DailyIQ
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AJG·Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$206.01
Open
$202.96
Market Cap
52.60B
52W High
$351.23
Low
$202.09
P. Close
$204.02
P/E
32.64
52W Low
$190.75
Fwd P/E
13.73
Mean Target
$265.79
Technical Score (1D)
14
SELL
News Sentiment
62
BULLISH
The insurance brokerage sector, including Arthur J. Gallagher, is experiencing tailwinds from rising insurance demand. This increased demand, coupled with ongoing mergers and acquisitions activity, presents significant growth opportunities for companies like AJG. Furthermore, the adoption of technology-driven efficiencies is enhancing operational capabilities within the sector. Investors should monitor how these trends continue to shape the competitive landscape and drive future performance for Arthur J. Gallagher.
Earnings Summary
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. is a global insurance brokerage and risk management services provider, operating through its Brokerage and Risk Management segments. Within the Financial Services sector, specifically Insurance Brokers, the company facilitates insurance and reinsurance placement, offers claims settlement, and provides risk control consulting. Founded in 1927 and headquartered in Illinois, Gallagher serves a diverse clientele including commercial, industrial, and public entities. In its recent quarterly performance, Arthur J. Gallagher has shown a mixed pattern of beating and missing analyst estimates. For Q1 FY26, the company reported actual EPS of $4.47, precisely meeting the estimate of $4.47, with revenue of $4.72 billion against an estimate of $4.78 billion. This followed a Q4 FY25 where actual EPS was $2.38, significantly missing the estimate of $4.45, with revenue at $3.59 billion against an estimate of $4.83 billion. Historically, AJG has demonstrated revenue growth, though EPS performance against estimates has varied, with notable misses in some quarters like Q4 FY25. Recent news highlights significant strategic moves, including the acquisition of Mays Brown Solicitors to bolster maritime law and risk management capabilities in London, and the launch of Gallagher Blueprint, an AI-enabled framework to enhance client risk profiles and insurance programs. Analyst sentiment shows a split, with some upgrades and maintained ratings but also adjusted price targets. Brandes Investment Partners has initiated a substantial new position, signaling strong institutional conviction. Investors will be watching the integration of recent acquisitions, the impact of new AI tools on service delivery and client outcomes, and how the company's performance compares to its peers in the insurance brokerage sector, particularly in light of recent share price weakness.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.00$2.70$3.40$4.10$4.79Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.86 - -
Q1'26$4.47$4.47-0.0%
Q4'25$4.45$2.38-46.5%
Q3'25$2.54$2.32-8.5%
Q2'25$2.34$2.33-0.6%
Q1'25$3.58$3.67+2.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.9B$3.5B$4.0B$4.5B$5.1BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$4.0B - -
Q1'26$4.8B$4.7B-1.4%
Q4'25$4.8B$3.6B-25.8%
Q3'25 - $3.3B -
Q2'25 - $3.2B -
Q1'25 - $3.7B -

Market Data

AJG Stock Snapshot

AJG is currently trading at $203.96, giving Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. a market cap of 52.60B and a P/E ratio of 32.6. Today's range spans $202.09–$206.01, with shares opening at $202.96 and moving down $0.06 (0.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 14/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 62/100.

Over the past year AJG has traded between $190.75 and $351.23 - the current price is +6.9% off the 52-week low and -41.9% from the high. 31 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $265.79 (range $211.00–$388.00), implying upside of +30.3%.

Factor models are actively underweighting AJG: large-cap, Financial Services, 52.60B market cap, 14/100 (SELL), bullish sentiment (62/100). Price: $203.96 (near 52-week lows). (P/E: 32.6) Momentum and trend-following strategies reduce exposure when scores drop below the 14/100 threshold; quality factors recalibrate; low-vol strategies find better risk-adjusted alternatives elsewhere in the sector. Annual range: $190.75–$351.23. The systematic de-risking compounds the fundamental concern.

Analyst coverage for AJG becomes a double-edged factor in a SELL phase: at 52.60B in Financial Services market cap, active coverage is high enough that downgrade risk is real and impactful. The 14/100 technical reading and bullish sentiment (62/100) at $203.96 (near 52-week lows) place the stock in the zone where one or two high-profile estimate cuts can convert a grinding decline into a sharper re-rating — the $190.75–$351.23 range establishes where that repricing lands.