DailyIQ
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Last updated 2 minutes ago

BLDR·Builders FirstSource, Inc.

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$72.92
Open
$71.75
Market Cap
7.84B
52W High
$151.03
Low
$69.79
P. Close
$72.70
P/E
26.91
52W Low
$65.10
Fwd P/E
60.07
DailyIQ Est.
$100.78
Technical Score (1D)
14
SELL
News Sentiment
44
BEARISH
BLDR’s latest earnings guidance for Q3 2026 shows a 45.8 % YoY decline in EPS to $1.29 and a 7.22 % drop in revenue to $3.93 billion, signaling weaker profitability. The company’s shares fell 5 % on the day, outpacing the S&P 500’s 1 % loss, reflecting market concern over the forecasted earnings miss. The upcoming earnings announcement on July 30 will confirm whether the guidance is accurate and whether management plans to address margin pressure. If the earnings report confirms the forecasted decline, traders may see further short‑term volatility as investors reassess BLDR’s valuation range. KeyBanc’s recent price‑target cut to $91 from $100, while maintaining an overweight rating, underscores a more cautious view of BLDR’s earnings outlook amid rising construction costs. The downgrade signals that analysts expect continued margin pressure, which could dampen investor enthusiasm in the next trading week. The company’s addition to the Russell 2500 and Value Indexes may bring passive inflows, but the underlying revenue and profitability headwinds remain a concern for index‑tracking funds. Traders should monitor the July 30 earnings call for any surprise in profitability, revenue, or guidance on cost management and margin recovery. Additionally, watch for any updates on new construction contracts or macro‑economic factors that could influence demand for building materials in the near term.
Earnings Summary
Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) is a leading U.S. supplier of building materials and construction services, offering engineered wood components, windows, doors, and software solutions to professional homebuilders and contractors. Operating within the building products and equipment sector, the company has positioned itself to benefit from ongoing residential and commercial construction demand. In the most recent two quarters, BLDR reported Q1 2026 revenue of $3.287 billion and EPS of $0.27, a decline from the $3.357 billion and $1.12 EPS reported in Q4 2025; however, Q2 2026 revenue rose to $3.998 billion, indicating a rebound in top‑line activity, while EPS for the quarter remains pending. Across the last seven reporting periods, BLDR has consistently beat earnings estimates in five instances, with Q4 2024, Q1 2025, Q2 2025, Q3 2025, and Q4 2025 all exceeding forecasts, but the company missed guidance in Q1 2026 and has yet to report Q2 2026 EPS. Historically, BLDR’s revenue has fluctuated, with a peak in Q2 2025 and a trough in Q4 2025, while EPS has shown a downward trend from $2.31 in Q4 2024 to $0.27 in Q1 2026, underscoring mounting margin pressure. Recent news highlights a Q3 2026 earnings guidance that projects a 45.8 % YoY decline in EPS to $1.29 and a 7.22 % revenue drop to $3.93 billion, prompting a 5 % share decline and a KeyBanc target cut; the company’s addition to the Russell 2500 may bring passive inflows but does not offset the headwinds. Investors should watch the July 30 earnings call for any surprise in profitability, revenue, or guidance on cost management and margin recovery, and monitor updates on new construction contracts or macro‑economic factors that could influence demand for building materials in the near term.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.05$0.64$1.32$2.01$2.70Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$1.27 - -
Q1'26$0.37$0.27-27.6%
Q4'25$0.89$1.12+25.3%
Q3'25$1.72$1.88+9.1%
Q2'25$2.34$2.38+1.6%
Q1'25$1.42$1.51+6.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.0B$3.4B$3.7B$4.0B$4.4BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$4.0B - -
Q1'26$3.2B$3.3B+3.6%
Q4'25$3.4B$3.4B-0.3%
Q3'25 - $3.9B -
Q2'25 - $4.2B -
Q1'25 - $3.7B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

BLDR Stock Snapshot

BLDR is currently trading at $69.88, giving Builders FirstSource, Inc. a market cap of 7.84B and a P/E ratio of 26.9. Today's range spans $69.79–$72.92, with shares opening at $71.75 and moving down $2.82 (3.9%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 14/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 44/100.

Over the past year BLDR has traded between $65.10 and $151.03 - the current price is +7.3% off the 52-week low and -53.7% from the high. 33 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $98.19 (range $70.00–$133.00), implying upside of +40.5%.

The data doesn't make a strong case for BLDR right now: 14/100 technical score (SELL), neutral sentiment (44/100), price $69.88 (near 52-week lows). The current P/E ratio stands at 26.9. For a small-cap with 7.84B in Industrials market cap, this kind of setup often leads to rangebound or drifting price action - the kind of environment where holding the stock has opportunity cost and the exit is easier said than done in thin markets. Annual range: $65.10–$151.03.

Small-cap Industrials names with SELL technicals (14/100) and neutral sentiment (44/100) like BLDR tend to experience sentiment-driven re-ratings more sharply in both directions. At $69.88 (near 52-week lows in $65.10–$151.03), the current setup suggests a stock that needs a material positive catalyst — not incremental improvement — to reverse the technical and sentiment readings that now define the 7.84B market cap trajectory.