TLN|Analyst Targets
TLN|Company Info
TLN|Insider Trading
TLN|Fundamentals
TLN|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $6.99 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $9.09 | $5.65 | -37.9% |
| Q2'26 | $3.39 | $2.37 | -30.0% |
| Q4'25 | $4.33 | $4.38 | +1.2% |
| Q4'24 | $-0.20 | $0.47 | +331.1% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $1.3B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $1.3B | $1.3B | -1.2% |
| Q2'26 | $809M | $747M | -7.6% |
| Q4'25 | $660M | $749M | +13.5% |
| Q4'24 | - | $467M | - |
TLN|Monthly Returns
Market Data
TLN Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 13.76B
- Day range
- $311.00 – $330.00
- News sentiment
- 60/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $452.62 (+37.2%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 27 analysts
Talen Energy Corporation is trading in the lower half of its 52-week range with momentum still pointing lower. In Utilities, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into TLN?
At today's price, Talen Energy Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 27.1% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 8.79% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at -20.1% a year, so the market is asking for 47.2 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis TLN looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 27.1%
- Growth trend
- -20.1%
- Growth gap
- +47.2 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 8.79%
- Beta
- 1.43
Behaviour On Record
What TLN's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 65.9% 77th pct
- Below its peak
- -28.1%
- vs 200-day average
- -8.1%
- Up days (1y)
- 53%
Talen Energy Corporation is currently running 65.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TLN's own 3 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 77th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 49.1%.
TLN is trading -28.1% below its running peak. Across 3 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -33.8%, and the deepest was -36.1% in 2026. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits -8.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 9th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year TLN closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.
Overnight risk is measurable too: TLN has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 119 of 859 sessions (13.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +43.8% and -6.9%.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, TLN moved an average of 3.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -2.5% and a largest of -8.5%.
All figures computed from 860 daily closes between 2023-06-05 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TLN's own 3-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of TLN's sector?
Talen Energy Corporation sits in the Utilities sector, currently ranked 6th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #6 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 64
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect TLN to earn?
Analysts expect Talen Energy Corporation to earn $22.87 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $36.26 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 4 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TLN?
Evercore ISI Group most recently reiterated its rating on Talen Energy Corporation to Outperform on Nov 4, 2026 with a price target of $515 (from $499). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Evercore ISI Group: Outperform
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Talen Energy Corporation's latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
With nine months behind us, we are reaffirming the midpoint and are narrowing the range of our 2026 guidance.
New this quarter - 2
On October 1, 2026, Talen closed on a capacity monetization agreement to sell rights to approximately $1.5 billion in future PJM capacity cash flows for the 2027/2028 and 2028/2029 PJM capacity years and used the net proceeds of $1.3 billion to fund the ASR.
New this quarter - 3
This quarter, we increased our share repurchase program to $3.0 billion, including a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase program.
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
TLN peers & ETF holders
Utilities - Independent Power ProducersMarket cap · today
- TLNYou're here$13.8B+4.36%
- VSTVistra Corp.$38.5B+4.37%
- NRGNRG Energy, Inc.$17.5B+3.41%
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about TLN?
TLN fell 11.9% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 0 and 100 from Oct 6 to Oct 19, then dropped to 35 on Oct 21.
- Oct 6 +11.5%
- Oct 14 -8.7%
- Oct 22 -8.6%same day: HSBC Initiates Coverage On Talen Energy with Buy Rating, Announces Price Target of $444.3
Technical analysis
How strong is TLN's momentum right now?
On the daily chart TLN ranks at the 23rd percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling TLN?
88 of the 169 tracked managers added to TLN in their latest 13F and 75 trimmed. Together they own 68.8% of the company, worth $11.0B. BlackRock and Vanguard Portfolio Management alone hold 15.5%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.10.37%$1.7B positionAdded 6.5% last quarter
- $832.7M positionAdded 3.4% last quarter
- $789.1M positionAdded 0.3% last quarter
- $594.2M positionAdded 30.4% last quarter
- 5State Street Corp3.28%$530.2M positionAdded 2.7% last quarter
- $526.4M positionTrimmed 11.5% last quarter
- $366.5M positionAdded 4.8% last quarter
- $300.3M positionTrimmed 0.7% last quarter
- 9Capital World Investors1.80%$291.3M positionTrimmed 2.2% last quarter
- 10Invesco Ltd.1.40%$226.2M positionTrimmed 38.9% last quarter
Discover more
How has TLN done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, TLN returned −20.0%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 13 did better, led by RSG at +24.7%.
- 1RSGRepublic Services, Inc.up 24.7%+44.7 pts
- 2WCNWaste Connections Inc.up 22.9%+42.9 pts
- 3DDominion Energy, Inc.up 12.4%+32.4 pts
- 4TRGPTarga Resources Corp.up 8.9%+28.9 pts
- 5WMWaste Management, Inc.up 8.1%+28.1 pts
- 6DUKDuke Energy Corporationup 1.8%+21.8 pts
- 7SOThe Southern Companydown 0.6%+19.4 pts
- 8AEPAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc.down 4.3%+15.7 pts
- 14TLNThis stockdown 20.0%
- 16GEVGE Vernova Inc.down 28.8%−8.8 pts