DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated1 minute ago

ROST·Ross Stores, Inc.

$225.68
-0.16 (-0.07%)
Pre-Market
High
$225.69
Open
$225.69
Market Cap
72.41B
52W High
$257.00
Low
$225.00
P. Close
$225.68
P/E
27.23
52W Low
$154.23
Fwd P/E
25.15
DailyIQ Est.
$279.13
Inst. Ownership
48.6%
Short Interest
3.17%
Days to Cover
5.0
Div. Yield
0.77%
Next Ex-Div
~Dec 8
Technical Score (1D)
87
BULLISH
News Sentiment
66
BULLISH
On Oct 13, Ross Stores announced that it had entered a new geographic market for the first time, targeting price‑sensitive shoppers and signaling a strategic push for growth. The same day the company reported that it had completed its fiscal 2026 expansion by opening 51 new stores across 17 states, bringing the total new store count for the year to 115 and raising its total nationwide footprint to about 2,377 locations. The expansion included 41 Ross Dress for Less and 10 dd’s DISCOUNTS outlets, reinforcing the retailer’s presence in the off‑price market and capitalizing on strong demand for affordable merchandise. Analysts noted that the rollout has attracted investor attention following a series of earnings surprises, and that the stock trades below average target prices, suggesting potential upside. The company’s completion of the 115‑store buildout is expected to enhance earnings capacity, improve operating efficiency, and accelerate cash‑flow timing, while also raising questions about how much of the future earnings upside is already priced in.
LOW TARGET
$187 -17.1%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$269 +19.0%
15 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$310 +37.4%
12 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$187.00 - $310.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
9/10/8/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$279.13 (+23.7%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Apparel Retail
Exchange
NMS
Country
United States
Website
rossstores.com
Symbol
ROST
Description
Ross Stores, Inc. is a leading off-price retailer operating primarily in the United States, offering apparel and home fashion products through its Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS store brands. The company's business model centers on providing value to consumers by offering discounted merchandise compared to traditional retailers. Ross Stores caters to a broad customer base, specifically targeting middle-income and lower-to-moderate-income households seeking quality goods at attractive prices. Incorporated in 1957 and headquartered in Dublin, California, the company has established a long-standing presence in the retail landscape by focusing on its core value proposition of providing affordable fashion and home goods.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
104,562 shares
$24.1M
Johnson Christian B-
Award/Grant1,111 shares2026-10-01
Bransten Shelley-
Award/Grant1,111 shares2026-10-01
Conroy James GrantCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
Sell49,205 shares2026-09-14
Brinkley Stephen CPRESIDENT, OPERATIONS
Sell6,424 shares2026-09-14
Conroy James GrantCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
Tax Withholding41,372 shares2026-09-11
View full insider trading history →
72/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
9.4%
Revenue CAGR
7.7%
Current Ratio
1.58x
Debt / Equity
0.25x
Return on Equity
34.7%
View full financials →
Earnings Summary
Ross Stores, Inc. operates as a leading off‑price retailer in the United States, selling apparel and home fashion through its Ross Dress for Less and dd’s DISCOUNTS brands, targeting middle‑income and lower‑to‑moderate‑income households. The company’s business model focuses on offering discounted merchandise compared to traditional retailers, positioning it firmly within the consumer cyclical apparel retail sector. In the most recent quarter, Q3 2025, Ross reported earnings per share of $1.58 versus an estimate of $1.42473, while revenue reached $5.600946 billion, up from $5.529152 billion in Q2 2025 and $4.984971 billion in Q1 2025; the company beat estimates in each of the last four quarters, with EPS growth accelerating from $1.47 in Q1 2025 to $1.58 in Q3 2025 and revenue growth decelerating slightly from a 12.5% rise in Q1 2025 to a 1.4% rise in Q3 2025. Historically, Ross has maintained a steady YoY revenue growth trajectory, with consistent EPS beats over the past three years, even as revenue growth has moderated; the company’s ability to sustain margin expansion amid cost pressures has been a recurring theme. Recent news indicates that Ross’s performance is largely in line with the broader retail‑wholesale group, with no new earnings guidance or material catalyst identified; analysts remain bullish, citing strong institutional buying and a recent expansion program that could support near‑term upside.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.34$1.53$1.72$1.92$2.11Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'27Q3'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'27$1.83 - -
Q1'27$1.79$2.02+12.6%
Q3'25$1.42$1.58+10.9%
Q2'25$1.54$1.56+1.4%
Q1'25$1.43$1.47+2.5%
Q4'24$1.66$1.79+7.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$4.8B$5.2B$5.7B$6.1B$6.5BQ4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'27Q3'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'27$6.3B - -
Q1'27$5.7B$6.0B+4.6%
Q3'25 - $5.6B -
Q2'25 - $5.5B -
Q1'25 - $5.0B -
Q4'24 - $5.9B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

ROST Stock Snapshot

BULLISH87/100
$225.30−$0.38 (0.2%)
Market cap
72.41B
P/E ratio
27.2
Day range
$225.00 – $225.69
News sentiment
66/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$268.61 (+19.2%)
Consensus
Buy · 29 analysts
52-week range+46.1% off low · -12.3% from high
$154.23$257.00
Price $225.30 DailyIQ Est. $279.13

Price is in the upper part of its 52-week range, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into ROST?

RICH

At today's price, Ross Stores, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 19.9% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 9.06% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 10.0% a year, so the market is asking for 9.9 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis ROST looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
19.9%
Historical FCF CAGR
10.0%
Growth gap
+9.9 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
9.06%
Beta
0.77

Behaviour On Record

What ROST's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
18.7% 32nd pct
Below its peak
-11.6%
vs 200-day average
+2.7%
Up days (1y)
57%

Ross Stores, Inc. is currently running 18.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ROST's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 32nd percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 23.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

ROST is trading -11.6% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.0%, and the deepest was -50.3% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +2.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 33rd percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year ROST closed higher on 57% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, ROST finished the month higher 8 of 14 times, with a median return of +0.8% and an average of +1.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +8.5% on average, its weakest March at -3.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ROST has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 111 of 3,268 sessions (3.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.6% and -7.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ROST's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of ROST's sector?

Ross Stores, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 6th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving). Within its narrower Retail industry group, ROST ranks 4th of 15 tracked industries, improving.

Sector rank
#6 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
55
Industry rank
#4 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for ROST?

CallsPuts

For Ross Stores, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.50), with at-the-money implied volatility around 0.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±0.1% move by that expiry — a range of about $225.12–$225.38.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
1.50
ATM implied volatility
0.8%
Total open interest
14,791
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±0.1% ($225.12–$225.38)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on ROST?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Ross Stores, Inc. to Buy on Aug 21, 2026 with a price target of $290 (from $270). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Citigroup — Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 21, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$270 → $290
Aug 21, 2026JefferiesMaintainedBuy$265 → $285
Aug 21, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$290 → $310
Aug 21, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$231 → $234
Aug 21, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$262 → $272
Aug 21, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$232 → $239
Aug 21, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$260 → $298
Aug 21, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$245 → $248
Aug 21, 2026BernsteinMaintainedMarket Perform$230 → $240
Aug 21, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$276 → $290
Aug 21, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$250 → $270
Aug 17, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$265 → $276

Peers & ETF holders

ROST peers & ETF holders

Apparel RetailMarket cap · today

Top ETF holdersWeight

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

66/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Ross Stores announced the opening of 51 new stores nationwide, including 41 Ross Dress for Less and 10 dd's Discounts locations, during September and October 2026. The retailer reported a 10% year‑over‑year increase in comparable store sales and a nearly 73% rise in operating profit for the second quarter. Foot traffic data showed a 16.4% jump at Ross Dress for Less sites and an 8.4% increase at dd's Discounts. CEO Jim Conroy highlighted that the company is drawing customers across income groups and age cohorts, with higher visit frequency and spending. The expansion and strong sales performance suggest continued momentum for the off‑price retailer.
What did this article say?
Ross Stores finished its fiscal 2026 expansion, adding 51 new locations across 17 states and completing a 115-store buildout. The move followed a series of earnings beats that had already lifted the stock. The company’s expansion strategy is aimed at capturing market share in the off‑price retail segment. Investors reacted positively, reflecting confidence in the company’s growth prospects. The expansion is expected to support long‑term revenue and margin growth.
What did this article say?
Ross Stores completed a fiscal 2026 expansion adding 115 new outlets, prompting analysts to reassess whether the current share price reflects future earnings potential. The retailer’s long‑term shareholder returns have been strong, yet the new footprint may dilute operating efficiency and alter cash‑flow timing. Investors are evaluating if the valuation already incorporates the expanded capacity or if it remains overextended. The company’s earnings trajectory and market expectations are now under scrutiny, potentially tempering optimism about the stock’s valuation.
What did this article say?
Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) completed its fiscal 2026 expansion plan by opening 51 new stores across 17 states during September and October 2026. The additions included 41 Ross Dress for Less and 10 dd's DISCOUNTS locations, bringing the total new store count for the year to 115. With these openings, ROST now operates approximately 2,377 stores nationwide, reinforcing its presence in the off‑price retail market and capitalizing on strong demand for affordable merchandise.
What did this article say?
Ross Stores completed its 2026 expansion program by opening 51 new outlets across 17 U.S. states during September and October. The new locations included 41 Ross Dress for Less stores and 10 dd's DISCOUNTS sites, bringing the total number of U.S. locations to 115 for the fiscal year. The company’s executive vice president highlighted confidence in long‑term opportunities and the continued resonance of its off‑price model. The expansion positions ROST to grow toward 2,900 Ross Dress for Less and 700 dd's DISCOUNTS sites, reinforcing its market presence.
What did this article say?
Ross Stores (ROST) closed down 1.24% at $222.41 on October 9, trailing the broader market’s gains. The discount retailer’s share price lagged the Retail‑Wholesale sector’s 1.58% decline but outperformed the sector’s negative trend. Analysts anticipate the company’s upcoming earnings to report an EPS of $1.82, up 15.19% YoY, and revenue of $6.2 billion, up 10.68% YoY. Consensus estimates project full‑year earnings of $8.77 per share and revenue of $25.65 billion, reflecting significant year‑over‑year growth. Investors are monitoring the earnings release for confirmation of the positive guidance and potential upside.
What did this article say?
Analyst Gordon Haskett lowered Ross Stores’ (ROST) price target from $285 to $250, citing a more cautious outlook. The adjustment reflects a downgrade in the firm’s valuation assumptions and a shift from an overweight to a more neutral stance. The new target suggests a potential downside risk for investors who had been expecting higher growth.
What did this article say?
Ross Stores (NASDAQ:ROST) has delivered an average annual return of 17.04% over the past 15 years, outperforming the market by 3.97% on an annualized basis. The retailer’s market capitalization stands at $74.16 billion as of the latest reporting. This historical performance highlights the company’s consistent ability to generate shareholder value over a long period. The data underscores Ross Stores’ resilience and effective pricing strategy in the discount retail sector. No recent earnings or guidance updates were mentioned, so the impact is limited to historical context.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

87
BULLISH
Momentum rank against about 1,000 stocks and ETFs for this timeframe.
Unlock full technicals
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $31.53B combined position · 13 adding, 12 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Vanguard Group Inc▲ Buy38,689,66912.06%$6.97B2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy27,900,9238.70%$5.94B2026-08-07
Invesco Ltd.▲ Buy12,316,9393.84%$2.62B2026-08-14
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▲ Buy10,973,5373.42%$2.34B2026-08-13
Bank of America Corp▲ Buy9,509,9982.96%$2.02B2026-08-14
JPMorgan Chase & Co▼ Sell8,685,5232.71%$1.81B2026-08-12
Geode Capital Management, LLC▼ Sell7,943,9242.48%$1.68B2026-08-12
Wellington Management Group LLP▲ Buy6,615,6822.06%$1.41B2026-08-14
Norges Bank▲ Buy5,834,0051.82%$1.24B2026-08-12
Morgan Stanley▼ Sell5,005,8171.56%$1.07B2026-08-13
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▼ Sell4,024,3651.25%$856.59M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▲ Buy3,504,8681.09%$726.00M2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp▲ Buy3,318,7111.03%$706.39M2026-08-13
Two Sigma Investments, LP▼ Sell2,446,2370.76%$520.68M2026-08-14
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▼ Sell1,218,2560.38%$259.31M2026-08-14
Man Group plc▲ Buy1,025,7560.32%$218.33M2026-08-14
Citigroup Inc▲ Buy892,3260.28%$189.93M2026-08-03
Squarepoint Ops LLC▲ Buy759,6970.24%$161.70M2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company▼ Sell756,5390.24%$161.03M2026-08-14
Renaissance Technologies LLC▲ Buy615,7280.19%$131.06M2026-08-13
Millennium Management LLC▼ Sell558,1970.17%$118.81M2026-08-14
AllianceBernstein L.P.▼ Sell540,6630.17%$117.12M2026-08-14
Balyasny Asset Management L.P.▼ Sell444,8480.14%$94.69M2026-08-14
Prudential Financial Inc▼ Sell440,3550.14%$93.73M2026-08-12
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▼ Sell329,5770.10%$70.15M2026-08-13
Q2 2026 flow:18.07M sh bought ($3.84B)7.85M sh sold ($1.66B)net +10.22M sh (+$2.17B)
View full institutional holdings history →
Congressional Trading Activity
8 disclosed trades · ~$137.5K est. traded value · 4 buys, 4 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
Valerie HoyleHouseOR04▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-09-232025-10-10
Dan NewhouseHouseWA04▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-08-182025-09-17
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-06-242025-08-13
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-06-172025-08-13
Jefferson ShreveHouseIN06▼ Sell$15K - $50K2025-05-122025-06-22
Jefferson ShreveHouseIN06▲ Buy$15K - $50K2025-04-172025-05-08
Jefferson ShreveHouseIN06▼ Sell$15K - $50K2025-03-132025-04-11
Valerie HoyleHouseOR04▲ Buy$1K - $15K2024-10-292025-09-12
View full congressional trading history →

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