JCI|Analyst Targets
JCI|Company Info
JCI|Insider Trading
JCI|Fundamentals
JCI|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'27 | $1.19 | - | - |
| Q4'26 | $1.60 | $1.66 | +3.7% |
| Q3'26 | $1.30 | $1.42 | +9.0% |
| Q2'26 | $1.28 | $1.19 | -7.0% |
| Q1'26 | $1.11 | $0.89 | -20.1% |
| Q3'25 | $1.20 | $1.26 | +4.7% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'27 | $6.5B | - | - |
| Q4'26 | $7.1B | $7.1B | +0.1% |
| Q3'26 | $6.5B | $6.6B | +1.3% |
| Q2'26 | $6.4B | $6.1B | -4.4% |
| Q1'26 | $6.1B | $5.8B | -4.5% |
| Q3'25 | - | $6.4B | - |
JCI|Monthly Returns
Market Data
JCI Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 81.48B
- P/E ratio
- 28.6
- Day range
- $131.46 – $136.79
- News sentiment
- 50/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $174.85 (+28.9%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 29 analysts
Johnson Controls International plc screens well technically, with price sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into JCI?
At today's price, Johnson Controls International plc needs to grow free cash flow about 24.1% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 8.32% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at -1.0% a year, so the market is asking for 25.2 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis JCI looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 24.1%
- Growth trend
- -1.0%
- Growth gap
- +25.2 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 8.32%
- Beta
- 0.99
Behaviour On Record
What JCI's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 41.8% 94th pct
- Below its peak
- -11.9%
- vs 200-day average
- -2.1%
- Up days (1y)
- 54%
Johnson Controls International plc is currently running 41.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against JCI's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 94th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 23.2%.
JCI is trading -11.9% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -19.3%, and the deepest was -44.6% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits -2.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 32nd percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year JCI closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, JCI finished the month higher 10 of 13 times, with a median return of +4.3% and an average of +3.4%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +3.7% on average, its weakest March at -2.1%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: JCI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 129 of 3,268 sessions (3.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.8% and -7.3%.
Across the last 4 dated reports on file, JCI moved an average of 2.7% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 4 times, with a median move of +1.6% and a largest of -3.9%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against JCI's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of JCI's sector?
Johnson Controls International plc sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #8 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 27
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect JCI to earn?
Analysts expect Johnson Controls International plc to earn $6.32 per share in the fiscal year ending Sep 2027 and $9.85 in the fiscal year ending Sep 2030, from 2 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on JCI?
Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Johnson Controls International plc to Neutral on Oct 28, 2026 with a price target of $172 (from $170). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Citigroup: Neutral
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Johnson Controls International plc's latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
With record backlog and sustained customer demand, we enter fiscal 2027 with confidence in our ability to continue creating value for customers and shareholders.”
New this quarter - 2
The unavailable information could have a significant impact on the Company’s fiscal 2027 first quarter and full year GAAP financial results.
New this quarterNegative tone - 3
“We finished fiscal 2026 with significant momentum, delivering more than 8% organic revenue growth, double-digit adjusted EPS growth and strong free cash flow conversion,” said Joakim Weidemanis, Chief Executive Officer of Johnson Controls.
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
JCI peers & ETF holders
Building Products & EquipmentMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about JCI?
JCI fell 13.9% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 38 and 82 from Oct 8 to Oct 16, then dropped to 37 on Oct 21.
- Oct 30 -5.1%same day: 5 revealing analyst questions from Johnson Controls’s Q3 earnings call
- Nov 4 -6.3%same day: What Are Wall Street Analysts' Target Price for Johnson Controls Stock?
- Nov 5 -6.5%
Technical analysis
How strong is JCI's momentum right now?
On the daily chart JCI ranks at the 81st percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling JCI?
82 of the 174 tracked managers added to JCI in their latest 13F and 88 trimmed. Together they own 47.3% of the company, worth $41.6B. Dodge & Cox and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 15.9%.
- 1Dodge & Cox9.27%$8.1B positionTrimmed 3.0% last quarter
- $5.8B positionAdded 0.2% last quarter
- 3State Street Corp4.70%$4.1B positionAdded 2.2% last quarter
- $3.0B positionAdded 1.1% last quarter
- $1.3B positionTrimmed 44.8% last quarter
- 6First Trust Advisors LP1.40%$1.2B positionAdded 46.4% last quarter
- 7UBS Group AG1.08%$951.6M positionAdded 24.4% last quarter
- $643.8M positionTrimmed 6.0% last quarter
- $572.8M positionTrimmed 7.8% last quarter
- $562.1M positionAdded 0.1% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading JCI?
6 members of Congress disclosed 13 JCI trades between Aug 13, 2015 and Aug 19, 2025: 7 buys and 6 sells, about $462.5K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has JCI done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, JCI returned −5.2%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 6 did better, led by MMM at +26.9%.
- 1MMM3M Companyup 26.9%+32.1 pts
- 2MASMasco Corporationup 14.4%+19.6 pts
- 3DEDeere & Companyup 13.3%+18.6 pts
- 4ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc.up 8.0%+13.3 pts
- 5PHParker-Hannifin Corporationup 1.1%+6.3 pts
- 6AMEAMETEK, Inc.down 5.1%+0.1 pts
- 7JCIThis stockdown 5.2%
- 8XLIIndustrial Select Sector SPDR Funddown 7.8%−2.5 pts
- 16CATCaterpillar Inc.down 38.9%−33.6 pts