EBAY·eBay Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

26.3% 51st pct

Below its peak

-5.3%

vs 200-day average

+10.4%

Up days (1y)

53%

eBay Inc. is currently running 26.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against EBAY's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 51st percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 26.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

EBAY is trading -5.3% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -20.0%, and the deepest was -44.8% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +10.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 61st percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year EBAY closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, EBAY finished the month higher 3 of 13 times, with a median return of -7.5% and an average of -4.3%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +6.7% on average, its weakest October at -4.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: EBAY has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 50 of 3,266 sessions (1.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.0% and -5.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,267 daily closes between 2013-10-14 and 2026-10-09, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against EBAY's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.