XEL·Xcel Energy Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

18.4% 45th pct

Below its peak

-12.0%

vs 200-day average

-4.4%

Up days (1y)

50%

Xcel Energy Inc. is currently running 18.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against XEL's own 9 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 45th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 19.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

XEL is trading -12.0% below its running peak. Across 8 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -19.7%, and the deepest was -30.0% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -4.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 18th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year XEL closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 8 years of records, XEL finished the month higher 5 of 8 times, with a median return of +1.6% and an average of +1.8%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +3.4% on average, its weakest February at -2.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: XEL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 54 of 2,206 sessions (2.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.1% and -11.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,207 daily closes between 2018-01-02 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against XEL's own 9-year history, not a peer group or index.