Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) Stock Price, News, Analysis

Technical Score (1D)

SELL

News Sentiment

BEARISH

Builders FirstSource’s latest earnings outlook now projects a 38.3 % YoY decline in quarterly EPS to $1.16 and a 3.6 % drop in revenue to $3.8 billion, a sharp contraction that will likely dampen short‑term investor sentiment. The consensus full‑year guidance also shows a 53.7 % earnings fall and a 5.7 % revenue decline, underscoring a sustained downturn in profitability that could weigh on the company’s valuation over the next ten trading days. This negative revision comes as the stock slipped 3.3 % to $57.68, lagging the broader market and reflecting the market’s reaction to the weaker outlook. The downgrade signals that cost pressures and a slowing construction pipeline are expected to continue, which may limit the company’s ability to generate margin expansion in the near term. Traders should watch the upcoming earnings release for confirmation of these revisions and any management commentary on cost‑control initiatives or pipeline health. In addition, the broader industrials sector has been underperforming, and BLDR’s relative weakness could be amplified if construction demand remains subdued. Monitoring sector rotation trends and any shifts in construction spending will help gauge whether BLDR can recover its valuation relative to peers. Finally, keep an eye on supply‑chain disruptions that could further pressure margins, as the company’s integrated manufacturing and distribution network has not yet offset the negative sentiment.

BLDR|Analyst Targets

LOW TARGET

$61 +4.8%

2 analysts

MEAN TARGET

$81 +38.5%

22 analysts

HIGH TARGET

$100 +71.8%

10 analysts

PRICE RANGE

$61.00 - $100.00

SB / B / H / S / SS

4/13/15/1/1

DAILYIQ EST.

$82.11 (+41.1%)

BLDR|Company Info

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Building Products & Equipment

Exchange

NYQ

Country

United States

Website

bldr.com

Symbol

BLDR

Description

Builders FirstSource, Inc. is a leading supplier of building materials and construction services, primarily serving professional homebuilders and contractors across the United States. The company's core business involves the manufacturing and distribution of a wide array of products, including engineered wood components like trusses and wall panels under the Ready-Frame brand, as well as windows, doors, and millwork. Beyond product sales, Builders FirstSource offers crucial services such as design assistance, installation, and turn-key framing solutions, providing a comprehensive offering for construction projects. Their product portfolio also encompasses lumber, specialty building materials, and software solutions designed to streamline construction processes for their diverse clientele, which includes production builders, remodelers, and multi-family contractors. Incorporated in 1998 and headquartered in Irving, Texas, Builders FirstSource is strategically positioned to capitalize on the ongoing demand within the residential and commercial construction sectors.

BLDR|Insider Trading

Bought (1Y)

0 shares

Sold (1Y)

2,842 shares

$221K

Boydston Cory Jacobs-

Award/Grant470 shares2026-09-10

CHRISTOPHE CLEVELAND A-

Award/Grant564 shares2026-09-10

Hayes William B-

Award/Grant583 shares2026-09-10

LEVY PAUL S-

Award/Grant1,204 shares2026-09-10

Renz Maria-

Award/Grant489 shares2026-09-10

BLDR|Fundamentals

Neutral / mixed

Verdict: Neutral

✕Revenue declining year over year

✓Positive net margin

✓Positive operating cash flow

Gross Margin

30.4%

Net Margin

2.9%

Revenue CAGR

21.5%

Current Ratio

1.86x

Debt / Equity

1.02x

Return on Equity

10.0%

BLDR|Earnings Snapshot

Earnings Summary

Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) is a leading supplier of building materials and construction services, offering engineered wood components, windows, doors, and millwork under the Ready‑Frame brand, along with design, installation, and turn‑key framing solutions for professional homebuilders and contractors across the United States. The company operates within the broader Industrials sector, specifically the Building Products & Equipment industry, and benefits from ongoing demand in residential and commercial construction. In the most recent quarters, BLDR reported Q4 2025 revenue of $3.3579 billion, slightly below the $3.3683 billion estimate, and EPS of $1.12 versus an estimate of $0.89, marking a modest beat. The following Q1 2026 revenue rose to $3.2871 billion against an estimate of $3.1736 billion, while EPS fell to $0.27 from an estimate of $0.37, indicating a decline in profitability. Compared to the prior two quarters (Q2 2025 and Q3 2025), revenue grew from $4.2341 billion to $3.9412 billion, a 7.2% decline, and EPS moved from $2.38 to $1.88, a 21% drop, reflecting a deceleration in both top‑line and bottom‑line performance. Historically, BLDR has shown a YoY revenue decline in the most recent quarters, with Q4 2025 revenue down 3.6% YoY and Q1 2026 down 3.2% YoY, while EPS has consistently beaten estimates in the last four quarters, though the margin has narrowed. The company’s earnings narrative has been punctuated by recent news: a sharp 8.8% decline in net sales and a 16.3% drop in gross profit in Q2 2025, driven by commodity deflation and a higher tax expense from an IRS R&D settlement, which has pressured profitability and raised concerns about a persistent downturn in the residential construction cycle. Investors should watch for any guidance on revenue growth or cost control in the upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release, as well as any signs of commodity price stabilization or absorption of the IRS settlement costs, which could mitigate the current earnings squeeze and influence the company’s cash generation profile.

Read full report

EPS

EstBeatMiss

Qtr	Est	Actual	+/−
Q3'26	$1.09	-	-
Q2'26	$1.29	$1.17	-9.6%
Q1'26	$0.37	$0.27	-27.6%
Q4'25	$0.89	$1.12	+25.3%
Q3'25	$1.72	$1.88	+9.1%
Q2'25	$2.34	$2.38	+1.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss

Qtr	Est	Actual	+/−
Q3'26	$3.9B	-	-
Q2'26	$4.0B	$3.9B	-3.4%
Q1'26	$3.2B	$3.3B	+3.6%
Q4'25	$3.4B	$3.4B	-0.3%
Q3'25	-	$3.9B	-
Q2'25	-	$4.2B	-

Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context

→

BLDR|Monthly Returns

Market Data

BLDR Stock Snapshot

SELL9/100

$58.20+$0.07 (0.1%)

Market cap: 6.20B
P/E ratio: 60.5
Day range: $56.56 – $58.91
News sentiment: 26/100 · Bearish
Analyst target: $80.62 (+38.5%)
Consensus: Hold · 34 analysts

52-week range+2.9% off low · -55.7% from high

$56.56$131.50

Price $58.20 DailyIQ Est. $82.11

The signals on BLDR lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Expect wider swings than the Industrials average, simply as a function of float and coverage.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into BLDR?

CHEAP

At today's price, Builders FirstSource, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about -8.5% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.54% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 58.1% a year, so the market is asking for 66.6 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis BLDR looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth: -8.5%
Historical FCF CAGR: 58.1%
Growth gap: -66.6 pts
Verdict: CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC): 7.54%
Beta: 1.07

Behaviour On Record

What BLDR's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d): 33.7% 26th pct
Below its peak: -72.5%
vs 200-day average: -34.3%
Up days (1y): 40%

Builders FirstSource, Inc. is currently running 33.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against BLDR's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 26th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 41.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

BLDR is trading -72.5% below its running peak. Across 11 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -41.1%, and the deepest was -62.1% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -34.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 1st percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year BLDR closed higher on 40% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 12 years of records, BLDR finished the month higher 4 of 12 times, with a median return of -4.8% and an average of -4.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +7.2% on average, its weakest September at -4.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: BLDR has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 268 of 3,095 sessions (8.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.9% and -38.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, BLDR moved an average of 2.1% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.4% and a largest of -4.5%.

All figures computed from 3,097 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against BLDR's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of BLDR's sector?

Builders FirstSource, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank: #11 of 11
Sector state: Improving
Sector rotation score: 30

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for BLDR?

CallsPuts

For Builders FirstSource, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 26 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 4.65), with at-the-money implied volatility around 54.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±14.6% move by that expiry — a range of about $53.03–$71.11.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16): 4.65
ATM implied volatility: 54.8%
Total open interest: 3,413
Expected move by 2026-10-16: ±14.6% ($53.03–$71.11)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on BLDR?

Wells Fargo most recently reiterated its rating on Builders FirstSource, Inc. to Equal-Weight on Sep 11, 2026 with a price target of $63 (from $65). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action: Wells Fargo — Equal-Weight
90-day upgrades: 0
90-day downgrades: 0
Net rating momentum: 0

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Price target
Sep 11, 2026	Wells Fargo	Maintained	Equal-Weight	$65 → $63
Aug 21, 2026	Citizens	Initiated	Market Perform	-
Jul 31, 2026	UBS	Maintained	Buy	$122 → $88
Jul 31, 2026	RBC Capital	Maintained	Outperform	$107 → $88
Jul 31, 2026	Oppenheimer	Maintained	Outperform	$110 → $90
Jul 31, 2026	Wells Fargo	Maintained	Equal-Weight	$85 → $65
Jul 31, 2026	Truist Securities	Maintained	Buy	$115 → $90
Jul 31, 2026	Barclays	Maintained	Overweight	$93 → $81
Jul 28, 2026	BMO Capital	Maintained	Market Perform	$93 → $85
Jul 23, 2026	Benchmark	Maintained	Buy	$105 → $100
Jul 23, 2026	Oppenheimer	Maintained	Outperform	$121 → $110
Jul 23, 2026	Stifel	Maintained	Hold	$76 → $70

BLDR Competitive Positioning

Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) is tracked alongside these names in Building Products & Equipment on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

BLDRyou're hereBuilders FirstSource, Inc.$6.2B+0.12%
TTTrane Technologies plc$93.1B+2.74%
JCIJohnson Controls International plc$85.4B+0.03%
CARRCarrier Global Corporation$45.8B+0.13%
MASMasco Corporation$13.4B-0.01%

Held by These ETFs

BLDR is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

26/100

Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive

BEARISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles

What did this article say?

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) ended the session down 3.3%, trailing the broader market. Analysts project a 38.3% decline in quarterly EPS to $1.16 and a 3.6% drop in quarterly revenue to $3.8 billion, signaling weaker profitability. The full‑year consensus now expects earnings of $3.19 per share and revenue of $14.32 billion, a 53.7% and 5.7% decline from last year, respectively. Investors should watch the upcoming earnings release for confirmation of these downward revisions and any guidance updates.

What did this article say?

Over the past year, Builders FirstSource (BLDR) has lagged the broader industrials sector, reflecting weaker relative performance. Despite this, analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic view of the company’s prospects, suggesting potential for recovery as market conditions improve. Traders should monitor sector rotation trends and any shifts in construction demand that could influence BLDR’s valuation relative to peers.

What did this article say?

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) reported flat sales amid end‑market pressures, while free cash flow margins narrowed and capital intensity climbed. The combination signals a potential erosion of the company’s prior profitability model and raises doubts about its long‑term growth narrative. Management’s focus on cost control and digital adoption is highlighted as a short‑term catalyst to mitigate the headwinds.

What did this article say?

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) fell 17.1% in the month, setting a new 52‑week low that signals potential structural weakness. The decline reflects ongoing challenges in the construction materials market, including rising input costs and slower demand from the housing sector. Analysts note that the drop may prompt a reassessment of BLDR’s growth prospects and capital allocation strategy. Investors should watch for any management commentary on cost‑control initiatives and the company’s guidance for the next quarter.

What did this article say?

Jim Cramer publicly rejected BLDR during a recent broadcast, labeling it a poor investment compared to other tech names. He cited the company’s recent 58% share decline and weak earnings as reasons for the dismissal. The commentary focuses on cash generation metrics, suggesting BLDR’s data‑center buildout story does not align with Cramer’s investment philosophy. While the statement may influence sentiment, it does not represent a fundamental change in the company’s outlook or financials.

What did this article say?

Builders FirstSource reported a sharp 8.8% decline in net sales to $3.86 billion for Q2, while gross profit fell 16.3% to $1.1 billion and margins slipped 260 basis points to 28.1%. Core organic sales dropped 7.0%, compounded by commodity deflation, pushing the company into a $3.9 million net loss ($0.04 per share). The earnings miss reflects the broader cyclical weakness in downstream building‑product distribution, aligning with analyst caution and Cramer’s negative stance.

What did this article say?

D1 Capital Partners added 1.6 million shares of Builders FirstSource (BLDR) to its Q2 portfolio, valuing the position at roughly $147 million. The move comes as BLDR has fallen about 38 % year‑to‑date, prompting analysts to view the stock as a possible buy‑the‑dip play. The article notes that construction activity has slowed sharply, but industry analysts believe the housing downturn may be nearing a bottom, potentially supporting a rebound. No new earnings guidance or material catalysts are disclosed, so the upside is limited to a potential recovery in construction demand.

What did this article say?

Wells Fargo trimmed its price target for Builders FirstSource (BLDR) from $65 to $63 while keeping an equal‑weight rating. The downgrade reflects a modest reassessment of the company’s valuation, suggesting a slight headwind for the stock. The change is likely to influence short‑term sentiment but does not signal a fundamental shift in BLDR’s business prospects.

What did this article say?

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) closed 3.94% lower at $58.97, falling behind the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. The company’s shares have dropped 15.22% over the past month, outpacing the broader Retail‑Wholesale sector. Analysts expect next quarter earnings of $1.14, a 39.36% year‑over‑year decline, and revenue of $3.8 billion, down 3.62% YoY. Investors will watch the upcoming earnings release for confirmation of these weak figures and any guidance revisions.

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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership

25 tracked managers · $4.35B combined position · 5 adding, 14 trimming, 6 unchanged (latest 13F filings)

Manager	Trend	Shares Held	% of Co.	Position Value	Filed
Vanguard Group Inc	▼ Sell	12,377,575	11.62%	$1.27B	2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.	▼ Sell	7,833,417	7.35%	$700.93M	2026-08-07
Wellington Management Group LLP	▼ Sell	3,465,251	3.25%	$310.07M	2026-08-14
Invesco Ltd.	▲ Buy	3,346,367	3.14%	$299.43M	2026-08-14
Geode Capital Management, LLC	▼ Sell	2,834,402	2.66%	$253.16M	2026-08-12
Baillie Gifford & Co	▼ Sell	1,469,801	1.38%	$178.21M	2025-10-31
D1 Capital Partners L.P.	• Hold	1,639,222	1.54%	$146.68M	2026-08-14
Morgan Stanley	▲ Buy	1,552,867	1.46%	$138.95M	2026-08-13
Goldman Sachs Group Inc	▼ Sell	1,391,799	1.31%	$124.54M	2026-08-14
Capital World Investors	▲ Buy	1,005,583	0.94%	$89.98M	2026-08-12
Susquehanna International Group, LLP	▼ Sell	990,890	0.93%	$88.66M	2026-08-14
Citadel Advisors LLC	• Hold	937,406	0.88%	$83.88M	2026-09-02
Bank of America Corp	▲ Buy	936,880	0.88%	$83.83M	2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp	▼ Sell	898,310	0.84%	$80.38M	2026-08-13
Norges Bank	▼ Sell	860,958	0.81%	$77.04M	2026-08-12
FMR LLC (Fidelity)	▼ Sell	795,290	0.75%	$71.16M	2026-08-13
Janus Henderson Group plc	• Hold	688,745	0.65%	$56.70M	2026-05-18
Capital Research Global Investors	• Hold	593,700	0.56%	$53.19M	2026-08-12
JPMorgan Chase & Co	▲ Buy	512,218	0.48%	$46.81M	2026-08-12
Wells Fargo & Company	▼ Sell	402,128	0.38%	$35.98M	2026-08-14
Millennium Management LLC	▼ Sell	400,723	0.38%	$35.86M	2026-08-14
Citigroup Inc	▼ Sell	395,219	0.37%	$35.36M	2026-08-03
Egerton Capital (UK) LLP	• Hold	262,628	0.25%	$30.65M	2025-08-12
Loomis Sayles & Co L P	▼ Sell	295,627	0.28%	$30.42M	2026-02-12
Apollo Management Holdings, L.P.	• Hold	287,606	0.27%	$23.68M	2026-05-15

Q2 2026 flow:3.58M sh bought ($321.17M)2.98M sh sold ($266.81M)net +602.5K sh (+$54.35M)

BLDR·Builders FirstSource, Inc.

EPS

Revenue

BLDR Stock Snapshot

What growth is priced into BLDR?

What BLDR's own history says about today's numbers

Is money rotating into or out of BLDR's sector?

What is the options market pricing for BLDR?

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on BLDR?

BLDR Competitive Positioning

Held by These ETFs

News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

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News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

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BLDR·Builders FirstSource, Inc.

EPS

Revenue

BLDR Stock Snapshot

What growth is priced into BLDR?

What BLDR's own history says about today's numbers

Is money rotating into or out of BLDR's sector?

What is the options market pricing for BLDR?

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on BLDR?

BLDR Competitive Positioning

Held by These ETFs

News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

Discover More

News Sentiment Analysis

Recent News Coverage

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

Discover More

Market Status

Recently Viewed

Portfolio

Email Alerts

Portfolio News

Economic Events

Earnings Events

Economic News