FAST|Analyst Targets
FAST|Company Info
FAST|Insider Trading
FAST|Fundamentals
FAST|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $0.31 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $0.35 | $0.35 | +1.2% |
| Q1'26 | $0.32 | $0.30 | -7.2% |
| Q4'25 | $0.26 | $0.26 | -1.6% |
| Q3'25 | $0.30 | $0.29 | -2.2% |
| Q2'25 | $0.27 | $0.29 | +8.3% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $2.4B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $2.5B | $2.5B | -1.2% |
| Q1'26 | $2.3B | $2.2B | -4.7% |
| Q4'25 | $2.1B | $2.0B | -2.8% |
| Q3'25 | - | $2.1B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $2.1B | - |
FAST|Monthly Returns
Market Data
FAST Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 62.65B
- P/E ratio
- 44.2
- Day range
- $51.94 – $53.22
- News sentiment
- 58/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $51.07 (-3.7%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 26 analysts
Momentum is working in FAST's favour - it ranks in the upper part of DailyIQ's momentum universe. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Industrials tend to move together on rotation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into FAST?
At today's price, Fastenal Company needs to grow free cash flow about 26.1% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 7.95% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 7.2% a year, so the market is asking for 18.8 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis FAST looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 26.1%
- Growth trend
- 7.2%
- Growth gap
- +18.8 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 7.95%
- Beta
- 0.73
Behaviour On Record
What FAST's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 29.8% 78th pct
- Below its peak
- -0.6%
- vs 200-day average
- +13.0%
- Up days (1y)
- 53%
Fastenal Company is currently running 29.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against FAST's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 78th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 23.4%.
FAST is trading -0.6% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.8%, and the deepest was -29.6% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +13.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 81st percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year FAST closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, FAST finished the month higher 10 of 13 times, with a median return of +4.2% and an average of +5.7%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.7% on average, its weakest September at -1.1%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: FAST has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 90 of 3,268 sessions (2.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.0% and -6.3%.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, FAST moved an average of 3.7% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -3.0% and a largest of +4.1%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against FAST's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of FAST's sector?
Fastenal Company sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #8 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 27
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect FAST to earn?
Analysts expect Fastenal Company to earn $1.27 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $1.65 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2029, from 2 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on FAST?
Argus Research most recently reiterated its rating on Fastenal Company to Buy on Oct 21, 2026 with a price target of $59 (from $55). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Argus Research: Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Fastenal Company's latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
A continued shift in customer mix toward larger customers reduced gross margin by approximately 50 basis points.
New this quarterNegative tone - 2
For 2026, we continue to expect our investment in property and equipment, net of proceeds from sales, to be between $310.0 and $330.0, an increase from $230.6 in 2025.
Guidance raised - 3
Operating margin was 21.5%, a 90 basis point improvement y ear-over-year , as selling, general, and administrative expense leverage more than offset customer mix-related gross margin pressure.
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
FAST peers & ETF holders
Industrial DistributionMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about FAST?
FAST rose 4.3% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 28 and 92 from Oct 7 to Oct 19, then jumped to 74 on Oct 20.
- Oct 14 +4.0%same day: Fastenal Company Reports 2026 Third Quarter Earnings
- Oct 15 -4.0%same day: FAST Q3 Deep Dive: Market Share Gains and Digital Expansion Fuel Growth
- Oct 30 -3.5%same day: Global Foundation Anchor Bolt Market Report 2026: Size, Share, Trends, and Forecast to 2030 | Capitalize on Smart Infrastructure with Hilti, Fastenal, Würth, and Simpson Strong-Tie
Technical analysis
How strong is FAST's momentum right now?
On the daily chart FAST ranks at the 71st percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling FAST?
99 of the 208 tracked managers added to FAST in their latest 13F and 106 trimmed. Together they own 67.9% of the company, worth $38.7B. BlackRock and Vanguard Capital Management alone hold 15.3%.
- 1BlackRock, Inc.8.97%$5.1B positionAdded 1.5% last quarter
- $3.6B positionAdded 0.5% last quarter
- $3.1B positionAdded 0.7% last quarter
- 4State Street Corp4.76%$2.7B positionAdded 1.6% last quarter
- $2.1B positionAdded 8.9% last quarter
- 6Invesco Ltd.3.34%$1.9B positionAdded 64.2% last quarter
- $1.9B positionAdded 1.4% last quarter
- 8Morgan Stanley1.76%$1.0B positionTrimmed 19.0% last quarter
- 9Bank of America Corp1.36%$774.3M positionTrimmed 1.1% last quarter
- 10Bank of New York Mellon Corp1.36%$797.9M positionTrimmed 10.0% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading FAST?
3 members of Congress disclosed 3 FAST trades between Oct 5, 2022 and Apr 9, 2025: 3 sells, about $48.5K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has FAST done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, FAST returned +18.0%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 1 did better, led by GWW at +22.8%.
- 1GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.up 22.8%+4.8 pts
- 2FASTThis stockup 18.0%
- 3DEDeere & Companyup 13.7%−4.3 pts
- 4EMREmerson Electric Co.up 10.3%−7.8 pts
- 5ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc.up 8.5%−9.5 pts
- 6IRIngersoll Rand Inc.up 5.5%−12.5 pts
- 7PHParker-Hannifin Corporationup 1.1%−16.9 pts
- 8AMEAMETEK, Inc.down 5.4%−23.5 pts
- 16CATCaterpillar Inc.down 39.4%−57.4 pts
