MSI·Motorola Solutions, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

13.5% 17th pct

Below its peak

-9.9%

vs 200-day average

+5.6%

Up days (1y)

49%

Motorola Solutions, Inc. is currently running 13.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MSI's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 17th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 19.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

MSI is trading -9.9% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -15.6%, and the deepest was -33.1% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +5.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 42nd percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year MSI closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, MSI finished the month higher 10 of 13 times, with a median return of +2.0% and an average of +1.1%. Its strongest month historically has been August at +5.8% on average, its weakest September at -1.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: MSI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 76 of 3,267 sessions (2.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.3% and -10.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, MSI moved an average of 6.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +3.1% and a largest of -9.0%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MSI's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.