FERG|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $3.30 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $3.30 | $3.39 | +2.8% |
| Q2'24 | $2.86 | $2.98 | +4.1% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $8.6B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $8.8B | $8.8B | -1.0% |
| Q2'24 | - | $7.9B | - |
FERG|Monthly Returns
Market Data
FERG Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 41.48B
- P/E ratio
- 17.0
- Day range
- $212.13 – $217.75
- News sentiment
- 73/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $287.48 (+33.0%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 33 analysts
FERG's technical picture is under pressure, with momentum working against price. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Industrials tend to move together on rotation.
Behaviour On Record
What FERG's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 22.8% 35th pct
- Below its peak
- -19.6%
- vs 200-day average
- -9.8%
- Up days (1y)
- 51%
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is currently running 22.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FERG's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 35th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 26.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
FERG is trading -19.6% below its running peak. Across 5 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -20.3%, and the deepest was -43.6% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits -9.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 19th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year FERG closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.
On September specifically: over 6 years of records, FERG finished the month higher 1 of 6 times, with a median return of -2.0% and an average of -3.3%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +7.7% on average, its weakest March at -5.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: FERG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 73 of 1,389 sessions (5.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.6% and -6.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 1,390 daily closes between 2021-03-10 and 2026-09-21, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FERG's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of FERG's sector?
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).
- Sector rank
- #8 of 11
- Sector state
- Lagging
- Sector rotation score
- 50
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FERG?
UBS most recently reiterated its rating on Ferguson Enterprises Inc. to Neutral on Aug 11, 2026 with a price target of $256 (from $252). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 1 downgrade, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- UBS — Neutral
- 90-day upgrades
- 1
- 90-day downgrades
- 1
- Net rating momentum
- 0
FERG Competitive Positioning
- FERGyou're hereFerguson Enterprises Inc.$41.5B0.00%
- GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.$59.7B+0.01%
- FASTFastenal Company$56.2B+0.02%
- POOLPool Corporation$6.1B+0.10%
