CRDO·Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd

Realized volatility (21d)

74.6% 55th pct

Below its peak

-35.0%

vs 200-day average

+9.3%

Up days (1y)

49%

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd is currently running 74.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CRDO's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 55th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 70.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

CRDO is trading -35.0% below its running peak. Across 4 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -54.6%, and the deepest was -62.3% in 2023. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +9.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 26th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year CRDO closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 5 years of records, CRDO finished the month higher 3 of 5 times, with a median return of +21.5% and an average of +12.4%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +34.2% on average, its weakest March at -9.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CRDO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 241 of 1,182 sessions (20.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.1% and -8.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 1,183 daily closes between 2022-01-27 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CRDO's own 5-year history, not a peer group or index.