COIN·Coinbase Global Inc

Realized volatility (21d)

55.1% 14th pct

Below its peak

-56.8%

vs 200-day average

-1.3%

Up days (1y)

42%

Coinbase Global Inc is currently running 55.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against COIN's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 14th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 73.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

COIN is trading -56.8% below its running peak. Across 4 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -49.2%, and the deepest was -87.1% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -1.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 51st percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year COIN closed higher on 42% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 6 years of records, COIN finished the month higher 4 of 6 times, with a median return of +1.7% and an average of +7.9%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +13.8% on average, its weakest April at -9.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: COIN has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 208 of 1,382 sessions (15.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.5% and -12.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, COIN moved an average of 10.7% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +9.1% and a largest of +16.7%.

All figures computed from 1,383 daily closes between 2021-04-14 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against COIN's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.