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NEE·NextEra Energy, Inc.

$83.43
-0.63 (-0.75%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$83.00-0.43 (-0.52%)
High
$84.12
Open
$83.70
Market Cap
175.35B
52W High
$98.96
Low
$83.00
P. Close
$83.43
P/E
18.86
52W Low
$69.24
Fwd P/E
19.01
DailyIQ Est.
$102.45
Inst. Ownership
44.7%
Short Interest
2.35%
Days to Cover
4.8
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
68
BULLISH
NextEra Energy’s latest earnings preview shows a 1.16 % rise in the stock, driven by a projected Q1 EPS of $1.23 per share and a 15.4 % jump in revenue to $9.19 billion, both up 8.85 % YoY. The company’s guidance for the full year—$4.01 EPS and $31.7 billion revenue—also reflects an 8–16 % increase from the prior year, underscoring continued growth in renewable generation and supportive regulation. These stronger-than‑expected fundamentals suggest that NextEra’s renewable portfolio will keep expanding, which should keep its cash flow and dividend prospects robust over the next 1–10 trading days. The market implication is that the stock may trade at a premium to peers that are less exposed to renewables, as investors reward the company’s ability to capture new generation capacity. Watch for the actual Q1 earnings release, as any deviation from the $1.23 EPS forecast could quickly alter the stock’s valuation. Also keep an eye on any updates to federal or state renewable mandates that could affect the company’s growth trajectory. Finally, monitor the broader energy sector’s interest‑rate environment, as higher rates could pressure utilities’ capital costs and impact NextEra’s expansion plans.
Earnings Summary
NextEra Energy, Inc. is a leading North American utility that generates, transmits, and distributes electricity from a diversified mix of wind, solar, nuclear, and natural gas assets, serving roughly 12 million customers across the United States. The company’s regulated electric utility business and its growing renewable portfolio position it as a key player in the utilities sector, with a focus on clean energy solutions. In the most recent two quarters, Q3 2025 and Q4 2025, NextEra posted EPS of $1.13 and $0.54, respectively, both beating analyst estimates of $1.02 and $0.53, while revenue rose to $7.97 billion and fell to $6.50 billion, reflecting a seasonal dip in regulated earnings. Compared to the prior two quarters (Q1–Q2 2025), EPS growth accelerated from $0.99 to $1.13, and revenue increased from $6.25 billion to $7.97 billion, indicating a rebound in growth momentum. Historically, NextEra has delivered consistent EPS beats in 7 of the last 8 quarters, with revenue growth averaging 8% YoY over the past three years, underscoring a stable earnings trajectory even when regulated earnings fluctuate. Recent news highlights the company’s unchanged dividend policy amid oil price volatility, a 200 GW renewable pipeline, and a pending acquisition of Dominion Energy that analysts view as accretive; these developments reinforce confidence in NextEra’s long‑term cash flow stability and dividend resilience. Investors should watch for updates on the Dominion acquisition timeline and any changes to the 200 GW pipeline approvals, as these will influence future revenue and capex plans, while monitoring regulatory shifts that could affect the company’s pricing power and renewable incentives.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.42$0.65$0.88$1.11$1.34Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.18 - -
Q2'26$1.23$1.15-6.5%
Q1'26$0.94$1.09+15.5%
Q4'25$0.53$0.54+2.4%
Q3'25$1.02$1.13+10.6%
Q2'25$1.01$1.05+4.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$6.1B$6.9B$7.7B$8.5B$9.4BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$9.0B - -
Q2'26$8.2B$7.5B-7.8%
Q1'26$7.3B$6.7B-7.9%
Q4'25$6.8B$6.5B-4.1%
Q3'25 - $8.0B -
Q2'25 - $6.7B -

Market Data

NEE Stock Snapshot

SELL27/100
$83.00$0.43 (0.5%)
Market cap
175.35B
P/E ratio
18.9
Day range
$83.00 – $84.12
News sentiment
68/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$98.39 (+18.5%)
Consensus
Buy · 29 analysts
52-week range+19.9% off low · -16.1% from high
$69.24$98.96
Price $83.00 DailyIQ Est. $102.45

Momentum has rolled over on NextEra Energy, Inc., which is what drives the bearish read. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What NEE's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
12.4% 12th pct
Below its peak
-14.5%
vs 200-day average
-4.4%
Up days (1y)
53%

NextEra Energy, Inc. is currently running 12.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against NEE's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 12th percentile unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 18.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

NEE is trading -14.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -15.7%, and the deepest was -43.0% in 2023. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -4.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 16th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year NEE closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, NEE finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.2% and an average of -1.6%. Its strongest month historically has been October at +3.8% on average, its weakest September at -1.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: NEE has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 41 of 3,269 sessions (1.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +5.4% and -5.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, NEE moved an average of 0.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.8% and a largest of -1.0%.

All figures computed from 3,270 daily closes between 2013-09-05 and 2026-09-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against NEE's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of NEE's sector?

NextEra Energy, Inc. sits in the Utilities sector, currently ranked 8th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#8 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
50

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for NEE?

CallsPuts

For NextEra Energy, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-11, 6 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.63), with at-the-money implied volatility around 21.4%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±3.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $83.24–$88.76.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-11)
0.63
ATM implied volatility
21.4%
Total open interest
11,938
Expected move by 2026-09-11
±3.2% ($83.24–$88.76)

NEE Competitive Positioning

NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) is tracked alongside these names in Utilities - Regulated Electric on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.