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MDLN·Medline Inc.

$31.61
-0.51 (-1.59%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$31.65+0.04 (+0.13%)
High
$32.33
Open
$32.16
Market Cap
41.60B
52W High
$50.88
Low
$31.49
P. Close
$31.61
P/E
60.02
52W Low
$31.49
Fwd P/E
19.95
DailyIQ Est.
$46.69
Inst. Ownership
37.7%
Short Interest
3.00%
Days to Cover
6.1
Technical Score (1D)
5
SELL
News Sentiment
57
BULLISH
Medline’s shares have dropped 22.1% year‑to‑date, sparking a reassessment of its valuation. Analysts now question whether the current $31.64 price reflects the company’s projected cash flows, as a DCF estimate suggests the stock may be over‑priced. The 39.6x P/E ratio appears higher than the intrinsic value implied by cash‑flow projections, raising doubts about the sustainability of the current price. If the market has indeed over‑priced Medline, the stock could trade below fair value over the next 1–10 trading days. Watch for any forthcoming earnings releases that could clarify the company’s cash‑flow trajectory. Also monitor analyst revisions to the DCF model, which could shift the perceived valuation. Keep an eye on healthcare reimbursement policy changes that might impact Medline’s revenue conversion. Finally, watch for any corporate actions, such as dividend changes or share buybacks, that could influence investor sentiment.
Earnings Summary
Medline Inc. is a global manufacturer and distributor of medical supplies, serving healthcare providers through its Medline Brand and Supply Chain Solutions segments. The company operates within the healthcare sector, specifically medical instruments and supplies, and competes in a market characterized by regulatory scrutiny and cost pressures. In Q4 2025, Medline reported a negative EPS of -$0.01 against an estimate of $0.25, while revenue of $7.787 billion exceeded the $7.698 billion estimate, indicating revenue growth but a sharp decline in profitability; the company’s Q1 2026 EPS is currently unknown, but revenue guidance of $7.722 billion suggests continued revenue expansion. Historically, Medline has experienced mixed earnings performance, with revenue growth outpacing EPS, and the company has faced several misses against analyst estimates, reflecting challenges in maintaining margins amid regulatory and competitive pressures. Recent news reports a serious FDA recall of Medline’s convenience kits containing B. Braun bupivacaine, the most severe recall type, raising concerns about regulatory compliance and potential liability costs; this recall could tighten the supply chain and increase quality‑control spending, potentially dampening short‑term margins. Forward‑looking watch points include monitoring Medline’s next earnings release for guidance updates on EBITDA and margin outlook, as well as any FDA updates on recall remediation and potential liability settlements, which will be critical for assessing the company’s cost structure and profitability trajectory.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.06$0.05$0.17$0.28$0.40Q4'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$0.35 - -
Q4'25$0.25$-0.01-103.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$7.7B$7.7B$7.7B$7.8B$7.8BQ4'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$7.7B - -
Q4'25$7.7B$7.8B+1.2%

Market Data

MDLN Stock Snapshot

SELL5/100
$31.65+$0.04 (0.1%)
Market cap
41.60B
P/E ratio
60.0
Day range
$31.49 – $32.33
News sentiment
57/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$44.60 (+40.9%)
Consensus
Buy · 36 analysts
52-week range+0.5% off low · -37.8% from high
$31.49$50.88
Price $31.65 DailyIQ Est. $46.69

Price action on MDLN is defensive - rallies are being sold rather than extended. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of MDLN's sector?

Medline Inc. sits in the Health Care sector, currently ranked 4th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#4 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
100

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for MDLN?

CallsPuts

For Medline Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 26 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.17), with at-the-money implied volatility around 46.2%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±13.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $29.82–$39.12.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.17
ATM implied volatility
46.2%
Total open interest
2,227
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±13.5% ($29.82–$39.12)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MDLN?

BTIG most recently reiterated its rating on Medline Inc. to Buy on Aug 27, 2026 with a price target of $55. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
BTIGBuy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 27, 2026BTIGReiteratedBuy$55
Aug 12, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$53 → $46
Aug 11, 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainedBuy$62 → $55
Aug 11, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$45 → $34
Aug 10, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$53 → $45
Aug 6, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$53 → $46
Aug 6, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$56 → $47
Aug 6, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$48 → $39
Aug 6, 2026StifelMaintainedBuy$50 → $45
Jul 31, 2026BTIGReiteratedBuy$55
Jun 3, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$57 → $45
Jun 1, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$50 → $45

MDLN Competitive Positioning

Medline Inc. (MDLN) is tracked alongside these names in Medical Instruments & Supplies on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.