BLDR|Analyst Targets
BLDR|Company Info
BLDR|Insider Trading
BLDR|Fundamentals
BLDR|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $0.55 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $1.06 | $1.51 | +41.8% |
| Q2'26 | $1.26 | $1.17 | -7.4% |
| Q1'26 | $0.37 | $0.27 | -27.6% |
| Q4'25 | $0.89 | $1.12 | +25.3% |
| Q3'25 | $1.72 | $1.88 | +9.1% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $3.5B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $3.8B | $3.9B | +0.2% |
| Q2'26 | $4.0B | $3.9B | -3.4% |
| Q1'26 | $3.2B | $3.3B | +3.6% |
| Q4'25 | $3.4B | $3.4B | -0.3% |
| Q3'25 | - | $3.9B | - |
BLDR|Monthly Returns
Market Data
BLDR Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 7.48B
- P/E ratio
- 184.3
- Day range
- $63.27 – $64.23
- News sentiment
- 70/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $67.45 (+6.6%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 33 analysts
The signals on BLDR lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Expect wider swings than the Industrials average, simply as a function of float and coverage.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into BLDR?
At today's price, Builders FirstSource, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -11.4% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 7.31% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at -8.3% a year, so the market is asking for 3.1 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis BLDR looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- -11.4%
- Growth trend
- -8.3%
- Growth gap
- -3.1 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 7.31%
- Beta
- 1.08
Behaviour On Record
What BLDR's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 72.5% 95th pct
- Below its peak
- -67.1%
- vs 200-day average
- -12.8%
- Up days (1y)
- 41%
Builders FirstSource, Inc. is currently running 72.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against BLDR's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 95th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 41.4%.
BLDR is trading -67.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -41.4%, and the deepest was -62.1% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -12.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 21st percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year BLDR closed higher on 41% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 12 years of records, BLDR finished the month higher 9 of 12 times, with a median return of +6.6% and an average of +7.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +7.4% on average, its weakest September at -4.2%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: BLDR has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 270 of 3,095 sessions (8.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.9% and -38.4%.
Across the last 4 dated reports on file, BLDR moved an average of 2.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 4 times, with a median move of -0.6% and a largest of -4.5%.
All figures computed from 3,097 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against BLDR's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of BLDR's sector?
Builders FirstSource, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #8 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 27
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect BLDR to earn?
Analysts expect Builders FirstSource, Inc. to earn $3.65 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $3.91 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 4 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on BLDR?
Stifel most recently reiterated its rating on Builders FirstSource, Inc. to Hold on Nov 2, 2026 with a price target of $58 (from $55). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 3 downgrades, a net bearish lean.
- Latest action
- Stifel: Hold
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 3
- Net rating momentum
- -3
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Builders FirstSource, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
With approximately 575 locations across 43 states, we serve 48 of the top 50 and 91 of the top 100 Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs), ensuring broad geographic coverage and enhancing our ability to partner with our customers.
New this quarter - 2
Single Family declined 6.2%, Multi-Family increased 2.0%, and Repair and Remodel (“R&R”)/Other increased 0.3%.
- 3
SG&A was $973.2 million, an increase of $2.5 million, or 0.3%, primarily driven by additional expenses from operations acquired within the last twelve months and higher fuel and insurance expenses, partially offset by lower variable compensation as a result of decreased net sales and lower wages as a result of cost saving actions.
Peers & ETF holders
BLDR peers & ETF holders
Building Products & EquipmentMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about BLDR?
BLDR rose 11.8% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 9 and 68 from Oct 7 to Oct 14, then dropped to 29 on Oct 16.
- Oct 15 +8.0%
- Oct 29 +11.4%same day: Is Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Undervalued As Q3 Earnings Approach?
- Nov 4 +9.3%
Technical analysis
How strong is BLDR's momentum right now?
On the daily chart BLDR ranks at the 4th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling BLDR?
65 of the 194 tracked managers added to BLDR in their latest 13F and 125 trimmed. Together they own 67.8% of the company, worth $6.9B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 12.4%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.6.63%$700.9M positionTrimmed 10.6% last quarter
- $613.4M positionTrimmed 2.5% last quarter
- 3State Street Corp4.09%$433.1M positionTrimmed 5.5% last quarter
- $251.7M positionAdded 16.1% last quarter
- $372.4M positionTrimmed 3.6% last quarter
- $349.6M positionAdded 32.8% last quarter
- $310.1M positionTrimmed 5.8% last quarter
- 8Invesco Ltd.2.83%$299.4M positionAdded 28.5% last quarter
- $253.2M positionTrimmed 1.7% last quarter
- 10Dimensional Fund Advisors LP2.35%$158.2M positionTrimmed 19.3% last quarter
Discover more
How has BLDR done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, BLDR returned −21.2%. Of the 12 related stocks, 9 did better, led by MHK at +44.5%.
- 1MHKMohawk Industries, Inc.up 44.5%+65.7 pts
- 2JJacobs Solutions Inc.up 16.5%+37.7 pts
- 3MASMasco Corporationup 15.0%+36.1 pts
- 4HDThe Home Depot, Inc.up 6.5%+27.6 pts
- 5LOWLowe's Companies, Inc.down 3.4%+17.8 pts
- 6VMCVulcan Materials Companydown 3.5%+17.7 pts
- 7JCIJohnson Controls International plcdown 6.5%+14.6 pts
- 8MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc.down 14.2%+6.9 pts
- 10BLDRThis stockdown 21.2%
- 13STRLSterling Infrastructure Inc.down 70.2%−49.1 pts