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COIN·Coinbase Global Inc

$172.11
-19.34 (-10.10%)
After Hours
High
$186.13
Open
$183.61
Market Cap
46.24B
52W High
$402.16
Low
$168.07
P. Close
$172.11
P/E
36.69
52W Low
$134.14
Fwd P/E
69.73
DailyIQ Est.
$214.11
Inst. Ownership
-
Short Interest
10.15%
Days to Cover
2.4
Technical Score (1D)
77
BUY
News Sentiment
53
MIXED
The most immediate catalyst is the Senate’s floor vote on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, which lifted regulatory uncertainty and prompted a sharp 8.7 % jump in Coinbase shares. The procedural move is seen as a key driver for reducing compliance costs and unlocking institutional capital, a sentiment echoed by Compass Point’s upgrade to Neutral and a $17 price target. This regulatory clarity is expected to accelerate Coinbase’s product expansion over the next 1–10 trading days, as the company can now plan with a more predictable legal framework. Meanwhile, the appointment of former Morgan Stanley banker Anthony Armstrong to the board signals a strengthening of governance and capital strategy, though it does not alter earnings outlook immediately. The board addition may, however, prepare Coinbase for future funding rounds or an IPO, a development to watch in the coming weeks. In parallel, Coinbase’s partnership with Moov to deliver stablecoin custody and payments to community banks expands its infrastructure footprint and opens a recurring revenue stream, positioning the firm beyond a pure exchange. This move dovetails with the broader regulatory shift, as clearer rules could make institutional adoption of stablecoins more attractive. Investors should monitor the Senate vote’s outcome and any subsequent amendments, as the bill’s passage or failure will directly influence Coinbase’s compliance costs and growth trajectory. Finally, keep an eye on how the Moov partnership performs in the first month, as early adoption metrics will signal the viability of Coinbase’s infrastructure strategy.
Earnings Summary
Coinbase Global, Inc. operates a comprehensive cryptocurrency platform that serves retail and institutional clients worldwide, offering a primary financial account, brokerage services, and developer tools for blockchain applications. The company functions within the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges industry, a sector that has experienced heightened regulatory scrutiny and evolving market dynamics. In Q4 2024, Coinbase posted EPS of $4.68 against an estimate of $2.04, with revenue of $2.2717 billion, reflecting a strong earnings beat and solid top‑line performance. The following quarter, Q1 2025, saw a sharp decline in EPS to $0.24 versus an estimate of $1.90, while revenue dipped to $2.0343 billion, indicating a significant earnings miss and revenue contraction. Subsequent quarters showed a rebound in earnings, with Q2 2025 EPS rising to $5.14 against an estimate of $1.49 and revenue of $1.4972 billion, and Q3 2025 EPS of $1.50 versus an estimate of $1.10 with revenue of $1.8687 billion. However, Q4 2025 revenue fell to $1.7818 billion, below the estimate of $1.8918 billion, and EPS remained flat at $0.66 versus an estimate of $0.65. Historically, Coinbase has experienced volatile earnings, with frequent beats and misses, while revenue has trended downward in recent quarters, suggesting a challenging growth environment. Recent news reports a Senate vote on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act that lifted regulatory uncertainty, prompting an 8.7% jump in shares, and a partnership with Moov to embed stablecoin custody into community banks, potentially diversifying revenue streams. Investors should watch for the next earnings release to assess whether regulatory clarity translates into sustained fee growth and whether the Moov partnership drives incremental revenue, as these factors will be key to understanding Coinbase’s ability to navigate a shifting regulatory and competitive landscape.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-1.22$0.58$2.38$4.17$5.97Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$-0.14 - -
Q2'26$-0.23$-0.39-71.2%
Q1'26$0.30$-0.17-156.7%
Q4'25$0.65$0.66+1.5%
Q3'25$1.10$1.50+35.9%
Q2'25$1.49$5.14+245.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.1B$1.3B$1.6B$1.8B$2.0BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.2B - -
Q2'26$1.3B$1.2B-9.1%
Q1'26$1.6B$1.4B-10.7%
Q4'25$1.9B$1.8B-5.8%
Q3'25 - $1.9B -
Q2'25 - $1.5B -

Market Data

COIN Stock Snapshot

BUY77/100
$171.79$0.32 (0.2%)
Market cap
46.24B
P/E ratio
36.7
Day range
$168.07 – $186.13
News sentiment
53/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$199.76 (+16.3%)
Consensus
Buy · 45 analysts
52-week range+28.1% off low · -57.3% from high
$134.14$402.16
Price $171.79 DailyIQ Est. $214.11

Trend, momentum and range position line up bullish on COIN at the moment. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Financial Services tend to move together on rotation.

Behaviour On Record

What COIN's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
87.1% 73rd pct
Below its peak
-56.9%
vs 200-day average
-5.6%
Up days (1y)
43%

Coinbase Global Inc is currently running 87.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against COIN's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 73rd percentile a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 73.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

COIN is trading -56.9% below its running peak. Across 4 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -49.2%, and the deepest was -87.1% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -5.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 48th percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year COIN closed higher on 43% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 6 years of records, COIN finished the month higher 3 of 6 times, with a median return of +0.3% and an average of -0.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +13.8% on average, its weakest April at -9.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: COIN has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 206 of 1,361 sessions (15.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.5% and -12.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, COIN moved an average of 10.7% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +9.1% and a largest of +16.7%.

All figures computed from 1,362 daily closes between 2021-04-14 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against COIN's own 5-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of COIN's sector?

Coinbase Global Inc sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 4th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#4 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
70

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for COIN?

CallsPuts

For Coinbase Global Inc's nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.74), with at-the-money implied volatility around 73.0%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±7.6% move by that expiry — a range of about $172.57–$200.79.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.74
ATM implied volatility
73.0%
Total open interest
160,129
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±7.6% ($172.57–$200.79)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on COIN?

Compass Point most recently upgraded Coinbase Global Inc to Neutral on Sep 14, 2026 with a price target of $177 (from $130). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Compass PointNeutral
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 14, 2026Compass PointUpgradeSell → Neutral$130 → $177
Sep 10, 2026Morgan StanleyInitiatedEqual-Weight$250
Sep 9, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$196 → $219
Aug 26, 2026Argus ResearchReiteratedHold-
Aug 25, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$173 → $196
Aug 3, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainedOverweight$250 → $184
Jul 31, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$198 → $173
Jul 31, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$209 → $193
Jul 31, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedNeutral$155 → $146
Jul 31, 2026BenchmarkMaintainedBuy$270 → $230
Jul 31, 2026RosenblattMaintainedBuy$240 → $200
Jul 31, 2026BarclaysMaintainedUnderweight$99 → $95

COIN Competitive Positioning

Coinbase Global Inc (COIN) is tracked alongside these names in Financial Data & Stock Exchanges on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

Held by These ETFs

COIN is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.