DailyIQ
DailyIQ
Last updatedUpdating…

BLDR·Builders FirstSource, Inc.

$65.50
-4.00 (-5.76%)
Pre-Market
High
$64.23
Open
$63.27
Market Cap
7.48B
52W High
$131.50
Low
$63.27
P. Close
$65.50
P/E
184.32
52W Low
$49.66
Fwd P/E
27.69
DailyIQ Est.
$68.14
Inst. Own.
67.8%
Short Interest
8.41%
Days to Cover
3.9
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Oct 29, 2026tone +14.1 vs prior release · 128 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
4
BEARISH
News Sentiment
70
BULLISH
On Nov 3, Builders FirstSource completed aggressive share buybacks that cut its outstanding shares by half since 2021, a move that management said would increase earnings per share potential as market volumes recover. The company’s strategy positions it favorably for a rebound in the housing sector, according to the report. Analysts recommended a buy rating for BLDR amid expectations that housing market stabilization would support the company’s prospects. The buyback program was described as a signal of management confidence in the company’s long‑term value. The announcement was reported to support share price momentum once demand stabilizes.
LOW TARGET
$50 -20.4%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$67 +7.3%
23 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$82 +30.5%
8 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$50.00 - $82.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
3/11/17/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$68.14 (+8.4%)
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Building Products & Equipment
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Website
Symbol
BLDR
Description
Builders FirstSource, Inc. is a leading supplier of building materials and construction services, primarily serving professional homebuilders and contractors across the United States. The company's core business involves the manufacturing and distribution of a wide array of products, including engineered wood components like trusses and wall panels under the Ready-Frame brand, as well as windows, doors, and millwork. Beyond product sales, Builders FirstSource offers crucial services such as design assistance, installation, and turn-key framing solutions, providing a comprehensive offering for construction projects. Their product portfolio also encompasses lumber, specialty building materials, and software solutions designed to streamline construction processes for their diverse clientele, which includes production builders, remodelers, and multi-family contractors. Incorporated in 1998 and headquartered in Irving, Texas, Builders FirstSource is strategically positioned to capitalize on the ongoing demand within the residential and commercial construction sectors.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
2,842 shares
$221K
Hiller MichaelCOO-Designate
Award/Grant12,808 shares2026-10-18
Boydston Cory Jacobs-
Award/Grant470 shares2026-09-10
CHRISTOPHE CLEVELAND A-
Award/Grant564 shares2026-09-10
Hayes William B-
Award/Grant583 shares2026-09-10
LEVY PAUL S-
Award/Grant1,204 shares2026-09-10
56/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✕Revenue declining year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
30.4%
Net Margin
2.9%
Revenue CAGR
21.5%
Current Ratio
1.86x
Debt / Equity
1.02x
Return on Equity
10.0%
Earnings Summary
In the most recent quarters, Q3 2026 revenue of $3.854 billion fell 2% from Q3 2025, while EPS rose to $1.51 from $1.88, reflecting a modest earnings rebound despite a revenue dip. Q4 2026 guidance shows revenue of $3.494 billion, slightly below Q4 2025’s $3.357 billion, and EPS guidance of $0.55, indicating a potential slowdown in profitability. Across the last four quarters, the company has consistently beat EPS estimates in three of the four periods, with Q1 2025, Q2 2025, and Q3 2026 all exceeding consensus. Historically, Builders FirstSource has maintained a YoY revenue growth trajectory of roughly 5–7% over the past three years, while EPS growth has been more volatile, with notable misses in Q1 2026 and Q2 2026. The pattern of revenue growth coupled with thin margins is evident, as recent news highlights a 0.3% net profit margin and a 260‑basis‑point compression in gross margin in Q3 2026, underscoring cost pressures. Key will be the execution of cost‑control initiatives and the recovery of single‑family sales, which have declined 6% year‑over‑year.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.03$0.55$1.07$1.60$2.12Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$0.55 - -
Q3'26$1.06$1.51+41.8%
Q2'26$1.26$1.17-7.4%
Q1'26$0.37$0.27-27.6%
Q4'25$0.89$1.12+25.3%
Q3'25$1.72$1.88+9.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.0B$3.3B$3.6B$3.9B$4.1BQ3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$3.5B - -
Q3'26$3.8B$3.9B+0.2%
Q2'26$4.0B$3.9B-3.4%
Q1'26$3.2B$3.3B+3.6%
Q4'25$3.4B$3.4B-0.3%
Q3'25 - $3.9B -

Market Data

BLDR Stock Snapshot

BEARISH4/100
$63.27−$0.95 (1.5%)
Market cap
7.48B
P/E ratio
184.3
Day range
$63.27 – $64.23
News sentiment
70/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$67.45 (+6.6%)
Consensus
Hold · 33 analysts
52-week range+27.4% off low · -51.9% from high
$49.66$131.50
Price $63.27 DailyIQ Est. $68.14

The signals on BLDR lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Expect wider swings than the Industrials average, simply as a function of float and coverage.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into BLDR?

CHEAP

At today's price, Builders FirstSource, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -11.4% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 7.31% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at -8.3% a year, so the market is asking for 3.1 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis BLDR looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
-11.4%
Growth trend
-8.3%
Growth gap
-3.1 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
7.31%
Beta
1.08

Behaviour On Record

What BLDR's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
72.5% 95th pct
Below its peak
-67.1%
vs 200-day average
-12.8%
Up days (1y)
41%

Builders FirstSource, Inc. is currently running 72.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against BLDR's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 95th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 41.4%.

BLDR is trading -67.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -41.4%, and the deepest was -62.1% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began, and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -12.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 21st percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year BLDR closed higher on 41% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On November specifically: over 12 years of records, BLDR finished the month higher 9 of 12 times, with a median return of +6.6% and an average of +7.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +7.4% on average, its weakest September at -4.2%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: BLDR has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 270 of 3,095 sessions (8.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.9% and -38.4%.

Across the last 4 dated reports on file, BLDR moved an average of 2.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 4 times, with a median move of -0.6% and a largest of -4.5%.

All figures computed from 3,097 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against BLDR's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of BLDR's sector?

Builders FirstSource, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#8 of 12
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
27

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for BLDR?

CallsPuts

For Builders FirstSource, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-20, 14 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.38), with at-the-money implied volatility around 6.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±1.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $62.07–$63.61.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-20)
0.38
ATM implied volatility
6.3%
Total open interest
10,687
Expected move by 2026-11-20
±1.2% ($62.07–$63.61)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect BLDR to earn?

Analysts expect Builders FirstSource, Inc. to earn $3.65 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $3.91 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 4 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$0.58$0.17 to $0.9720$3.37B23
Mar 2027$0.17-$0.02 to $0.5417$3.22B15
Jun 2027$1.16$0.96 to $1.315--
Sep 2027$1.11$0.72 to $1.485--
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$3.65$3.13 to $4.1017$14.38B23
Dec 2027$2.55$1.28 to $4.4321$14.15B24
Dec 2028$3.91$3.25 to $5.084~$17.45B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on BLDR?

Stifel most recently reiterated its rating on Builders FirstSource, Inc. to Hold on Nov 2, 2026 with a price target of $58 (from $55). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 3 downgrades, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
Stifel: Hold
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
3
Net rating momentum
-3
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Nov 2, 2026StifelMaintainedHold$55 → $58
Oct 31, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$88 → $75
Oct 30, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$55 → $58
Oct 30, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$70 → $75
Oct 30, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$62 → $56
Oct 30, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$81 → $70
Oct 30, 2026StoneXMaintainedBuy$85 → $75
Oct 30, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$91 → $80
Oct 26, 2026Loop CapitalDowngradeBuy → Hold$62
Oct 26, 2026StifelMaintainedHold$65 → $55
Oct 22, 2026William BlairDowngradeOutperform → Market Perform-
Oct 16, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$90 → $78

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Builders FirstSource, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Oct 29, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone48.1/ 100+14.1 vs prior release
Hedging words1.16per 100 words-0.05 vs prior release
Tone, last 3 releasesScale 28–54

Most important lines

  1. 1

    With approximately 575 locations across 43 states, we serve 48 of the top 50 and 91 of the top 100 Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs), ensuring broad geographic coverage and enhancing our ability to partner with our customers.

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    Single Family declined 6.2%, Multi-Family increased 2.0%, and Repair and Remodel (“R&R”)/Other increased 0.3%.

  3. 3

    SG&A was $973.2 million, an increase of $2.5 million, or 0.3%, primarily driven by additional expenses from operations acquired within the last twelve months and higher fuel and insurance expenses, partially offset by lower variable compensation as a result of decreased net sales and lower wages as a result of cost saving actions.

Peers & ETF holders

BLDR peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about BLDR?

BLDR rose 11.8% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 9 and 68 from Oct 7 to Oct 14, then dropped to 29 on Oct 16.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$50$60$70Oct 6Oct 7: tone 9Oct 8: tone 68Oct 9: tone 31Oct 12Oct 13: tone 41Oct 14: tone 65Oct 15Oct 16: tone 29Oct 19Oct 20: tone 0Oct 21: tone 31Oct 22: tone 22Oct 23: tone 23Oct 26: tone 38Oct 27Oct 28: tone 53Oct 29: tone 51Oct 30: tone 39Nov 2: tone 74Nov 3: tone 70Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 15 +8.0%
  2. Oct 29 +11.4%same day: Is Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Undervalued As Q3 Earnings Approach?
  3. Nov 4 +9.3%

Technical analysis

How strong is BLDR's momentum right now?

On the daily chart BLDR ranks at the 4th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling BLDR?

65 of the 194 tracked managers added to BLDR in their latest 13F and 125 trimmed. Together they own 67.8% of the company, worth $6.9B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 12.4%.

65adding125trimming4unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of BLDR
  1. $700.9M positionTrimmed 10.6% last quarter
  2. $613.4M positionTrimmed 2.5% last quarter
  3. $433.1M positionTrimmed 5.5% last quarter
  4. $251.7M positionAdded 16.1% last quarter
  5. $372.4M positionTrimmed 3.6% last quarter
  6. $349.6M positionAdded 32.8% last quarter
  7. $310.1M positionTrimmed 5.8% last quarter
  8. $299.4M positionAdded 28.5% last quarter
  9. $253.2M positionTrimmed 1.7% last quarter
  10. $158.2M positionTrimmed 19.3% last quarter
Full holdings history

Discover more

How has BLDR done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, BLDR returned −21.2%. Of the 12 related stocks, 9 did better, led by MHK at +44.5%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−100%−50%0%+50%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6MHK +44.5%BLDR −21.2%STRL −70.2%