DailyIQ
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Sector:IndustrialsAll sectors
Last updated 7 minutes ago

JCI·Johnson Controls International plc

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$142.53
Open
$138.60
Market Cap
85.70B
52W High
$151.18
Low
$137.13
P. Close
$140.49
P/E
24.27
52W Low
$102.09
Fwd P/E
108.02
DailyIQ Est.
$160.65
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
50
MIXED
Johnson Controls’ latest earnings guidance, released 28.9 hours ago, highlights robust growth driven by expanding data‑center demand and a $20 billion backlog, but analysts have downgraded the rating to neutral citing technical risks that could cap upside. The company’s AI‑driven HVAC solutions are expected to lift margins, yet the technical concerns—such as potential capacity constraints or integration challenges—raise uncertainty about whether the projected earnings can be fully realized in the next 1–10 trading days. Earlier this week, analysts noted that JCI trades at a premium to discounted‑cash‑flow estimates, with a five‑year return of 118.9%, suggesting that the market may already have priced in much of the data‑center upside. The premium valuation, combined with the technical risk flag, creates a narrow window for upside unless the company demonstrates stronger‑than‑expected backlog conversion or mitigates the identified risks. In parallel, JCI received the 2026 Joseph M. Brillhart Innovation Award for its hybrid steam‑electric chiller, underscoring its leadership in low‑carbon building solutions and potentially boosting demand from ESG‑focused institutional investors. However, the award’s impact on near‑term earnings is uncertain, as the project’s revenue contribution is still limited and the company’s guidance remains unchanged. The upcoming third‑quarter 2026 earnings webcast on July 29 at 8:30 a.m. ET will be the next key event, where management will discuss revenue growth, margin trends, and any progress on technical risk mitigation. Traders should also monitor any updates on the company’s backlog turnover and the pace of AI HVAC deployments, as these metrics will clarify whether the data‑center demand can translate into the projected earnings. Finally, keep an eye on any capital allocation decisions or ESG‑related commitments announced during the call, as they could influence the valuation narrative over the next few trading days.
Earnings Summary
Johnson Controls International (JCI) is a global provider of building solutions that design, install, and service critical building systems such as HVAC, security, and fire protection, positioning it as a key player in the smart building industry across North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and other markets. In the most recent reporting period, JCI delivered Q1 2026 revenue of $5.797 billion and EPS of $0.89, both below analyst estimates of $6.068 billion and $1.115, respectively, and Q2 2026 revenue of $6.142 billion and EPS of $1.19, again missing estimates of $6.427 billion and $1.279. These results follow Q3 2025 and Q4 2024, when the company beat expectations with EPS of $1.26 versus $1.204 and $0.64 versus $0.590, and revenue growth that continued from $5.426 billion in Q4 2024 to $6.442 billion in Q3 2025, indicating a recent acceleration in top‑line growth even as earnings fell short in the latest two quarters. Year‑over‑year, revenue rose 2.1 % in Q1 2026 versus Q1 2025 and 1.5 % in Q2 2026 versus Q2 2025, while EPS increased 8.5 % and 13.3 % respectively, underscoring a pattern of solid revenue expansion paired with mixed earnings performance; the company has consistently beat estimates in the first three quarters of 2025 but missed in the first two quarters of 2026. While revenue has grown steadily, the EPS misses in 2026 suggest that cost pressures or margin compression may be impacting profitability, a trend that analysts will scrutinize in the upcoming guidance. Recent analyst commentary highlights a Morgan Stanley price‑target lift to $175, an addition to the Russell 1000 Growth index, and a divestiture of the ADT UK Residential unit for £180 million, all of which signal a strategic focus on data‑center HVAC demand and operational simplification that could support future earnings. Investors should watch for the next earnings release to assess guidance revisions, the impact of the ADT divestiture on recurring revenue, and the pace of data‑center deployment as key drivers of JCI’s near‑term performance.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.72$0.89$1.05$1.21$1.38Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.30 - -
Q2'26$1.28$1.19-7.0%
Q1'26$1.11$0.89-20.1%
Q3'25$1.20$1.26+4.7%
Q2'25$1.01$1.05+3.6%
Q1'25$0.80$0.82+2.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$5.5B$5.8B$6.1B$6.4B$6.7BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$6.5B - -
Q2'26$6.4B$6.1B-4.4%
Q1'26$6.1B$5.8B-4.5%
Q3'25 - $6.4B -
Q2'25 - $6.1B -
Q1'25 - $5.7B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

JCI Stock Snapshot

JCI is currently trading at $140.51, giving Johnson Controls International plc a market cap of 85.70B and a P/E ratio of 24.3. Today's range spans $137.13–$142.53, with shares opening at $138.60 and moving up $0.02 (0.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 50/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 50/100.

Over the past year JCI has traded between $102.09 and $151.18 - the current price is +37.6% off the 52-week low and -7.1% from the high. 28 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $155.74 (range $111.00–$186.00), implying upside of +10.8%.

For fundamental investors, JCI's neutral technical phase (50/100, HOLD) is an opportunity to assess valuation without the noise of trending price action. At 85.70B in Industrials market cap The current P/E ratio stands at 24.3., neutral sentiment (50/100) and a price of $140.51 (in the upper portion of its 52-week range) describe a stock where the primary value driver is fundamental rather than momentum. Annual range: $102.09–$151.18.

The 52-week range of $102.09–$151.18 for JCI provides the structural reference that options traders, systematic funds, and discretionary managers all anchor to — and at $140.51 (in the upper portion of its 52-week range), the stock sits in a zone where the next 5–10% move will likely define which crowd was right. A HOLD signal at 50/100 and neutral news backdrop (50/100) don't break the tie yet, but they narrow the probability distribution toward the upside.