RIOT·Riot Platforms Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

64.6% 16th pct

Below its peak

-79.6%

vs 200-day average

-14.8%

Up days (1y)

48%

Riot Platforms Inc. is currently running 64.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RIOT's own 10 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 16th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 93.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

RIOT is trading -79.6% below its running peak. Across 9 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -65.1%, and the deepest was -95.0% in 2018. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -14.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 45th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year RIOT closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 12 years of records, RIOT finished the month higher 5 of 12 times, with a median return of -3.5% and an average of -1.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +25.0% on average, its weakest August at -6.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: RIOT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 756 of 2,593 sessions (29.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +16.8% and -14.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,595 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RIOT's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.