MHK·Mohawk Industries, Inc.
MHK|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $2.58 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $2.61 | $3.67 | +40.6% |
| Q1'26 | $1.83 | $1.90 | +3.8% |
| Q4'25 | $1.89 | $2.00 | +5.7% |
| Q3'25 | $2.64 | $2.67 | +1.2% |
| Q2'25 | $2.61 | $2.77 | +6.3% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $2.8B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $2.8B | $3.0B | +6.3% |
| Q1'26 | $2.8B | $2.7B | -1.2% |
| Q4'25 | $2.9B | $2.7B | -5.8% |
| Q3'25 | - | $2.8B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $2.8B | - |
MHK|Monthly Returns
Market Data
MHK Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 7.72B
- P/E ratio
- 16.6
- Day range
- $125.24 – $128.93
- News sentiment
- 42/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $135.79 (+7.7%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 23 analysts
The technical read on MHK is balanced, which usually means the market is waiting on a catalyst. At this size, a single catalyst moves the stock further than it would a larger peer.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into MHK?
At today's price, Mohawk Industries, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 1.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 9.20% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 8.0% a year, so the market is asking for 6.8 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis MHK looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 1.2%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 8.0%
- Growth gap
- -6.8 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 9.20%
- Beta
- 1.07
Behaviour On Record
What MHK's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 28.9% 47th pct
- Below its peak
- -55.7%
- vs 200-day average
- +9.9%
- Up days (1y)
- 47%
Mohawk Industries, Inc. is currently running 28.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MHK's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 47th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 29.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
MHK is trading -55.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -28.2%, and the deepest was -60.3% in 2018. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits +9.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 70th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year MHK closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 13 years of records, MHK finished the month higher 4 of 13 times, with a median return of -5.8% and an average of -3.9%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.4% on average, its weakest March at -4.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: MHK has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 202 of 3,268 sessions (6.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +18.9% and -9.2%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, MHK moved an average of 3.7% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -2.5% and a largest of -8.2%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MHK's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of MHK's sector?
Mohawk Industries, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 10th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #10 of 11
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 10
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MHK?
Truist Securities most recently reiterated its rating on Mohawk Industries, Inc. to Buy on Aug 4, 2026 with a price target of $155 (from $135). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Truist Securities — Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
