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JCI·Johnson Controls International plc

$135.64
+4.18 (+3.18%)
High
$136.79
Open
$134.74
Market Cap
81.48B
52W High
$160.41
Low
$131.46
P. Close
$135.64
P/E
28.56
52W Low
$108.41
Fwd P/E
17.75
DailyIQ Est.
$179.24
Inst. Own.
47.3%
Short Interest
1.51%
Days to Cover
2.5
Div. Yield
0.91%
Last Ex-Div
Sep 21, 2026
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Oct 27, 2026tone -10.9 vs prior release · 78 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
81
BULLISH
News Sentiment
50
MIXED
On Nov 4, Johnson Controls released a strategic business report that projected the Variable Air Volume (VAV) systems market to reach $29.7 billion by 2032, highlighting a $12.9 billion growth opportunity. The report emphasized that smart, IoT‑enabled VAV solutions can cut HVAC energy and operating costs while meeting green building and indoor air quality demands, and cited rising energy‑efficiency standards, smart building investments, and stricter regulations as key drivers for an 8.5 % CAGR. On Nov 3, the company announced on its fourth‑quarter 2026 earnings call that its backlog had expanded to a record $23 billion, up 43 % year‑over‑year, driven by growing demand for high‑density thermal management in data centers and mission‑critical facilities. Management also highlighted a doubling of capital efficiency on factory expansion, with $900 million earmarked for fiscal 2027 to support new equipment and facility construction. These developments indicate robust customer demand and operational leverage, positioning Johnson Controls for continued revenue growth.
LOW TARGET
$136 +0.3%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$175 +28.9%
17 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$201 +48.2%
10 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$136.00 - $201.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
5/12/10/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$179.24 (+32.1%)
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Building Products & Equipment
Exchange
NYQ
Country
Ireland
Symbol
JCI
Description
Johnson Controls International (JCI) is a global provider of building solutions, offering a comprehensive suite of products and services designed to enhance building performance and occupant safety. The company's core business revolves around the design, installation, and servicing of critical building systems, including heating, ventilation, air conditioning (HVAC), security, and fire protection. Operating across North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and other international markets, JCI serves a diverse clientele encompassing commercial, institutional, industrial, and governmental entities. Its value proposition lies in providing integrated solutions that improve energy efficiency, optimize building operations, and ensure a secure environment, solidifying its position as a key player in the smart building industry.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
79,077 shares
$11.8M
Tinggren Juergen-
Sell4,000 shares2026-10-28
Cohade Pierre E-
Sell3,300 shares2026-08-19
Schlitz Lei ZhangVP & Pres, GP & Solutions
Sell2,500 shares2026-08-04
Schlitz Lei ZhangVP & Pres, GP & Solutions
Sell20,917 shares2026-08-04
Schlitz Lei ZhangVP & Pres, GP & Solutions
Tax Withholding18,625 shares2026-08-02
75/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
36.4%
Net Margin
13.9%
Revenue CAGR
1.4%
Current Ratio
0.93x
Debt / Equity
0.77x
Return on Equity
25.5%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.77$1.02$1.27$1.53$1.78Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$1.19 - -
Q4'26$1.60$1.66+3.7%
Q3'26$1.30$1.42+9.0%
Q2'26$1.28$1.19-7.0%
Q1'26$1.11$0.89-20.1%
Q3'25$1.20$1.26+4.7%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$5.6B$6.0B$6.5B$6.9B$7.3BQ3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$6.5B - -
Q4'26$7.1B$7.1B+0.1%
Q3'26$6.5B$6.6B+1.3%
Q2'26$6.4B$6.1B-4.4%
Q1'26$6.1B$5.8B-4.5%
Q3'25 - $6.4B -

Market Data

JCI Stock Snapshot

BULLISH81/100
$135.64+$4.18 (3.2%)
Market cap
81.48B
P/E ratio
28.6
Day range
$131.46 – $136.79
News sentiment
50/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$174.85 (+28.9%)
Consensus
Buy · 29 analysts
52-week range+25.1% off low · -15.4% from high
$108.41$160.41
Price $135.64 DailyIQ Est. $179.24

Johnson Controls International plc screens well technically, with price sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into JCI?

RICH

At today's price, Johnson Controls International plc needs to grow free cash flow about 24.1% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 8.32% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at -1.0% a year, so the market is asking for 25.2 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis JCI looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
24.1%
Growth trend
-1.0%
Growth gap
+25.2 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
8.32%
Beta
0.99

Behaviour On Record

What JCI's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
41.8% 94th pct
Below its peak
-11.9%
vs 200-day average
-2.1%
Up days (1y)
54%

Johnson Controls International plc is currently running 41.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against JCI's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 94th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 23.2%.

JCI is trading -11.9% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -19.3%, and the deepest was -44.6% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -2.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 32nd percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year JCI closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, JCI finished the month higher 10 of 13 times, with a median return of +4.3% and an average of +3.4%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +3.7% on average, its weakest March at -2.1%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: JCI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 129 of 3,268 sessions (3.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.8% and -7.3%.

Across the last 4 dated reports on file, JCI moved an average of 2.7% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 4 times, with a median move of +1.6% and a largest of -3.9%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against JCI's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of JCI's sector?

Johnson Controls International plc sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#8 of 12
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
27

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for JCI?

CallsPuts

For Johnson Controls International plc's nearest expiry (2026-11-06, 0 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.15), with at-the-money implied volatility around 50.0%.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-06)
0.15
ATM implied volatility
50.0%
Total open interest
1,082

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect JCI to earn?

Analysts expect Johnson Controls International plc to earn $6.32 per share in the fiscal year ending Sep 2027 and $9.85 in the fiscal year ending Sep 2030, from 2 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$1.19$1.14 to $1.3014$6.51B13
Mar 2027$1.50$1.45 to $1.5714$6.84B13
Jun 2027$1.71$1.67 to $1.735~$7.70B-
Dec 2027$1.47$1.45 to $1.502~$5.92B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Sep 2027$6.32$6.19 to $6.5518$28.33B18
Sep 2028$7.40$6.35 to $8.0019$30.68B17
Sep 2029$8.69$8.49 to $8.893~$34.99B-
Sep 2030$9.85$9.68 to $10.012~$39.66B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on JCI?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Johnson Controls International plc to Neutral on Oct 28, 2026 with a price target of $172 (from $170). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Citigroup: Neutral
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 28, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$170 → $172
Oct 28, 2026BNP ParibasMaintainedUnderperform$130 → $145
Oct 28, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$186 → $200
Oct 28, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$155 → $170
Oct 28, 2026BairdMaintainedNeutral$162 → $172
Oct 15, 2026MizuhoMaintainedNeutral$150 → $165
Oct 14, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$161 → $165
Oct 12, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$157 → $170
Oct 8, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$152 → $175
Sep 25, 2026Wells FargoInitiatedOverweight$186
Sep 2, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$175 → $180
Aug 14, 2026BernsteinMaintainedOutperform$173 → $190

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Johnson Controls International plc's latest earnings release say?

Filed Oct 27, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone68.8/ 100-10.9 vs prior release
Hedging words0.55per 100 words+0.38 vs prior release
Tone, last 3 releasesScale 50–88

Most important lines

  1. 1

    With record backlog and sustained customer demand, we enter fiscal 2027 with confidence in our ability to continue creating value for customers and shareholders.”

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    The unavailable information could have a significant impact on the Company’s fiscal 2027 first quarter and full year GAAP financial results.

    New this quarterNegative tone
  3. 3

    “We finished fiscal 2026 with significant momentum, delivering more than 8% organic revenue growth, double-digit adjusted EPS growth and strong free cash flow conversion,” said Joakim Weidemanis, Chief Executive Officer of Johnson Controls.

    New this quarter

Peers & ETF holders

JCI peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about JCI?

JCI fell 13.9% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 38 and 82 from Oct 8 to Oct 16, then dropped to 37 on Oct 21.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$140$160Oct 6Oct 7Oct 8: tone 38Oct 9: tone 42Oct 12: tone 48Oct 13: tone 82Oct 14: tone 55Oct 15: tone 75Oct 16: tone 77Oct 19Oct 20Oct 21: tone 37Oct 22Oct 23: tone 70Oct 26: tone 60Oct 27: tone 68Oct 28: tone 64Oct 29: tone 45Oct 30: tone 62Nov 2: tone 62Nov 3: tone 73Nov 4: tone 61Nov 5Nov 6Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 30 -5.1%same day: 5 revealing analyst questions from Johnson Controls’s Q3 earnings call
  2. Nov 4 -6.3%same day: What Are Wall Street Analysts' Target Price for Johnson Controls Stock?
  3. Nov 5 -6.5%

Technical analysis

How strong is JCI's momentum right now?

On the daily chart JCI ranks at the 81st percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling JCI?

82 of the 174 tracked managers added to JCI in their latest 13F and 88 trimmed. Together they own 47.3% of the company, worth $41.6B. Dodge & Cox and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 15.9%.

82adding88trimming4unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of JCI
  1. $8.1B positionTrimmed 3.0% last quarter
  2. $5.8B positionAdded 0.2% last quarter
  3. $4.1B positionAdded 2.2% last quarter
  4. $3.0B positionAdded 1.1% last quarter
  5. $1.3B positionTrimmed 44.8% last quarter
  6. $1.2B positionAdded 46.4% last quarter
  7. $951.6M positionAdded 24.4% last quarter
  8. $643.8M positionTrimmed 6.0% last quarter
  9. $572.8M positionTrimmed 7.8% last quarter
  10. $562.1M positionAdded 0.1% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading JCI?

6 members of Congress disclosed 13 JCI trades between Aug 13, 2015 and Aug 19, 2025: 7 buys and 6 sells, about $462.5K in estimated value.

BuysSells20162018202020222024
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has JCI done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, JCI returned −5.2%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 6 did better, led by MMM at +26.9%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−60%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6MMM +26.9%JCI −5.2%CAT −38.9%