DailyIQ
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Sector:Financial ServicesAll sectors
Last updated 5 minutes ago

CME·CME Group Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
Pre-Market
High
$245.00
Open
$245.00
Market Cap
88.80B
52W High
$329.16
Low
$244.75
P. Close
$242.56
P/E
20.79
52W Low
$218.31
Fwd P/E
19.07
DailyIQ Est.
$288.11
Technical Score (1D)
41
SELL
News Sentiment
74
BULLISH
CME Group’s Q1 earnings report showed revenue growth driven by higher trading volume, earnings per share exceeding analyst expectations, and fee income up due to increased market participation, indicating the exchange’s resilience amid market volatility. The guidance for next week’s earnings, forecasting higher profitability from continued volume and fee growth, could support CME’s valuation, so traders should monitor the earnings release for actual revenue and margin details. Major banks have trimmed their price targets—Piper Sandler to $295, Goldman Sachs to $243, and Barclays to $270—while maintaining overweight or sell ratings, reflecting concerns over earnings growth and competitive pressure, so watch for further analyst adjustments and the impact on CME’s consensus. CME’s launch of Treasury Link, a platform that connects Treasury futures with cash markets, and its new Agriculture Index, which provides a unified benchmark for global farm sectors, expands the exchange’s product suite and could attract new trading activity, so watch adoption rates and regulatory approvals. The introduction of GoChamp, a free trading competition that uses CME data, may boost demand for CME’s data services among retail traders, so watch data usage metrics and participation levels. CME’s interest‑rate futures now indicate a 42 % probability of a Fed rate hike this month, up from 18 % at the start of July, driven by geopolitical tensions and oil price spikes, so watch futures volumes and hedging strategies. The CFTC’s rejection of CME’s 24/7 crude oil proposal may limit liquidity for round‑the‑clock oil trading, so watch regulatory actions and CME’s product roadmap adjustments. CME’s expansion into high‑growth technology sectors with upcoming Tesla and SpaceX futures contracts could provide new hedging tools for equity positions, so watch the launch on July 27 and subsequent market uptake. Overall, the combination of stronger earnings, product launches, and evolving market expectations suggests that CME’s fee income and trading volumes are poised for growth, so traders should keep an eye on the earnings release, analyst revisions, product adoption, and macro‑driven futures activity over the next ten trading days.
Earnings Summary
CME Group, a global derivatives marketplace, offers trading and clearing services across interest rates, equity indexes, FX, commodities, and fixed‑income products, positioning it as a core infrastructure provider in financial services. In its latest reporting, Q1 2026 revenue rose to $1.880 billion versus an estimate of $1.778 billion, and EPS of $3.36 beat the $3.118 estimate, while Q2 2026 revenue of $1.729 billion matched the $1.729 billion estimate; EPS remains unreported, but the prior Q4 2025 EPS of $2.77 missed the $2.770 estimate and revenue of $1.649 billion fell short of the $1.666 billion estimate, indicating a mixed earnings trend. Historically, CME has delivered EPS beats in five of the last six quarters, with revenue growth accelerating from $1.525 billion in Q4 2024 to $1.642 billion in Q1 2025 and $1.692 billion in Q2 2025, then a slight dip to $1.538 billion in Q3 2025 before rebounding to $1.649 billion in Q4 2025; YoY revenue increased by 16% in Q1 2026 and 2% in Q2 2026, while EPS rose from $2.52 in Q4 2024 to $3.36 in Q1 2026. Recent news highlights a Q1 earnings release that beat consensus and a launch of Treasury Link and an Agriculture Index, signaling a push to deepen cross‑asset liquidity and data services; analysts have mixed views on price targets, with some upward revisions and others trimming due to competitive pressure. Investors should watch for guidance revisions in the upcoming Q2 2026 earnings, particularly fee‑growth expectations, regulatory updates that could affect clearing volumes, and the adoption rate of Treasury Link and the Agriculture Index, as these factors will shape CME’s near‑term profitability and market share.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.52$2.76$2.99$3.23$3.47Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.91 - -
Q1'26$3.12$3.36+7.8%
Q4'25$2.77$2.77-0.0%
Q3'25$2.63$2.68+2.0%
Q2'25$2.94$2.96+0.6%
Q1'25$2.81$2.80-0.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.5B$1.6B$1.7B$1.8B$1.9BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$1.7B - -
Q1'26$1.8B$1.9B+5.8%
Q4'25$1.7B$1.6B-1.1%
Q3'25 - $1.5B -
Q2'25 - $1.7B -
Q1'25 - $1.6B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

CME Stock Snapshot

CME is currently trading at $244.75, giving CME Group Inc. a market cap of 88.80B and a P/E ratio of 20.8. Today's range spans $244.75–$245.00, with shares opening at $245.00 and moving up $2.19 (0.9%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 41/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 74/100.

Over the past year CME has traded between $218.31 and $329.16 - the current price is +12.1% off the 52-week low and -25.6% from the high. 22 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $285.47 (range $226.00–$329.00), implying upside of +16.6%.

Neither bulls nor bears have the upper hand on CME Group Inc. (CME) right now. Score: 41/100 (HOLD). Sentiment: bullish (74/100). Price: $244.75 (in the lower half of its 52-week range). (P/E: 20.8) At 88.80B in Financial Services market cap, the 52-week range of $218.31–$329.16 is the relevant frame - where the stock sits within that range, and whether volume confirms any directional move, matters more than the HOLD label alone.

Portfolio construction in Financial Services often uses large-cap names like CME as tactical swing positions during neutral phases: cheap enough to overweight, liquid enough to exit quickly, and large enough to provide meaningful sector beta. The current 41/100 (HOLD) at $244.75 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) and bullish sentiment (74/100) frame the position as a catalyst play within the $218.31–$329.16 annual range rather than a directional bet.