DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated 2 minutes ago

MHK·Mohawk Industries, Inc.

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$108.18
Open
$107.61
Market Cap
6.66B
52W High
$143.13
Low
$105.52
P. Close
$108.00
P/E
16.08
52W Low
$92.99
Fwd P/E
41.79
DailyIQ Est.
$121.91
Technical Score (1D)
36
SELL
News Sentiment
-
NO DATA
Argus Research cut its price target for MHK to $104, citing a weaker earnings outlook and valuation concerns that could trigger short‑term volatility. In contrast, Barclays upgraded the stock to an equal‑weight rating and raised its target to $109, reflecting confidence in revenue growth and margin improvement. The conflicting analyst views create uncertainty for the next 1–10 trading days, so investors should watch how the market reconciles the two outlooks. Both analysts point to rising input costs and a challenging macro environment, suggesting that cost pressures could weigh on profitability. Argus also upgraded the rating to HOLD, noting stable margins but cautioning about competitive pressures and raw‑material volatility. The upcoming second‑quarter earnings conference call will be a key catalyst, as management will discuss Q2 results, guidance, and cost management. Watch for any updates on margin expansion, supply‑chain constraints, and raw‑material cost trends during the call. Depending on how the earnings data align with the divergent analyst targets, the stock could see a short‑term price swing before settling into a new valuation range.
Earnings Summary
Mohawk Industries, a global flooring solutions leader, offers a diversified portfolio of ceramic, porcelain, natural stone tiles, carpets, laminate, wood, and vinyl products across residential and commercial markets worldwide, positioning it firmly within the consumer cyclical furnishings sector. In the most recent quarters, Mohawk’s Q4 2025 revenue rose 2.4% YoY to $2.6996 billion and EPS climbed 2.6% to $2.00, beating estimates of $1.89; Q1 2026 revenue accelerated 8.1% YoY to $2.7287 billion with EPS up 25% to $1.90, again surpassing the $1.83 estimate. The company has consistently outperformed analyst expectations, recording beats in four of the last five quarters, while revenue growth has remained steady even as EPS has fluctuated—Q3 2025 saw a slight EPS dip to $2.67 from $2.77, yet revenue still held at $2.7579 billion. The earnings trend shows a gradual YoY revenue uptick, with Q2 2026 estimates projecting a 3.1% rise to $2.815 billion and EPS up 36% to $2.58, suggesting continued upside potential. Recent analyst commentary highlights a split view: Argus Research has lowered its target to $104 amid concerns over a weaker earnings outlook and rising input costs, while Barclays has upgraded the stock to equal‑weight with a $109 target, citing confidence in revenue growth and margin improvement; both note that raw‑material volatility and competitive pressures could weigh on profitability. Investors should watch the upcoming Q2 2026 earnings conference call for clarity on margin expansion, supply‑chain constraints, and raw‑material cost trends, as management’s guidance will likely shape the short‑term valuation narrative and determine whether the company can sustain its recent revenue gains amid cost pressures.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.20$1.64$2.09$2.53$2.97Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.58 - -
Q1'26$1.83$1.90+3.8%
Q4'25$1.89$2.00+5.7%
Q3'25$2.64$2.67+1.2%
Q2'25$2.61$2.77+6.3%
Q1'25$1.41$1.52+8.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.5B$2.6B$2.7B$2.8B$2.9BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.8B - -
Q1'26$2.8B$2.7B-1.2%
Q4'25$2.9B$2.7B-5.8%
Q3'25 - $2.8B -
Q2'25 - $2.8B -
Q1'25 - $2.5B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

MHK Stock Snapshot

MHK is currently trading at $107.51, giving Mohawk Industries, Inc. a market cap of 6.66B and a P/E ratio of 16.1. Today's range spans $105.52–$108.18, with shares opening at $107.61 and moving down $0.49 (0.5%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 36/100 (HOLD).

Over the past year MHK has traded between $92.99 and $143.13 - the current price is +15.6% off the 52-week low and -24.9% from the high. 23 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $121.21 (range $105.00–$146.00), implying upside of +12.7%.

Mean-reversion potential exists for MHK - but it needs a catalyst. 36/100 (HOLD), neutral sentiment (-/100), price $107.51 (in the lower half of its 52-week range in $92.99–$143.13). (P/E: 16.1) At 6.66B in Consumer Cyclical market cap, small-cap stocks in mixed phases don't typically recover on technicals alone - they need a news event, earnings surprise, or sector catalyst to shift the momentum. Without one, the HOLD setup tends to persist longer than fundamental analysis would suggest.

The absence of strong institutional sponsorship makes MHK's HOLD signal (36/100) more consequential than the same signal in a larger name — at 6.66B in Consumer Cyclical market cap, there are fewer natural buyers to absorb selling pressure, which means the $92.99–$143.13 range's lower bound becomes a sharper test of the thesis. Sentiment at -/100 (neutral) and price at $107.51 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) don't yet suggest stabilization is imminent.