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DailyIQ
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FERG·Ferguson Enterprises Inc.

$233.53
-2.12 (-0.90%)
After Hours
High
$236.07
Open
$232.64
Market Cap
45.59B
52W High
$271.64
Low
$231.94
P. Close
$233.53
P/E
18.72
52W Low
$212.13
Fwd P/E
18.46
DailyIQ Est.
$290.45
Inst. Own.
74.3%
Short Interest
3.24%
Days to Cover
4.6
Div. Yield
1.51%
Next Ex-Div
~Nov 20
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Aug 10, 2026Guidance raised · tone +0.3 vs prior release · 67 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
28
BEARISH
News Sentiment
61
BULLISH
On Nov 4, 2026, Ferguson Enterprises Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.89 per share, payable on Jan 8, 2027 to shareholders of record as of Nov 20, 2026, signaling confidence in the company’s cash flow generation. On the same day, analysts noted that Ferguson’s share price had risen sharply over the past five years, prompting a reassessment of whether the current $248.53 level was justified by the firm’s cash generation. They focused on the company’s ability to convert distribution volumes and pricing power into steady free cash flow, which underpins intrinsic value estimates. No new guidance or material events were disclosed, leaving the valuation assessment largely unchanged. The dividend declaration and the valuation review together reflected the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to investors and the market’s assessment of its cash flow stability.
LOW TARGET
$235 +0.6%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$283 +21.3%
15 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$325 +39.1%
14 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$235.00 - $325.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
9/12/8/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$290.45 (+24.3%)
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Industrial Distribution
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Website
corporate.ferguson.com
Symbol
FERG
Description
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is a leading distributor of plumbing and HVAC products, serving professional contractors across the United States and Canada. The company's value proposition lies in its comprehensive product offerings, encompassing everything from pipes and fittings to appliances and water treatment solutions, catering to both residential and commercial projects. Beyond product supply, Ferguson provides value-added services such as virtual design, custom fabrication, and project management, creating a one-stop-shop for its customers. Its extensive distribution network, including physical branches, sales associates, and e-commerce platforms, ensures convenient access to products and services. Founded in 1953, Ferguson's long-standing presence and broad service capabilities have positioned it as a key player in the specialized professional market.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
77,222 shares
$17.0M
Graham Ian T.See Remarks
Sell1,097 shares2026-10-16
Brundage WilliamChief Financial Officer
Award/Grant41 shares2026-10-15
Brundage WilliamChief Financial Officer
Tax Withholding450 shares2026-10-15
Camposano Robert Anthony Jr.Senior VP - Waterworks
Sell185 shares2026-10-15
Camposano Robert Anthony Jr.Senior VP - Waterworks
Tax Withholding94 shares2026-10-15
View full insider trading history →
66/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
30.7%
Net Margin
6.0%
Revenue CAGR
2.5%
Current Ratio
1.68x
Debt / Equity
0.71x
Return on Equity
31.8%
View full financials →
Earnings Summary
In Q2 2024, Ferguson reported EPS of $2.98 versus an estimate of $2.86, with revenue of $7.946 billion, marking a modest increase over the prior quarter and a solid beat of analyst expectations. In Q2 2026, EPS rose to $3.39 against an estimate of $3.30, while revenue dipped slightly to $8.751 billion from an estimate of $8.842 billion, indicating a slight revenue deceleration but continued earnings growth. The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the two consecutive quarters preceding the latest announcement, with EPS growth accelerating year‑over‑year. Historically, Ferguson has maintained a steady YoY revenue growth trajectory, often exceeding analyst forecasts, while EPS has trended upward even when revenue growth slows, reflecting efficient cost management. Recent news highlights the upcoming Q3 2026 earnings release scheduled for November 9, 2026, and notes that the company has posted double‑digit year‑over‑year EPS growth in the two quarters prior, underscoring its robust profitability.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.78$2.96$3.13$3.30$3.47Q2'24Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$3.37 - -
Q2'26$3.30$3.39+2.8%
Q2'24$2.86$2.98+4.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$7.8B$8.1B$8.4B$8.7B$9.1BQ2'24Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$8.9B - -
Q2'26$8.8B$8.8B-1.0%
Q2'24 - $7.9B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

FERG Stock Snapshot

BEARISH28/100
$233.70+$0.17 (0.1%)
Market cap
45.59B
P/E ratio
18.7
Day range
$231.94 – $236.07
News sentiment
61/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$283.36 (+21.2%)
Consensus
Buy · 31 analysts
52-week range+10.2% off low · -14.0% from high
$212.13$271.64
Price $233.70 DailyIQ Est. $290.45

FERG's technical picture is under pressure, with momentum working against price. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Industrials tend to move together on rotation.

Behaviour On Record

What FERG's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
21.1% 26th pct
Below its peak
-7.2%
vs 200-day average
+4.6%
Up days (1y)
51%

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is currently running 21.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FERG's own 6 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 26th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 25.7%.

FERG is trading -7.2% below its running peak. Across 6 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -20.1%, and the deepest was -43.6% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +4.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 48th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year FERG closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On November specifically: over 5 years of records, FERG finished the month higher 4 of 5 times, with a median return of +6.5% and an average of +5.7%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +7.7% on average, its weakest March at -5.6%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: FERG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 73 of 1,422 sessions (5.1% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.6% and -6.2%.

All figures computed from 1,423 daily closes between 2021-03-10 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FERG's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of FERG's sector?

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#8 of 12
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
27

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for FERG?

CallsPuts

For Ferguson Enterprises Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-20, 14 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.74), with at-the-money implied volatility around 55.1%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±10.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $211.58–$259.72.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-20)
0.74
ATM implied volatility
55.1%
Total open interest
3,916
Expected move by 2026-11-20
±10.2% ($211.58–$259.72)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect FERG to earn?

Analysts expect Ferguson Enterprises Inc. to earn $11.41 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $15.29 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2029, from 2 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Sep 2026$3.29$3.17 to $3.3914$8.69B13
Dec 2026$2.46$2.26 to $2.6714$8.22B13
Mar 2027$2.55$2.49 to $2.593~$7.12B-
Jun 2027$3.72$3.66 to $3.853~$10.39B-
Sep 2027$3.66$3.59 to $3.753~$10.22B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$11.41$11.11 to $11.7216$33.09B16
Dec 2027$12.69$11.96 to $13.2416$35.52B16
Dec 2028$14.13$13.52 to $14.885~$39.45B-
Dec 2029$15.29$14.46 to $16.112~$42.69B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FERG?

Citigroup most recently upgraded Ferguson Enterprises Inc. to Buy on Oct 27, 2026 with a price target of $288 (from $285). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Citigroup: Buy
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 27, 2026CitigroupUpgradeNeutral → Buy$285 → $288
Oct 7, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$290 → $286
Aug 11, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$252 → $256
Aug 11, 2026BernsteinMaintainedOutperform$310 → $325
Aug 11, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$281 → $290
Aug 11, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$297 → $313
Aug 11, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$280 → $288
Aug 11, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$285 → $295
Aug 11, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$285 → $288
Jul 17, 2026Zelman & AssocUpgradeNeutral → Outperform$285
Jul 7, 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeBuy → Neutral$315 → $265
May 8, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$295 → $297

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Ferguson Enterprises Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Aug 10, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Guidance raised
Tone67.3/ 100+0.3 vs prior release
Hedging words0.55per 100 words-0.35 vs prior release
Tone, last 2 releasesScale 50–73

Most important lines

  1. 1

    We completed five acquisitions and signed a definitive purchase agreement to acquire FloWorks, a leading distributor of highly technical valves and flow control solutions.

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    “While the economic environment remains uncertain, our performance year-to-date enables the upward revision of our full year guidance.

    Guidance raisedNew this quarter
  3. 3

    - Gross margin of 31.0%, down 20 bps from prior year.

    New this quarterNegative tone

Scores describe the release's wording. They are not a forecast.

Read all 67 scored lines →

Peers & ETF holders

FERG peers & ETF holders

Industrial DistributionMarket cap · today

Top ETF holdersWeight

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about FERG?

FERG rose 4.6% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 11 and 38 from Oct 7 to Oct 20, then jumped to 88 on Oct 21.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$220$240Oct 6Oct 7: tone 20Oct 8: tone 11Oct 9Oct 12Oct 13Oct 14: tone 38Oct 15: tone 16Oct 16: tone 37Oct 19Oct 20: tone 37Oct 21: tone 88Oct 22Oct 23Oct 26: tone 64Oct 27: tone 62Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Nov 2Nov 3: tone 50Nov 4: tone 54Nov 5: tone 74Nov 6Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 7 -3.7%same day: RBC Capital Maintains Outperform on Ferguson Enterprises, Lowers Price Target to $286
  2. Oct 29 +4.2%
  3. Nov 5 -5.2%same day: Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) Stock Looks Fairly Valued On Cash Flow
Latest stories naming Ferguson Enterprises

Technical analysis

How strong is FERG's momentum right now?

On the daily chart FERG ranks at the 28th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling FERG?

98 of the 209 tracked managers added to FERG in their latest 13F and 107 trimmed. Together they own 74.3% of the company, worth $33.8B. BlackRock and Vanguard Portfolio Management alone hold 10.6%.

98adding107trimming4unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of FERG
  1. 1BlackRock, Inc.5.89%
    $2.7B positionTrimmed 1.4% last quarter
  2. 2Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC4.68%
    $2.2B positionTrimmed 0.3% last quarter
  3. 3Vanguard Capital Management LLC4.49%
    $2.1B positionTrimmed 0.1% last quarter
  4. 4FMR LLC (Fidelity)3.88%
    $1.8B positionTrimmed 3.7% last quarter
  5. 5Wellington Management Group LLP3.70%
    $1.7B positionTrimmed 15.1% last quarter
  6. 6Bank of New York Mellon Corp2.56%
    $1.1B positionAdded 3.2% last quarter
  7. 7State Street Corp2.37%
    $1.1B positionAdded 1.1% last quarter
  8. 8WCM Investment Management, LLC2.14%
    $998.0M positionTrimmed 3.8% last quarter
  9. 9Franklin Resources Inc (Franklin Templeton)1.97%
    $912.2M positionTrimmed 9.5% last quarter
  10. 10Bank of America Corp1.96%
    $906.5M positionAdded 270.9% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading FERG?

3 members of Congress disclosed 6 FERG trades between Jan 7, 2025 and Jul 16, 2026: 5 buys and 1 sell, about $97.0K in estimated value.

BuysSellsJan ’25AprJulOctJan ’26AprJul
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart
Full trading history

Discover more

How has FERG done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, FERG returned −7.3%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 8 did better, led by MCK at +41.6%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−50%−25%0%+25%+50%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6MCK +41.6%FERG −7.3%QXO −42.5%