110.58
P/E
15.94
52W Low
$95.11
Fwd P/E
13.91
Mean Target
-
Technical Score (1D)
32
SELL
News Sentiment
48
MIXED
Dollar General (DG) shares saw a notable 6% increase, fueled by positive sector-wide sentiment stemming from a rival's strong quarterly performance and an elevated profit outlook. This optimism suggests investors anticipate similar positive trends for DG, particularly as its own earnings report approaches. The recent rally offers some respite for DG stock, which has experienced year-to-date declines. This sector strength is largely attributed to Dollar Tree's significant gains following its latest earnings report, where it surpassed analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings, indicating robust consumer demand and effective operations. Dollar General's stock had previously risen 5% on this positive read-through, with Dollar Tree raising its full-year profit guidance. Investors are now closely watching DG's upcoming June 2 earnings report, with expectations for strong results and a potential beat on key financial metrics beyond just headline EPS and revenue. This performance contrasts with broader weakness seen in other retailers targeting lower-income consumers, highlighting a potential divergence in consumer behavior or specific strengths within the discount retail segment.
Earnings Summary
Dollar General Corporation is a leading discount retailer operating primarily in the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern United States, offering a wide range of essential and value-priced merchandise. The company serves a broad customer base with products spanning consumables, seasonal goods, home products, apparel, and pet supplies, positioning itself within the Consumer Defensive sector's Discount Stores industry. In its most recent reported quarters, Dollar General demonstrated a mixed performance. For Q2 2025, EPS was $1.86 against an estimate of $1.57, and revenue was $10.73 billion. This followed Q1 2025 where EPS was $1.78 against an estimate of $1.49, with revenue at $10.44 billion. Prior to this, Q1 2025 saw EPS of $1.78 beating the estimate of $1.49, and Q4 2024 reported EPS of $0.87 significantly missing the estimate of $1.50, though revenue was $10.30 billion. The trend shows an acceleration in EPS performance in Q1 and Q2 2025 after a notable miss in Q4 2024. Historically, Dollar General's performance has shown variability; for instance, Q3 2025 reported EPS of $1.28, missing the estimate of $0.93, despite revenue reaching $10.65 billion. The company has shown a pattern of beating EPS estimates in two of the last three reported quarters (Q1 2025, Q2 2025), with a significant miss in Q4 2024 and another miss in Q3 2025. Recent news indicates positive sector-wide sentiment, with Dollar General's stock seeing an increase partly due to a rival's strong performance, suggesting anticipation of similar positive trends. However, analysts at Truist have lowered their price target to $109 while maintaining a 'Hold' rating, citing a cautious outlook and potential headwinds, despite projecting year-over-year growth in EPS and revenue for the upcoming report. Investors will be watching for confirmation of comparable sales growth targets and management's insights into consumer spending and inventory strategies in the upcoming earnings calls, especially in light of a planned CEO succession in 2027.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.72$1.05$1.38$1.71$2.04Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$1.89 - -
Q3'25$0.93$1.28+37.6%
Q2'25$1.57$1.86+18.5%
Q1'25$1.49$1.78+19.6%
Q4'24$1.50$0.87-42.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$10.2B$10.5B$10.7B$11.0B$11.3BQ4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$11.1B - -
Q3'25 - $10.6B -
Q2'25 - $10.7B -
Q1'25 - $10.4B -
Q4'24 - $10.3B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

DG Stock Snapshot

DG is currently trading at $111.00, giving Dollar General Corporation a market cap of 24.10B and a P/E ratio of 15.9. Today's range spans $108.06–$111.00, with shares opening at $108.79 and moving up $0.42 (0.4%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 32/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 48/100.

Over the past year DG has traded between $95.11 and $158.23 - the current price is +16.7% off the 52-week low and -29.8% from the high.

The path of least resistance for Dollar General Corporation (DG) is currently lower - 32/100 (SELL), neutral sentiment (48/100), price $111.00 (in the lower half of its 52-week range within $95.11–$158.23). The current P/E ratio stands at 15.9. At 24.10B in Consumer Defensive market cap, this large-cap name is in the zone where portfolio risk managers - not just traders - are making decisions. Trimming positions on technical deterioration is standard practice at this size, and the current setup gives them a clear rationale to act.

The current SELL phase for DG (32/100) at $111.00 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) suggests that the market is discounting either a fundamental deterioration or a sector headwind that hasn't fully appeared in the earnings line yet. Sentiment at 48/100 (neutral) confirms that news flow is not providing a counternarrative. At 24.10B in Consumer Defensive capitalization, DG has the liquidity for institutional exits to be orderly — but orderly doesn't mean shallow within the $95.11–$158.23 range.